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New Mexico St at Liberty: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 15, 2026 6:00 pm - Lynchburg, VA
Odds: Liberty by 9, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: NMSU @ LIB

More Games From Jan 15, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 143.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 143.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under
Under 143.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NMSU	LIB
Season	17-11-1	18-13-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-1	13-8-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	7-5-0	8-5-0
Away	10-6-1	10-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

New Mexico St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Adams St.	--	83-72	Under	--
11/11	Home	New Mexico Highlands	--	74-58	Under	--
11/15	Home	New Mexico	139.5	76-68	Over	+4.5
11/21	Home	Samford	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
11/25	Neutral	UC Irvine	138.5	57-45	Under	-36.5
11/26	Neutral	Georgia St	136.5	77-58	Under	-1.5
12/02	Neutral	S Alabama	135.5	75-77	Over	+16.5
12/06	Away	Abl Christian	132.0	69-77	Over	+14.0
12/13	Neutral	Tulsa	146.0	70-83	Over	+7.0
12/21	Home	Sam Houston	153.5	87-78	Over	+11.5
12/28	Home	University of the Southwest	--	104-33	Under	--
01/02	Away	Florida Intl	155.5	74-89	Over	+7.5
01/04	Away	Missouri St	135.0	82-89	Over	+36.0
01/08	Home	W Kentucky	154.5	80-64	Under	-10.5
01/10	Home	Middle Tenn	142.5	55-59	Under	-28.5
01/15	Away	Liberty	144.5	71-73	Under	-0.5
01/17	Away	Delaware	133.5	97-68	Over	+31.5
01/22	Home	Missouri St	144.0	75-84	Over	+15.0
01/24	Home	Florida Intl	157.5	78-81	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Delaware	137.5	64-73	Under	-0.5
01/31	Away	Kennesaw St	159.0	53-76	Under	-30.0
02/04	Away	Louisiana Tech	135.0	72-63	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	UTEP	138.0	88-91	Over	+41.0
02/11	Home	Liberty	143.5	75-77	Over	+8.5
02/14	Away	Jacksonville St	139.0	79-70	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	UTEP	142.5	67-63	Under	-12.5
02/26	Away	W Kentucky	151.5	70-93	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	Middle Tenn	148.5	85-86	Over	+22.5
03/05	Home	Jacksonville St	145.5	77-75	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Kennesaw St	157.5	79-76	Under	-2.5
03/10	Neutral	Jacksonville St	141.5	68-63	Under	-10.5
03/11	Neutral	Sam Houston	154.5	61-69	Under	-24.5

Liberty Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Kentucky Christian	--	98-57	Under	--
11/07	Home	Charleston	145.5	90-75	Over	+19.5
11/09	Home	Florida Atlantic	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
11/17	Home	Piedmont International	--	98-46	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	Vermont	142.0	79-73	Over	+10.0
11/25	Neutral	Towson	135.5	69-72	Over	+5.5
11/26	Neutral	Bradley	144.5	64-74	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	Coppin St	143.5	92-50	Under	-1.5
12/10	Away	NC State	149.5	45-85	Under	-19.5
12/16	Home	Midway	--	95-57	Under	--
12/20	Away	Dayton	142.5	64-61	Under	-17.5
12/28	Away	Florida Intl	152.5	97-94	Over	+38.5
01/02	Home	Kennesaw St	158.0	81-73	Under	-4.0
01/04	Home	Jacksonville St	134.5	78-69	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Louisiana Tech	135.5	72-56	Under	-7.5
01/10	Away	Sam Houston	154.5	82-74	Over	+1.5
01/15	Home	New Mexico St	144.5	73-71	Under	-0.5
01/17	Home	UTEP	137.5	80-69	Over	+11.5
01/21	Away	W Kentucky	148.5	76-69	Under	-3.5
01/24	Home	Delaware	134.5	67-51	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Middle Tenn	135.5	81-65	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Delaware	132.5	75-69	Over	+11.5
02/07	Home	Missouri St	140.5	79-76	Over	+14.5
02/11	Away	New Mexico St	143.5	77-75	Over	+8.5
02/14	Away	UTEP	137.5	73-64	Under	-0.5
02/19	Home	Florida Intl	152.5	90-89	Over	+26.5
02/21	Home	W Kentucky	147.5	73-94	Over	+19.5
02/26	Away	Kennesaw St	152.5	65-74	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Jacksonville St	139.5	81-78	Over	+19.5
03/05	Home	Louisiana Tech	136.5	71-76	Over	+10.5
03/07	Home	Sam Houston	152.5	79-72	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	Missouri St	142.5	69-77	Over	+3.5
03/17	Away	George Mason	141.5	77-71	Over	+6.5
03/21	Away	Nevada	146.5	63-73	Under	-10.5