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Valparaiso at S Illinois: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Jan 1, 2026 3:00 pm - Carbondale, IL
Odds: Southern Illinois by 7.5, Total Points: 146.5

SIU -7.5 Open -8.5 High -8.5
Last -8.0 Low -7.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3286 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Southern Illinois won the game 2501 times (76.1%).
  • The team like Valparaiso won the game 785 times (23.9%).
  • The team like Southern Illinois did better against the spread, going 1624-1606-56 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Southern Illinois did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -8.5 -7.5 --
Open -8.5 -8.5 --
History
01/01 02:55 PM -- -7.5 --
01/01 01:35 PM -- -7.5 --
01/01 11:15 AM -- -7.5 --
01/01 10:15 AM -- -7.5 --
01/01 07:15 AM -- -8.5 --
12/31 11:55 PM -- -8.5 --
12/31 09:45 PM -- -8.5 --
12/31 08:30 PM -8.5 -- --
12/31 08:08 PM -8.5 -- --
12/31 08:05 PM -- -8.5 --
12/31 05:55 PM -- -8.5 --
12/31 05:46 PM -7.5 -- --
12/31 04:45 PM -- -8.5 --
12/31 04:24 PM -8.5 -- --