This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Phoenix at Denver: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Oct 25, 2025 9:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 13, Total Points: 233.5

Matchup Menu: PHO @ DEN

More Games From Oct 25, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO DEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PHO DEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 92.7 83.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 49.5 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 43.2 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 27.2
Free Throw % 77.3% 80.8%
Ball Control PHO DEN
Rebounds 48.4 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.1
Turnovers 10.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.3
Steals 7.5 5.5
Fouls 20.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO DEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PHO DEN
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 16.9% 20.4%
Turnover 10.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO DEN
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 24.6%