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Houston at Portland: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 9, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Houston by 6.5, Total Points: 222.5

Matchup Menu: HOU @ POR

More Games From Jan 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 222.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 222.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Under 222.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	HOU	POR
Season	41-46-1	44-44-0
vs Division	8-8-0	12-4-0
vs Conference	26-32-0	32-26-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	18-25-1	26-17-0
Away	23-21-0	18-27-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	Okla City	226.0	124-125	Over	+23.0
10/24	Home	Detroit	226.0	111-115	Push	0.0
10/27	Home	Brooklyn	225.0	137-109	Over	+21.0
10/29	Away	Toronto	234.5	139-121	Over	+25.5
11/01	Away	Boston	226.0	128-101	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Dallas	226.0	110-102	Under	-14.0
11/05	Away	Memphis	232.5	124-109	Over	+0.5
11/07	Away	San Antonio	224.5	110-121	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	122-115	Over	+4.5
11/12	Home	Washington	236.5	135-112	Over	+10.5
11/14	Home	Portland	236.5	140-116	Over	+19.5
11/16	Home	Orlando	224.5	117-113	Over	+5.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland	233.5	114-104	Under	-15.5
11/21	Home	Denver	234.5	109-112	Under	-13.5
11/24	Away	Phoenix	224.5	114-92	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Golden State	224.5	104-100	Under	-20.5
11/30	Away	Utah	233.5	129-101	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Utah	234.5	125-133	Over	+23.5
12/03	Home	Sacramento	230.5	121-95	Under	-14.5
12/05	Home	Phoenix	219.5	117-98	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	Dallas	221.5	109-122	Over	+9.5
12/11	Home	LA Clippers	221.5	115-113	Over	+6.5
12/15	Away	Denver	236.5	125-128	Over	+16.5
12/18	Away	New Orleans	235.5	128-133	Over	+25.5
12/20	Away	Denver	235.5	115-101	Under	-19.5
12/21	Away	Sacramento	223.5	124-125	Over	+25.5
12/23	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	108-128	Over	+16.5
12/25	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	119-96	Under	-16.5
12/27	Home	Cleveland	232.5	117-100	Under	-15.5
12/29	Home	Indiana	223.5	126-119	Over	+21.5
01/01	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	120-96	Under	-0.5
01/03	Away	Dallas	228.5	104-110	Under	-14.5
01/05	Home	Phoenix	222.5	100-97	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Portland	222.5	102-103	Under	-17.5
01/09	Away	Portland	222.5	105-111	Under	-6.5
01/11	Away	Sacramento	223.5	98-111	Under	-14.5
01/13	Home	Chicago	224.5	119-113	Over	+7.5
01/15	Home	Okla City	221.5	91-111	Under	-19.5
01/16	Home	Minnesota	221.5	110-105	Under	-6.5
01/18	Home	New Orleans	232.5	119-110	Under	-3.5
01/20	Home	San Antonio	220.5	111-106	Under	-3.5
01/22	Away	Philadelphia	221.5	122-128	Over	+28.5
01/23	Away	Detroit	217.5	111-104	Under	-2.5
01/26	Home	Memphis	226.5	108-99	Under	-19.5
01/28	Home	San Antonio	219.5	99-111	Under	-9.5
01/29	Away	Atlanta	223.5	104-86	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Dallas	222.5	111-107	Under	-4.5
02/02	Away	Indiana	218.5	118-114	Over	+13.5
02/04	Home	Boston	211.5	93-114	Under	-4.5
02/05	Home	Charlotte	218.5	99-109	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Okla City	213.5	112-106	Over	+4.5
02/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	102-95	Under	-17.5
02/11	Home	LA Clippers	211.5	102-105	Under	-4.5
02/19	Away	Charlotte	218.5	105-101	Under	-12.5
02/21	Away	New York	220.5	106-108	Under	-6.5
02/23	Home	Utah	228.5	125-105	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Sacramento	222.5	128-97	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Orlando	214.5	113-108	Over	+6.5
02/28	Away	Miami	226.5	105-115	Under	-6.5
03/02	Away	Washington	225.5	123-118	Over	+15.5
03/05	Home	Golden State	214.5	113-115	Over	+13.5
03/06	Home	Portland	221.5	106-99	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	San Antonio	222.5	120-145	Over	+42.5
03/10	Home	Toronto	220.5	113-99	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	Denver	231.5	93-129	Under	-9.5
03/13	Home	New Orleans	230.5	107-105	Under	-18.5
03/16	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	92-100	Under	-31.5
03/18	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	116-124	Over	+17.5
03/20	Home	Atlanta	226.5	117-95	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Miami	228.5	123-122	Over	+16.5
03/23	Away	Chicago	232.5	124-132	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Minnesota	223.5	108-110	Under	-5.5
03/27	Away	Memphis	227.5	119-109	Over	+0.5
03/29	Away	New Orleans	226.5	134-102	Over	+9.5
03/31	Home	New York	217.5	111-94	Under	-12.5
04/01	Home	Milwaukee	215.5	119-113	Over	+16.5
04/03	Home	Utah	233.5	140-106	Over	+12.5
04/05	Away	Golden State	226.5	117-116	Over	+6.5
04/07	Away	Phoenix	220.5	119-105	Over	+3.5
04/09	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	113-102	Under	-11.5
04/10	Home	Minnesota	227.5	132-136	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	Memphis	230.5	132-101	Over	+2.5
04/18	Away	LA Lakers	207.5	98-107	Under	-2.5
04/21	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	94-101	Under	-14.5
04/24	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	108-112	Over	+13.5
04/26	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	115-96	Over	+4.5
04/29	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	99-93	Under	-17.5
05/01	Home	LA Lakers	204.5	78-98	Under	-28.5

