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New Mexico St at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 1:00 pm - Murfreesboro, TN
Odds: Middle Tennessee by 5.5, Total Points: 148.5

Matchup Menu: NMSU @ MTU

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
New Mexico St +5.5 Official TR Pick New Mexico St 50% odds to cover
New Mexico St +5.5 Power Rating Model New Mexico St 66% odds to cover
New Mexico St +5.5 Decision Tree New Mexico St 50% odds to cover
New Mexico St +5.5 Predictive Ratings New Mexico St 55% odds to cover
Middle Tenn -5.5 Similar Games Middle Tenn 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NMSU adv MTU
Season 14-15-0 13-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-12-0 8-13-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 6-6-0 4-8-0
Away 8-9-0 9-8-0

New Mexico St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Adams St. -- W by 11 --
11/11 Home New Mexico Highlands -- W by 16 --
11/15 Home New Mexico +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
11/21 Home Samford -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
11/25 Neutral UC Irvine +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/26 Neutral Georgia St -12.0 W by 19 +7.0
12/02 Neutral S Alabama -4.0 L by 2 -6.0
12/06 Away Abl Christian -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
12/13 Neutral Tulsa +4.0 L by 13 -9.0
12/21 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
12/28 Home University of the Southwest -- W by 71 --
01/02 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 15 -16.5
01/04 Away Missouri St +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/08 Home W Kentucky -2.5 W by 16 +13.5
01/10 Home Middle Tenn -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
01/15 Away Liberty +9.0 L by 2 +7.0
01/17 Away Delaware -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
01/22 Home Missouri St -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
01/24 Home Florida Intl -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/28 Home Delaware -12.5 L by 9 -21.5
01/31 Away Kennesaw St +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
02/04 Away Louisiana Tech +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/07 Away UTEP -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/11 Home Liberty +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/14 Away Jacksonville St +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
02/21 Home UTEP -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Away W Kentucky +4.5 L by 23 -18.5
02/28 Away Middle Tenn +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
03/05 Home Jacksonville St -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
03/07 Home Kennesaw St -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/10 Neutral Jacksonville St -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/11 Neutral Sam Houston +4.5 L by 8 -3.5

Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Milligan -- W by 49 --
11/08 Home Webster -- W by 53 --
11/12 Away Evansville +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
11/19 Away Michigan +28.0 L by 25 +3.0
11/23 Neutral Murray St +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
11/24 Neutral G Washington +9.5 L by 13 -3.5
11/25 Neutral McNeese +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
12/01 Home UAB +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
12/07 Home Belmont +3.5 L by 21 -17.5
12/17 Home Kennesaw St -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/21 Home Cumberland -- W by 16 --
12/29 Away Houston +26.0 L by 9 +17.0
01/02 Home Louisiana Tech -6.5 W by 37 +30.5
01/04 Home Sam Houston -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
01/08 Away UTEP -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
01/10 Away New Mexico St +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/14 Away Louisiana Tech -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Home Missouri St -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/23 Away Jacksonville St -1.5 L by 17 -18.5
01/29 Home Liberty +1.5 L by 16 -14.5
01/31 Home W Kentucky -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/04 Home Florida Intl -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
02/07 Away Delaware -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
02/12 Away Kennesaw St +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/14 Away W Kentucky +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
02/18 Away Sam Houston +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/21 Home Delaware +14.5 W by 12 +26.5
02/26 Home UTEP -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
02/28 Home New Mexico St -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
03/05 Away Florida Intl -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
03/07 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Louisiana Tech -1.5 L by 11 -12.5