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Duke at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 3:45 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Duke by 16.5, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ FSU

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Florida St +16.5 Official TR Pick Florida St 51% odds to cover
Florida St +16.5 Power Rating Model Florida St 58% odds to cover
Florida St +16.5 Similar Games Florida St 50% odds to cover
Florida St +16.5 Decision Tree Florida St 51% odds to cover
Florida St +16.5 Predictive Ratings Florida St 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv FSU
Season 20-18-0 19-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 12-7-1
Streak L2 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 7-8-0 10-6-1
Away 13-10-0 9-7-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5

Florida St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Alcorn St -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/07 Home Alabama St -25.0 W by 37 +12.0
11/11 Away Florida +18.0 L by 2 +16.0
11/18 Home UT Martin -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
11/21 Home Georgia So -18.5 W by 26 +7.5
11/25 Home CS Bakersfield -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Texas A&M -1.5 L by 36 -37.5
12/02 Home Georgia -1.0 L by 34 -35.0
12/06 Neutral Houston +13.0 L by 15 -2.0
12/13 Neutral UMass -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
12/16 Away Dayton +7.0 L by 28 -21.0
12/19 Home Miss Valley St -39.5 W by 47 +7.5
12/22 Home Jacksonville -23.5 W by 24 +0.5
12/30 Away North Carolina +12.0 L by 13 -1.0
01/03 Home Duke +16.5 L by 4 +12.5
01/10 Home NC State +4.5 L by 44 -39.5
01/13 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
01/17 Home Wake Forest +1.0 L by 1 0.0
01/20 Away Miami +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/24 Away SMU +12.0 L by 3 +9.0
01/28 Home California -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
01/31 Home Stanford -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/07 Away Notre Dame +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
02/10 Home Virginia +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 W by 23 +28.0
02/17 Home Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
02/21 Away Clemson +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
02/24 Home Miami +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Georgia Tech -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
03/04 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/07 Home SMU -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
03/11 Neutral California -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Duke +16.5 L by 1 +15.5