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Phoenix at Houston: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Dec 5, 2025 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 9.5, Total Points: 219.5

Matchup Menu: PHO @ HOU

More Games From Dec 5, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 218.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 218.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 218.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	PHO	HOU
Season	40-48-0	41-46-1
vs Division	6-12-0	8-8-0
vs Conference	27-31-0	26-32-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	17-28-0	18-25-1
Away	23-20-0	23-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Phoenix Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Sacramento	228.5	120-116	Over	+7.5
10/24	Away	LA Clippers	224.0	102-129	Over	+7.0
10/25	Away	Denver	233.5	111-133	Over	+10.5
10/27	Away	Utah	230.0	134-138	Over	+42.0
10/29	Home	Memphis	242.0	113-114	Under	-15.0
10/31	Home	Utah	238.0	118-96	Under	-24.0
11/02	Home	San Antonio	227.5	130-118	Over	+20.5
11/04	Away	Golden State	235.5	107-118	Under	-10.5
11/06	Home	LA Clippers	224.5	115-102	Under	-7.5
11/08	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	114-103	Under	-9.5
11/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	121-98	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	Dallas	227.5	123-114	Over	+9.5
11/13	Home	Indiana	233.5	133-98	Under	-2.5
11/16	Home	Atlanta	226.5	122-124	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Portland	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
11/21	Home	Minnesota	230.5	114-113	Under	-3.5
11/23	Home	San Antonio	234.5	111-102	Under	-21.5
11/24	Home	Houston	224.5	92-114	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Sacramento	233.5	112-100	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Okla City	223.5	119-123	Over	+18.5
11/29	Home	Denver	233.5	112-130	Over	+8.5
12/01	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	125-108	Over	+1.5
12/05	Away	Houston	219.5	98-117	Under	-4.5
12/08	Away	Minnesota	226.5	108-105	Under	-13.5
12/10	Away	Okla City	221.5	89-138	Over	+5.5
12/14	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	114-116	Under	-1.5
12/18	Home	Golden State	229.5	99-98	Under	-32.5
12/20	Away	Golden State	226.5	116-119	Over	+8.5
12/23	Home	LA Lakers	226.5	132-108	Over	+13.5
12/26	Away	New Orleans	241.5	115-108	Under	-18.5
12/27	Away	New Orleans	241.5	123-114	Under	-4.5
12/29	Away	Washington	233.5	115-101	Under	-17.5
12/31	Away	Cleveland	233.5	113-129	Over	+8.5
01/02	Home	Sacramento	223.5	129-102	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Okla City	229.5	108-105	Under	-16.5
01/05	Away	Houston	222.5	97-100	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Memphis	231.5	117-98	Under	-16.5
01/09	Home	New York	228.5	112-107	Under	-9.5
01/11	Home	Washington	229.5	112-93	Under	-24.5
01/13	Away	Miami	230.5	121-127	Over	+17.5
01/15	Away	Detroit	219.5	105-108	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	New York	224.5	106-99	Under	-19.5
01/19	Away	Brooklyn	214.5	126-117	Over	+28.5
01/20	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	116-110	Over	+2.5
01/23	Away	Atlanta	233.5	103-110	Under	-20.5
01/25	Home	Miami	225.5	102-111	Under	-12.5
01/27	Home	Brooklyn	210.5	106-102	Under	-2.5
01/29	Home	Detroit	213.5	114-96	Under	-3.5
01/30	Home	Cleveland	222.5	126-113	Over	+16.5
02/01	Home	LA Clippers	210.5	93-117	Under	-0.5
02/03	Away	Portland	219.5	130-125	Over	+35.5
02/05	Home	Golden State	213.5	97-101	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Philadelphia	225.5	103-109	Under	-13.5
02/10	Home	Dallas	229.5	120-111	Over	+1.5
02/11	Home	Okla City	215.5	109-136	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	San Antonio	229.5	94-121	Under	-14.5
02/21	Home	Orlando	218.5	113-110	Over	+4.5
02/22	Home	Portland	224.5	77-92	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Boston	206.5	81-97	Under	-28.5
02/26	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	113-110	Under	-0.5
03/03	Away	Sacramento	224.5	114-103	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	Chicago	224.5	103-105	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	New Orleans	228.5	118-116	Over	+5.5
03/08	Home	Charlotte	218.5	111-99	Under	-8.5
03/10	Away	Milwaukee	219.5	129-114	Over	+23.5
03/12	Away	Indiana	222.5	123-108	Over	+8.5
03/13	Away	Toronto	221.5	115-122	Over	+15.5
03/16	Away	Boston	216.5	112-120	Over	+15.5
03/17	Away	Minnesota	220.5	104-116	Under	-0.5
03/19	Away	San Antonio	228.5	100-101	Under	-27.5
03/21	Home	Milwaukee	218.5	105-108	Under	-5.5
03/22	Home	Toronto	219.5	120-98	Under	-1.5
03/24	Home	Denver	233.5	123-125	Over	+14.5
03/28	Home	Utah	232.5	134-109	Over	+10.5
03/30	Away	Memphis	227.5	131-105	Over	+8.5
03/31	Away	Orlando	224.5	111-115	Over	+1.5
04/02	Away	Charlotte	225.5	107-127	Over	+8.5
04/05	Away	Chicago	240.5	120-110	Under	-10.5
04/07	Home	Houston	220.5	105-119	Over	+3.5
04/08	Home	Dallas	233.5	112-107	Under	-14.5
04/10	Away	LA Lakers	216.5	73-101	Under	-42.5
04/12	Away	Okla City	212.5	135-103	Over	+25.5
04/14	Home	Portland	215.5	110-114	Over	+8.5
04/17	Home	Golden State	219.5	111-96	Under	-12.5
04/19	Away	Okla City	215.5	84-119	Under	-12.5
04/22	Away	Okla City	215.5	107-120	Over	+11.5
04/25	Home	Okla City	212.5	109-121	Over	+17.5
04/27	Home	Okla City	215.5	122-131	Over	+37.5

