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Toronto at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 23, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Toronto by 3.5, Total Points: 224.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ POR

More Games From Jan 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR POR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOR POR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 85.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 40.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 26.7
Free Throw % 75.5% 76.0%
Ball Control TOR POR
Rebounds 47.2 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 15.8
Turnovers 13.6 16.9
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.5
Steals 10.0 7.1
Fouls 20.5 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR POR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOR POR
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 33.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 19.9%
Turnover 13.2% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR POR
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 31.5%