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Portland at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Portland by 3.5, Total Points: 241.5

Matchup Menu: POR @ MIA

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 241.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 241.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 241.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	POR	MIA
Season	44-44-0	47-36-0
vs Division	12-4-0	12-6-0
vs Conference	32-26-0	28-25-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 4
Last 5	1-4-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	8-2-0
Home	26-17-0	23-18-0
Away	18-27-0	24-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Minnesota	222.0	114-118	Over	+10.0
10/24	Home	Golden State	228.5	139-119	Over	+29.5
10/26	Away	LA Clippers	225.0	107-114	Under	-4.0
10/27	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	122-108	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Utah	235.5	136-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Denver	239.5	109-107	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	LA Lakers	228.0	115-123	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	Okla City	231.5	121-119	Over	+8.5
11/08	Away	Miami	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
11/10	Away	Orlando	235.5	112-115	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New Orleans	231.5	125-117	Over	+10.5
11/14	Away	Houston	236.5	116-140	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Dallas	236.5	133-138	Over	+34.5
11/18	Home	Phoenix	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
11/19	Home	Chicago	244.5	121-122	Under	-1.5
11/21	Away	Golden State	236.5	127-123	Over	+13.5
11/23	Away	Okla City	234.5	95-122	Under	-17.5
11/24	Away	Milwaukee	230.5	115-103	Under	-12.5
11/26	Home	San Antonio	239.5	102-115	Under	-22.5
11/30	Home	Okla City	233.5	115-123	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Toronto	230.5	118-121	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Cleveland	243.5	122-110	Under	-11.5
12/05	Away	Detroit	236.5	116-122	Over	+1.5
12/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	96-119	Under	-17.5
12/11	Away	New Orleans	241.5	120-143	Over	+21.5
12/14	Home	Golden State	237.5	136-131	Over	+29.5
12/18	Home	Sacramento	239.5	134-133	Over	+27.5
12/20	Away	Sacramento	235.5	98-93	Under	-44.5
12/22	Home	Detroit	234.5	102-110	Under	-22.5
12/23	Home	Orlando	231.5	106-110	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	103-119	Under	-5.5
12/28	Home	Boston	231.5	114-108	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Dallas	232.5	125-122	Over	+14.5
12/31	Away	Okla City	232.5	95-124	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	New Orleans	240.5	122-109	Under	-9.5
01/03	Away	San Antonio	235.5	115-110	Under	-10.5
01/05	Home	Utah	242.5	137-117	Over	+11.5
01/07	Home	Houston	222.5	103-102	Under	-17.5
01/09	Home	Houston	222.5	111-105	Under	-6.5
01/11	Home	New York	229.5	114-123	Over	+7.5
01/13	Away	Golden State	225.5	97-119	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	Atlanta	228.5	117-101	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	132-116	Over	+24.5
01/18	Away	Sacramento	229.5	117-110	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	Miami	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
01/23	Home	Toronto	224.5	98-110	Under	-16.5
01/26	Away	Boston	222.5	94-102	Under	-26.5
01/27	Away	Washington	233.5	111-115	Under	-7.5
01/30	Away	New York	224.5	97-127	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Cleveland	227.5	111-130	Over	+13.5
02/03	Home	Phoenix	219.5	125-130	Over	+35.5
02/06	Home	Memphis	235.5	135-115	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Memphis	229.5	122-115	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	Philadelphia	231.5	135-118	Over	+21.5
02/11	Away	Minnesota	234.5	109-133	Over	+7.5
02/12	Away	Utah	236.5	135-119	Over	+17.5
02/20	Home	Denver	241.5	103-157	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Phoenix	224.5	92-77	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	234.5	121-124	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	Chicago	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-109	Under	-27.5
03/01	Away	Atlanta	235.5	101-135	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Memphis	231.5	122-114	Over	+4.5
03/06	Away	Houston	221.5	99-106	Under	-16.5
03/08	Home	Indiana	238.5	131-111	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Charlotte	227.5	101-103	Under	-23.5
03/13	Home	Utah	235.5	124-114	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	103-109	Under	-16.5
03/16	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	114-95	Under	-12.5
03/18	Away	Indiana	232.5	127-119	Over	+13.5
03/20	Away	Minnesota	231.5	108-104	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Denver	237.5	112-128	Over	+2.5
03/23	Home	Brooklyn	217.5	134-99	Over	+15.5
03/25	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	130-99	Over	+2.5
03/27	Home	Dallas	239.5	93-100	Under	-46.5
03/29	Home	Washington	236.5	123-88	Under	-25.5
03/31	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	114-104	Under	-7.5
04/02	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-106	Under	-9.5
04/06	Away	Denver	236.5	132-137	Over	+32.5
04/08	Away	San Antonio	229.5	101-112	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-97	Under	-14.5
04/12	Home	Sacramento	226.5	122-110	Over	+5.5
04/14	Away	Phoenix	215.5	114-110	Over	+8.5
04/19	Away	San Antonio	222.5	98-111	Under	-13.5
04/21	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-103	Under	-12.5
04/24	Home	San Antonio	220.5	108-120	Over	+7.5
04/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	93-114	Under	-9.5
04/28	Away	San Antonio	218.5	95-114	Under	-9.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5