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Valparaiso at Illinois Chicago: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 3:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Illinois Chicago by 7.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: VALP @ UIC

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 138.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	VALP	UIC
Season	17-15-0	16-17-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	9-14-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	6-10-0	4-8-0
Away	11-5-0	12-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5

Illinois Chicago Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Detroit Mercy	142.5	91-71	Over	+19.5
11/07	Away	Oregon St	147.0	73-76	Over	+2.0
11/11	Home	St. Francis (IL)	--	98-55	Under	--
11/15	Away	Chicago St	156.5	67-63	Under	-26.5
11/20	Neutral	High Point	158.0	80-90	Over	+12.0
11/22	Neutral	S Indiana	153.5	84-73	Over	+3.5
11/26	Away	Robert Morris	151.5	74-88	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	163.5	62-63	Under	-38.5
12/07	Away	Yale	148.5	66-80	Under	-2.5
12/13	Away	Belmont	154.5	84-87	Over	+16.5
12/17	Home	N Iowa	133.0	54-60	Under	-19.0
12/21	Away	Charlotte	137.5	76-88	Over	+26.5
12/29	Home	Illinois Tech	--	102-64	Under	--
01/01	Home	Murray St	160.0	77-81	Under	-2.0
01/04	Away	Valparaiso	144.5	59-66	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	S Illinois	147.0	70-57	Under	-20.0
01/10	Away	Illinois St	141.0	63-59	Under	-19.0
01/13	Away	N Iowa	128.5	69-61	Over	+1.5
01/17	Home	Drake	138.5	74-67	Over	+2.5
01/20	Home	Evansville	139.5	76-49	Under	-14.5
01/24	Away	Bradley	144.5	85-70	Over	+10.5
01/27	Home	Indiana St	147.0	76-74	Over	+3.0
01/31	Away	S Illinois	142.5	68-66	Under	-8.5
02/03	Away	Murray St	158.0	74-81	Under	-3.0
02/06	Home	Belmont	152.5	62-68	Under	-22.5
02/12	Away	Drake	146.5	80-70	Over	+3.5
02/15	Home	Illinois St	140.0	83-56	Under	-1.0
02/18	Away	Evansville	140.0	84-46	Under	-10.0
02/21	Home	Valparaiso	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
02/24	Home	Bradley	141.5	93-86	Over	+37.5
03/01	Away	Indiana St	144.5	63-79	Under	-2.5
03/06	Neutral	Murray St	150.5	92-79	Over	+20.5
03/07	Neutral	Drake	144.5	72-51	Under	-21.5
03/08	Neutral	N Iowa	125.5	69-84	Over	+27.5
03/18	Away	California	150.5	73-91	Over	+13.5