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Minnesota	222.0	114-118	Over	+10.0
10/24	Home	Golden State	228.5	139-119	Over	+29.5
10/26	Away	LA Clippers	225.0	107-114	Under	-4.0
10/27	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	122-108	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Utah	235.5	136-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Denver	239.5	109-107	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	LA Lakers	228.0	115-123	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	Okla City	231.5	121-119	Over	+8.5
11/08	Away	Miami	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
11/10	Away	Orlando	235.5	112-115	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New Orleans	231.5	125-117	Over	+10.5
11/14	Away	Houston	236.5	116-140	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Dallas	236.5	133-138	Over	+34.5
11/18	Home	Phoenix	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
11/19	Home	Chicago	244.5	121-122	Under	-1.5
11/21	Away	Golden State	236.5	127-123	Over	+13.5
11/23	Away	Okla City	234.5	95-122	Under	-17.5
11/24	Away	Milwaukee	230.5	115-103	Under	-12.5
11/26	Home	San Antonio	239.5	102-115	Under	-22.5
11/30	Home	Okla City	233.5	115-123	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Toronto	230.5	118-121	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Cleveland	243.5	122-110	Under	-11.5
12/05	Away	Detroit	236.5	116-122	Over	+1.5
12/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	96-119	Under	-17.5
12/11	Away	New Orleans	241.5	120-143	Over	+21.5
12/14	Home	Golden State	237.5	136-131	Over	+29.5
12/18	Home	Sacramento	239.5	134-133	Over	+27.5
12/20	Away	Sacramento	235.5	98-93	Under	-44.5
12/22	Home	Detroit	234.5	102-110	Under	-22.5
12/23	Home	Orlando	231.5	106-110	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	103-119	Under	-5.5
12/28	Home	Boston	231.5	114-108	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Dallas	232.5	125-122	Over	+14.5
12/31	Away	Okla City	232.5	95-124	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	New Orleans	240.5	122-109	Under	-9.5
01/03	Away	San Antonio	235.5	115-110	Under	-10.5
01/05	Home	Utah	242.5	137-117	Over	+11.5
01/07	Home	Houston	222.5	103-102	Under	-17.5
01/09	Home	Houston	222.5	111-105	Under	-6.5
01/11	Home	New York	229.5	114-123	Over	+7.5
01/13	Away	Golden State	225.5	97-119	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	Atlanta	228.5	117-101	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	132-116	Over	+24.5
01/18	Away	Sacramento	229.5	117-110	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	Miami	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
01/23	Home	Toronto	224.5	98-110	Under	-16.5
01/26	Away	Boston	222.5	94-102	Under	-26.5
01/27	Away	Washington	233.5	111-115	Under	-7.5
01/30	Away	New York	224.5	97-127	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Cleveland	227.5	111-130	Over	+13.5
02/03	Home	Phoenix	219.5	125-130	Over	+35.5
02/06	Home	Memphis	235.5	135-115	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Memphis	229.5	122-115	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	Philadelphia	231.5	135-118	Over	+21.5
02/11	Away	Minnesota	234.5	109-133	Over	+7.5
02/12	Away	Utah	236.5	135-119	Over	+17.5
02/20	Home	Denver	241.5	103-157	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Phoenix	224.5	92-77	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	234.5	121-124	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	Chicago	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-109	Under	-27.5
03/01	Away	Atlanta	235.5	101-135	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Memphis	231.5	122-114	Over	+4.5
03/06	Away	Houston	221.5	99-106	Under	-16.5
03/08	Home	Indiana	238.5	131-111	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Charlotte	227.5	101-103	Under	-23.5
03/13	Home	Utah	235.5	124-114	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	103-109	Under	-16.5
03/16	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	114-95	Under	-12.5
03/18	Away	Indiana	232.5	127-119	Over	+13.5
03/20	Away	Minnesota	231.5	108-104	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Denver	237.5	112-128	Over	+2.5
03/23	Home	Brooklyn	217.5	134-99	Over	+15.5
03/25	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	130-99	Over	+2.5
03/27	Home	Dallas	239.5	93-100	Under	-46.5
03/29	Home	Washington	236.5	123-88	Under	-25.5
03/31	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	114-104	Under	-7.5
04/02	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-106	Under	-9.5
04/06	Away	Denver	236.5	132-137	Over	+32.5
04/08	Away	San Antonio	229.5	101-112	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-97	Under	-14.5
04/12	Home	Sacramento	226.5	122-110	Over	+5.5
04/14	Away	Phoenix	215.5	114-110	Over	+8.5
04/19	Away	San Antonio	222.5	98-111	Under	-13.5
04/21	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-103	Under	-12.5
04/24	Home	San Antonio	220.5	108-120	Over	+7.5
04/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	93-114	Under	-9.5
04/28	Away	San Antonio	218.5	95-114	Under	-9.5