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Duke at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Pick'em (0), Total Points: 160.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ LOU

More Games From Jan 6, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Louisville (Pick) Official TR Pick Louisville 55% odds to cover
Louisville (Pick) Decision Tree Louisville 55% odds to cover
Louisville (Pick) Predictive Ratings Louisville 55% odds to cover
Duke (Pick) Power Rating Model Duke 59% odds to cover
Duke (Pick) Similar Games Duke 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv LOU
Season 20-18-0 17-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 7-13-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 7-8-0 10-7-0
Away 13-10-0 7-11-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St -36.5 W by 59 +22.5
11/06 Home Jackson St -38.5 W by 36 -2.5
11/11 Home Kentucky -6.0 W by 8 +2.0
11/15 Home Ohio -31.0 W by 25 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
11/24 Home E Michigan -33.5 W by 41 +7.5
11/26 Home NJIT -43.5 W by 57 +13.5
12/03 Away Arkansas -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/13 Home Memphis -16.5 W by 26 +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
12/20 Home Montana -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/30 Away California -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/02 Away Stanford -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/06 Home Duke (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/13 Home Virginia -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
01/17 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 41 +34.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
01/26 Away Duke +8.5 L by 31 -22.5
01/31 Home SMU -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame -18.0 W by 11 -7.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/09 Home NC State -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
02/17 Away SMU -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech -23.0 W by 17 -6.0
02/23 Away North Carolina -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/28 Away Clemson -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
03/03 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 15 +0.5
03/07 Away Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/11 Neutral SMU -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/12 Neutral Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5