Golden State at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 24, 2021 7:30 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 2, Total Points: 230.5

Matchup Menu: GS @ IND

More Games From Feb 24, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS IND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GS IND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 93.3
Field Goal % 49.3% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 60.0 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.2
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.3%
Ball Control GS IND
Rebounds 51.9 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 11.8
Turnovers 12.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.8
Steals 5.4 6.8
Fouls 17.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS IND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GS IND
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 31.1%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.4%
Turnover 12.3% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS IND
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 23.9%