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	Okla City	226.0	124-125	Over	+23.0
10/24	Home	Detroit	226.0	111-115	Push	0.0
10/27	Home	Brooklyn	225.0	137-109	Over	+21.0
10/29	Away	Toronto	234.5	139-121	Over	+25.5
11/01	Away	Boston	226.0	128-101	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Dallas	226.0	110-102	Under	-14.0
11/05	Away	Memphis	232.5	124-109	Over	+0.5
11/07	Away	San Antonio	224.5	110-121	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	122-115	Over	+4.5
11/12	Home	Washington	236.5	135-112	Over	+10.5
11/14	Home	Portland	236.5	140-116	Over	+19.5
11/16	Home	Orlando	224.5	117-113	Over	+5.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland	233.5	114-104	Under	-15.5
11/21	Home	Denver	234.5	109-112	Under	-13.5
11/24	Away	Phoenix	224.5	114-92	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Golden State	224.5	104-100	Under	-20.5
11/30	Away	Utah	233.5	129-101	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Utah	234.5	125-133	Over	+23.5
12/03	Home	Sacramento	230.5	121-95	Under	-14.5
12/05	Home	Phoenix	219.5	117-98	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	Dallas	221.5	109-122	Over	+9.5
12/11	Home	LA Clippers	221.5	115-113	Over	+6.5
12/15	Away	Denver	236.5	125-128	Over	+16.5
12/18	Away	New Orleans	235.5	128-133	Over	+25.5
12/20	Away	Denver	235.5	115-101	Under	-19.5
12/21	Away	Sacramento	223.5	124-125	Over	+25.5
12/23	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	108-128	Over	+16.5
12/25	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	119-96	Under	-16.5
12/27	Home	Cleveland	232.5	117-100	Under	-15.5
12/29	Home	Indiana	223.5	126-119	Over	+21.5
01/01	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	120-96	Under	-0.5
01/03	Away	Dallas	228.5	104-110	Under	-14.5
01/05	Home	Phoenix	222.5	100-97	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Portland	222.5	102-103	Under	-17.5
01/09	Away	Portland	222.5	105-111	Under	-6.5
01/11	Away	Sacramento	223.5	98-111	Under	-14.5
01/13	Home	Chicago	224.5	119-113	Over	+7.5
01/15	Home	Okla City	221.5	91-111	Under	-19.5
01/16	Home	Minnesota	221.5	110-105	Under	-6.5
01/18	Home	New Orleans	232.5	119-110	Under	-3.5
01/20	Home	San Antonio	220.5	111-106	Under	-3.5
01/22	Away	Philadelphia	221.5	122-128	Over	+28.5
01/23	Away	Detroit	217.5	111-104	Under	-2.5
01/26	Home	Memphis	226.5	108-99	Under	-19.5
01/28	Home	San Antonio	219.5	99-111	Under	-9.5
01/29	Away	Atlanta	223.5	104-86	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Dallas	222.5	111-107	Under	-4.5
02/02	Away	Indiana	218.5	118-114	Over	+13.5
02/04	Home	Boston	211.5	93-114	Under	-4.5
02/05	Home	Charlotte	218.5	99-109	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Okla City	213.5	112-106	Over	+4.5
02/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	102-95	Under	-17.5
02/11	Home	LA Clippers	211.5	102-105	Under	-4.5
02/19	Away	Charlotte	218.5	105-101	Under	-12.5
02/21	Away	New York	220.5	106-108	Under	-6.5
02/23	Home	Utah	228.5	125-105	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Sacramento	222.5	128-97	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Orlando	214.5	113-108	Over	+6.5
02/28	Away	Miami	226.5	105-115	Under	-6.5
03/02	Away	Washington	225.5	123-118	Over	+15.5
03/05	Home	Golden State	214.5	113-115	Over	+13.5
03/06	Home	Portland	221.5	106-99	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	San Antonio	222.5	120-145	Over	+42.5
03/10	Home	Toronto	220.5	113-99	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	Denver	231.5	93-129	Under	-9.5
03/13	Home	New Orleans	230.5	107-105	Under	-18.5
03/16	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	92-100	Under	-31.5
03/18	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	116-124	Over	+17.5
03/20	Home	Atlanta	226.5	117-95	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Miami	228.5	123-122	Over	+16.5
03/23	Away	Chicago	232.5	124-132	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Minnesota	223.5	108-110	Under	-5.5
03/27	Away	Memphis	227.5	119-109	Over	+0.5
03/29	Away	New Orleans	226.5	134-102	Over	+9.5
03/31	Home	New York	217.5	111-94	Under	-12.5
04/01	Home	Milwaukee	215.5	119-113	Over	+16.5
04/03	Home	Utah	233.5	140-106	Over	+12.5
04/05	Away	Golden State	226.5	117-116	Over	+6.5
04/07	Away	Phoenix	220.5	119-105	Over	+3.5
04/09	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	113-102	Under	-11.5
04/10	Home	Minnesota	227.5	132-136	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	Memphis	230.5	132-101	Over	+2.5
04/18	Away	LA Lakers	207.5	98-107	Under	-2.5
04/21	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	94-101	Under	-14.5
04/24	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	108-112	Over	+13.5
04/26	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	115-96	Over	+4.5
04/29	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	99-93	Under	-17.5
05/01	Home	LA Lakers	204.5	78-98	Under	-28.5