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Portland at Memphis: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 4, 2026 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Portland by 9.5, Total Points: 231.5

Matchup Menu: POR @ MEM

More Games From Mar 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 231.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 231.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 231.5	Similar Games	65% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	POR	MEM
Season	44-44-0	43-39-0
vs Division	12-4-0	7-9-0
vs Conference	32-26-0	26-26-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 5
Last 5	1-4-0	5-0-0
Last 10	4-6-0	9-1-0
Home	26-17-0	22-18-0
Away	18-27-0	21-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Minnesota	222.0	114-118	Over	+10.0
10/24	Home	Golden State	228.5	139-119	Over	+29.5
10/26	Away	LA Clippers	225.0	107-114	Under	-4.0
10/27	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	122-108	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Utah	235.5	136-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Denver	239.5	109-107	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	LA Lakers	228.0	115-123	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	Okla City	231.5	121-119	Over	+8.5
11/08	Away	Miami	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
11/10	Away	Orlando	235.5	112-115	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New Orleans	231.5	125-117	Over	+10.5
11/14	Away	Houston	236.5	116-140	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Dallas	236.5	133-138	Over	+34.5
11/18	Home	Phoenix	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
11/19	Home	Chicago	244.5	121-122	Under	-1.5
11/21	Away	Golden State	236.5	127-123	Over	+13.5
11/23	Away	Okla City	234.5	95-122	Under	-17.5
11/24	Away	Milwaukee	230.5	115-103	Under	-12.5
11/26	Home	San Antonio	239.5	102-115	Under	-22.5
11/30	Home	Okla City	233.5	115-123	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Toronto	230.5	118-121	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Cleveland	243.5	122-110	Under	-11.5
12/05	Away	Detroit	236.5	116-122	Over	+1.5
12/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	96-119	Under	-17.5
12/11	Away	New Orleans	241.5	120-143	Over	+21.5
12/14	Home	Golden State	237.5	136-131	Over	+29.5
12/18	Home	Sacramento	239.5	134-133	Over	+27.5
12/20	Away	Sacramento	235.5	98-93	Under	-44.5
12/22	Home	Detroit	234.5	102-110	Under	-22.5
12/23	Home	Orlando	231.5	106-110	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	103-119	Under	-5.5
12/28	Home	Boston	231.5	114-108	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Dallas	232.5	125-122	Over	+14.5
12/31	Away	Okla City	232.5	95-124	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	New Orleans	240.5	122-109	Under	-9.5
01/03	Away	San Antonio	235.5	115-110	Under	-10.5
01/05	Home	Utah	242.5	137-117	Over	+11.5
01/07	Home	Houston	222.5	103-102	Under	-17.5
01/09	Home	Houston	222.5	111-105	Under	-6.5
01/11	Home	New York	229.5	114-123	Over	+7.5
01/13	Away	Golden State	225.5	97-119	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	Atlanta	228.5	117-101	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	132-116	Over	+24.5
01/18	Away	Sacramento	229.5	117-110	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	Miami	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
01/23	Home	Toronto	224.5	98-110	Under	-16.5
01/26	Away	Boston	222.5	94-102	Under	-26.5
01/27	Away	Washington	233.5	111-115	Under	-7.5
01/30	Away	New York	224.5	97-127	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Cleveland	227.5	111-130	Over	+13.5
02/03	Home	Phoenix	219.5	125-130	Over	+35.5
02/06	Home	Memphis	235.5	135-115	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Memphis	229.5	122-115	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	Philadelphia	231.5	135-118	Over	+21.5
02/11	Away	Minnesota	234.5	109-133	Over	+7.5
02/12	Away	Utah	236.5	135-119	Over	+17.5
02/20	Home	Denver	241.5	103-157	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Phoenix	224.5	92-77	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	234.5	121-124	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	Chicago	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-109	Under	-27.5
03/01	Away	Atlanta	235.5	101-135	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Memphis	231.5	122-114	Over	+4.5
03/06	Away	Houston	221.5	99-106	Under	-16.5
03/08	Home	Indiana	238.5	131-111	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Charlotte	227.5	101-103	Under	-23.5
03/13	Home	Utah	235.5	124-114	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	103-109	Under	-16.5
03/16	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	114-95	Under	-12.5
03/18	Away	Indiana	232.5	127-119	Over	+13.5
03/20	Away	Minnesota	231.5	108-104	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Denver	237.5	112-128	Over	+2.5
03/23	Home	Brooklyn	217.5	134-99	Over	+15.5
03/25	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	130-99	Over	+2.5
03/27	Home	Dallas	239.5	93-100	Under	-46.5
03/29	Home	Washington	236.5	123-88	Under	-25.5
03/31	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	114-104	Under	-7.5
04/02	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-106	Under	-9.5
04/06	Away	Denver	236.5	132-137	Over	+32.5
04/08	Away	San Antonio	229.5	101-112	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-97	Under	-14.5
04/12	Home	Sacramento	226.5	122-110	Over	+5.5
04/14	Away	Phoenix	215.5	114-110	Over	+8.5
04/19	Away	San Antonio	222.5	98-111	Under	-13.5
04/21	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-103	Under	-12.5
04/24	Home	San Antonio	220.5	108-120	Over	+7.5
04/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	93-114	Under	-9.5
04/28	Away	San Antonio	218.5	95-114	Under	-9.5

