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Mercer at NC Greensboro: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:00 pm - Greensboro, NC
Odds: Mercer by 6, Total Points: 156

Matchup Menu: MER @ UNCG

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 158.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 156.0	Similar Games	50% odds to go over
Over 158.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MER	UNCG
Season	14-15-0	22-10-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	15-6-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	9-3-0	9-3-0
Away	5-12-0	13-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mercer Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Tennessee	143.0	61-76	Under	-6.0
11/05	Home	La Grange	--	101-62	Under	--
11/09	Home	Lipscomb	158.5	92-77	Over	+10.5
11/15	Away	Winthrop	163.5	69-105	Over	+10.5
11/22	Away	E Kentucky	164.0	95-83	Over	+14.0
11/26	Home	App State	142.5	75-67	Under	-0.5
11/29	Away	Elon	159.5	91-84	Over	+15.5
12/02	Home	Georgia St	155.5	78-67	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Oglethorpe	--	100-50	Under	--
12/13	Away	Clemson	152.0	63-70	Under	-19.0
12/17	Away	UCF	160.5	63-81	Under	-16.5
12/20	Away	Washington St	152.0	78-84	Over	+10.0
12/28	Home	Baptist (FL)	--	122-49	Under	--
12/31	Away	Furman	153.5	72-74	Under	-7.5
01/03	Away	E Tennessee St	148.5	71-77	Under	-0.5
01/07	Home	The Citadel	147.0	101-63	Over	+17.0
01/10	Home	Wofford	157.5	109-97	Over	+48.5
01/15	Away	VMI	154.0	77-67	Under	-10.0
01/17	Away	NC Greensboro	156.0	102-92	Over	+38.0
01/21	Home	W Carolina	158.5	88-76	Over	+5.5
01/24	Away	Wofford	159.5	77-80	Under	-2.5
01/29	Home	NC Greensboro	159.5	95-77	Over	+12.5
01/31	Home	VMI	153.5	95-81	Over	+22.5
02/05	Away	Chattanooga	155.5	75-79	Under	-1.5
02/07	Away	Samford	161.0	49-69	Under	-43.0
02/11	Home	Furman	151.0	69-64	Under	-18.0
02/14	Away	The Citadel	148.0	70-54	Under	-24.0
02/19	Home	Chattanooga	152.0	90-94	Over	+32.0
02/21	Home	Samford	156.5	89-86	Over	+18.5
02/25	Away	W Carolina	156.5	74-78	Under	-4.5
02/28	Home	E Tennessee St	149.5	82-76	Over	+8.5
03/07	Neutral	W Carolina	154.5	73-77	Under	-4.5

NC Greensboro Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Away	Kansas St	149.0	64-93	Over	+8.0
11/08	Home	Elon	143.5	90-92	Over	+38.5
11/12	Away	NC State	153.5	64-110	Over	+20.5
11/15	Home	Austin Peay	145.5	63-69	Under	-13.5
11/20	Away	Queens	151.5	94-101	Over	+43.5
11/23	Neutral	Youngstown St	156.0	68-62	Under	-26.0
11/25	Neutral	Delaware	142.5	60-73	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Miami OH	150.5	71-82	Over	+2.5
12/02	Neutral	NC Asheville	143.0	77-82	Over	+16.0
12/06	Away	E Carolina	139.5	82-78	Over	+20.5
12/12	Home	William Peace	--	90-62	Under	--
12/16	Home	NC A&T	148.0	65-71	Under	-12.0
12/21	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	131-53	Under	--
01/01	Home	Chattanooga	148.5	77-72	Over	+0.5
01/03	Home	Samford	151.5	89-82	Over	+19.5
01/07	Away	Wofford	153.5	85-97	Over	+28.5
01/10	Away	E Tennessee St	148.5	60-86	Under	-2.5
01/15	Home	The Citadel	149.0	69-66	Under	-14.0
01/17	Home	Mercer	156.0	92-102	Over	+38.0
01/21	Away	VMI	150.5	85-78	Over	+12.5
01/23	Home	Furman	150.5	66-89	Over	+4.5
01/29	Away	Mercer	159.5	77-95	Over	+12.5
01/31	Away	The Citadel	146.5	66-71	Under	-9.5
02/04	Home	W Carolina	155.5	81-78	Over	+3.5
02/08	Away	Furman	149.5	67-64	Under	-18.5
02/11	Home	VMI	149.0	92-71	Over	+14.0
02/14	Home	Wofford	155.0	99-89	Over	+33.0
02/18	Away	W Carolina	155.5	77-91	Over	+12.5
02/21	Home	E Tennessee St	148.5	75-87	Over	+13.5
02/26	Away	Chattanooga	157.5	85-80	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	Samford	156.5	78-87	Over	+8.5
03/06	Neutral	VMI	154.5	84-70	Under	-0.5
03/07	Neutral	Wofford	155.5	75-72	Under	-8.5
03/08	Neutral	Furman	147.5	75-81	Over	+8.5