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Valparaiso vs. Indiana St: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 5, 2026 7:00 pm - St. Louis, MO (Neutral Site)
Odds: Valparaiso by 2.5, Total Points: 140.5

Matchup Menu: VALP vs. INST

More Games From Mar 5, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 141.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 141.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 141.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	VALP	INST
Season	17-15-0	13-17-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	10-11-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 3
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	6-10-0	6-8-0
Away	11-5-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5

Indiana St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Charlotte	153.0	76-92	Over	+15.0
11/06	Home	Illinois Tech	--	104-73	Under	--
11/10	Away	SIU Edward	159.0	64-55	Under	-40.0
11/14	Away	Duke	163.5	62-100	Under	-1.5
11/19	Home	Louisiana Tech	148.5	60-51	Under	-37.5
11/22	Home	Ball St	154.0	70-52	Under	-32.0
11/26	Away	Louisiana Tech	141.5	73-75	Over	+6.5
11/28	Home	Alcorn St	152.5	74-81	Over	+2.5
12/02	Home	Eureka	--	99-57	Under	--
12/07	Home	S Indiana	158.0	77-55	Under	-26.0
12/14	Away	Milwaukee	159.5	70-68	Under	-21.5
12/18	Home	Bradley	149.5	99-108	Over	+57.5
12/21	Away	Illinois St	152.5	65-85	Under	-2.5
12/29	Home	Belmont	160.0	81-80	Over	+1.0
01/01	Away	N Iowa	135.0	66-75	Over	+6.0
01/04	Away	Drake	149.5	72-74	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Evansville	146.5	69-72	Under	-5.5
01/14	Home	Illinois St	149.0	94-89	Over	+34.0
01/17	Away	Murray St	167.0	81-85	Under	-1.0
01/21	Away	Bradley	155.0	68-75	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Drake	151.5	62-76	Under	-13.5
01/27	Away	Illinois Chicago	147.0	74-76	Over	+3.0
01/31	Home	Valparaiso	145.5	72-76	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Evansville	145.5	84-63	Over	+1.5
02/09	Home	S Illinois	146.5	65-80	Under	-1.5
02/12	Home	Murray St	163.5	72-74	Under	-17.5
02/15	Away	Valparaiso	144.0	75-76	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	N Iowa	136.0	60-81	Over	+5.0
02/21	Away	Belmont	155.5	70-87	Over	+1.5
02/25	Away	S Illinois	147.5	55-66	Under	-26.5
03/01	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	79-63	Under	-2.5
03/05	Neutral	Valparaiso	140.5	62-63	Under	-15.5