Memphis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	New Orleans	236.5	128-122	Over	+13.5
10/24	Home	Miami	232.5	114-146	Over	+27.5
10/25	Home	Indiana	240.5	128-103	Under	-9.5
10/27	Away	Golden State	240.0	118-131	Over	+9.0
10/29	Away	Phoenix	242.0	114-113	Under	-15.0
10/31	Home	LA Lakers	237.5	112-117	Under	-8.5
11/02	Away	Toronto	238.5	104-117	Under	-17.5
11/03	Home	Detroit	236.0	106-114	Under	-16.0
11/05	Home	Houston	232.5	109-124	Over	+0.5
11/07	Home	Dallas	232.5	118-104	Under	-10.5
11/09	Home	Okla City	231.5	100-114	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	New York	232.5	120-133	Over	+20.5
11/12	Away	Boston	227.5	95-131	Under	-1.5
11/15	Away	Cleveland	241.5	100-108	Under	-33.5
11/18	Away	San Antonio	233.5	101-111	Under	-21.5
11/20	Home	Sacramento	234.5	137-96	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Dallas	229.5	102-96	Under	-31.5
11/24	Home	Denver	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
11/26	Away	New Orleans	236.5	133-128	Over	+24.5
11/28	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	112-107	Under	-5.5
11/30	Away	Sacramento	233.5	115-107	Under	-11.5
12/02	Away	San Antonio	231.5	119-126	Over	+13.5
12/05	Home	LA Clippers	223.5	107-98	Under	-18.5
12/07	Home	Portland	232.5	119-96	Under	-17.5
12/12	Home	Utah	243.5	126-130	Over	+12.5
12/15	Away	LA Clippers	228.5	121-103	Under	-4.5
12/17	Away	Minnesota	227.5	116-110	Under	-1.5
12/20	Home	Washington	233.5	122-130	Over	+18.5
12/22	Away	Okla City	234.5	103-119	Under	-12.5
12/23	Away	Utah	242.5	137-128	Over	+22.5
12/26	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	125-104	Over	+1.5
12/28	Away	Washington	241.5	112-116	Under	-13.5
12/30	Home	Philadelphia	235.5	136-139	Over	+39.5
01/02	Away	LA Lakers	241.5	121-128	Over	+7.5
01/04	Away	LA Lakers	239.5	114-120	Under	-5.5
01/06	Home	San Antonio	237.5	106-105	Under	-26.5
01/07	Home	Phoenix	231.5	98-117	Under	-16.5
01/09	Home	Okla City	229.5	116-117	Over	+3.5
01/11	Home	Brooklyn	220.5	103-98	Under	-19.5
01/15	Neutral	Orlando	227.5	111-118	Over	+1.5
01/18	Neutral	Orlando	229.5	126-109	Over	+5.5
01/21	Home	Atlanta	239.5	122-124	Over	+6.5
01/23	Home	New Orleans	240.5	127-133	Over	+19.5
01/26	Away	Houston	226.5	99-108	Under	-19.5
01/28	Home	Charlotte	230.5	97-112	Under	-21.5
01/30	Away	New Orleans	231.5	106-114	Under	-11.5
01/31	Home	Minnesota	229.5	114-131	Over	+15.5
02/02	Home	Minnesota	232.5	137-128	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Sacramento	235.5	129-125	Over	+18.5
02/06	Away	Portland	235.5	115-135	Over	+14.5
02/07	Away	Portland	229.5	115-122	Over	+7.5
02/09	Away	Golden State	219.5	113-114	Over	+7.5
02/11	Away	Denver	238.5	116-122	Under	-0.5
02/20	Home	Utah	237.5	123-114	Under	-0.5
02/21	Away	Miami	238.5	120-136	Over	+17.5
02/23	Home	Sacramento	232.5	114-123	Over	+4.5
02/25	Home	Golden State	226.5	112-133	Over	+18.5
02/27	Away	Dallas	241.5	124-105	Under	-12.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	236.5	125-106	Under	-5.5
03/03	Away	Minnesota	237.5	110-117	Under	-10.5
03/04	Home	Portland	231.5	114-122	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	LA Clippers	229.5	120-123	Over	+13.5
03/09	Away	Brooklyn	220.5	115-126	Over	+20.5
03/10	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	129-139	Over	+39.5
03/12	Home	Dallas	239.5	112-120	Under	-7.5
03/13	Away	Detroit	233.5	110-126	Over	+2.5
03/16	Away	Chicago	243.5	107-132	Under	-4.5
03/18	Home	Denver	247.5	125-118	Under	-4.5
03/20	Home	Boston	230.5	112-117	Under	-1.5
03/21	Away	Charlotte	232.5	101-124	Under	-7.5
03/23	Away	Atlanta	239.5	107-146	Over	+13.5
03/25	Home	San Antonio	234.5	98-123	Under	-13.5
03/27	Home	Houston	227.5	109-119	Over	+0.5
03/28	Home	Chicago	248.5	125-124	Over	+0.5
03/30	Home	Phoenix	227.5	105-131	Over	+8.5
04/01	Home	New York	225.5	119-130	Over	+23.5
04/03	Home	Toronto	233.5	96-128	Under	-9.5
04/05	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	115-131	Over	+17.5
04/06	Home	Cleveland	230.5	126-142	Over	+37.5
04/08	Away	Denver	247.5	119-136	Over	+7.5
04/10	Away	Utah	247.5	101-147	Over	+0.5
04/12	Away	Houston	230.5	101-132	Over	+2.5