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Toronto at Houston: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Mar 10, 2026 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 4.5, Total Points: 220.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ HOU

More Games From Mar 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Houston -4.5 Official TR Pick Houston 51% odds to cover
Houston -4.5 Decision Tree Houston 51% odds to cover
Houston -4.5 Predictive Ratings Houston 53% odds to cover
Toronto +4.5 Power Rating Model Toronto 59% odds to cover
Toronto +4.5 Similar Games Toronto 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOR adv HOU
Season 46-43-0 38-50-0
vs Division 4-13-0 4-12-0
vs Conference 32-27-0 22-36-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 24-20-0 18-26-0
Away 22-23-0 20-24-0

Toronto Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Atlanta +5.5 W by 20 +25.5
10/24 Home Milwaukee -2.0 L by 6 -8.0
10/26 Away Dallas -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
10/27 Away San Antonio +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
10/29 Home Houston +5.5 L by 18 -12.5
10/31 Away Cleveland +4.5 W by 11 +15.5
11/02 Home Memphis -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
11/04 Home Milwaukee -2.5 W by 28 +25.5
11/07 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/08 Away Philadelphia +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
11/11 Away Brooklyn -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
11/13 Away Cleveland +7.5 W by 13 +20.5
11/15 Away Indiana -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/17 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
11/19 Away Philadelphia -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
11/21 Home Washington -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
11/23 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
11/24 Home Cleveland -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
11/26 Home Indiana -10.5 W by 2 -8.5
11/29 Away Charlotte -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
11/30 Away New York +8.5 L by 22 -13.5
12/02 Home Portland -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
12/04 Home LA Lakers -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
12/05 Home Charlotte -6.5 L by 25 -31.5
12/07 Home Boston +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/09 Home New York +6.5 L by 16 -9.5
12/15 Away Miami +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/18 Away Milwaukee -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
12/20 Home Boston -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
12/21 Away Brooklyn -3.5 L by 15 -18.5
12/23 Away Miami +5.5 W by 21 +26.5
12/26 Away Washington -8.5 L by 21 -29.5
12/28 Home Golden State +4.5 W by 14 +18.5
12/29 Home Orlando +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
12/31 Home Denver -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/03 Home Atlanta -5.5 W by 17 +11.5
01/05 Home Atlanta -2.5 W by 18 +15.5
01/07 Away Charlotte -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
01/09 Away Boston +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
01/11 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
01/12 Home Philadelphia +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
01/14 Away Indiana +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
01/16 Home LA Clippers -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
01/18 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
01/20 Away Golden State +4.5 W by 18 +22.5
01/21 Away Sacramento -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
01/23 Away Portland -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
01/25 Away Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/28 Home New York -1.5 L by 27 -28.5
01/30 Away Orlando +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/01 Home Utah -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
02/04 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
02/05 Home Chicago -7.5 W by 16 +8.5
02/08 Home Indiana -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/11 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 18 -19.5
02/19 Away Chicago -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
02/22 Away Milwaukee -4.5 W by 28 +23.5
02/24 Home Okla City +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
02/25 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
02/28 Away Washington -13.5 W by 9 -4.5
03/03 Home New York +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
03/05 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
03/08 Home Dallas -9.5 W by 30 +20.5
03/10 Away Houston +4.5 L by 14 -9.5
03/11 Away New Orleans -2.5 L by 11 -13.5
03/13 Home Phoenix -5.5 W by 7 +1.5
03/15 Home Detroit +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
03/18 Away Chicago -7.5 W by 30 +22.5
03/20 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/22 Away Phoenix -4.5 L by 22 -26.5
03/23 Away Utah -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
03/25 Away LA Clippers +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/27 Home New Orleans -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
03/29 Home Orlando -1.5 W by 52 +50.5
03/31 Away Detroit +3.5 L by 11 -7.5
04/01 Home Sacramento -12.5 L by 8 -20.5
04/03 Away Memphis -14.5 W by 32 +17.5
04/05 Away Boston +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
04/07 Home Miami -1.5 W by 26 +24.5
04/09 Home Miami -3.5 W by 14 +10.5
04/10 Away New York +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
04/12 Home Brooklyn -23.5 W by 35 +11.5
04/18 Away Cleveland +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
04/20 Away Cleveland +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
04/23 Home Cleveland +2.5 W by 22 +24.5
04/26 Home Cleveland +4.5 W by 4 +8.5
04/29 Away Cleveland +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
05/01 Home Cleveland +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
05/03 Away Cleveland +8.5 L by 12 -3.5

Houston Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/21 Away Okla City +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
10/24 Home Detroit -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
10/27 Home Brooklyn -16.0 W by 28 +12.0
10/29 Away Toronto -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
11/01 Away Boston -4.5 W by 27 +22.5
11/03 Home Dallas -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
11/05 Away Memphis -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
11/07 Away San Antonio -4.5 L by 11 -15.5
11/09 Away Milwaukee -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/12 Home Washington -16.5 W by 23 +6.5
11/14 Home Portland -7.5 W by 24 +16.5
11/16 Home Orlando -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Away Cleveland -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
11/21 Home Denver -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
11/24 Away Phoenix -6.5 W by 22 +15.5
11/26 Away Golden State +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/30 Away Utah -11.5 W by 28 +16.5
12/01 Away Utah -11.5 L by 8 -19.5
12/03 Home Sacramento -15.5 W by 26 +10.5
12/05 Home Phoenix -9.5 W by 19 +9.5
12/06 Away Dallas -6.5 L by 13 -19.5
12/11 Home LA Clippers -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
12/15 Away Denver -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
12/18 Away New Orleans -9.5 L by 5 -14.5
12/20 Away Denver +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
12/21 Away Sacramento -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
12/23 Away LA Clippers -7.5 L by 20 -27.5
12/25 Away LA Lakers -2.5 W by 23 +20.5
12/27 Home Cleveland -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
12/29 Home Indiana -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
01/01 Away Brooklyn -13.5 W by 24 +10.5
01/03 Away Dallas -8.5 L by 6 -14.5
01/05 Home Phoenix -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
01/07 Away Portland -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
01/09 Away Portland -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/11 Away Sacramento -14.5 L by 13 -27.5
01/13 Home Chicago -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
01/15 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 20 -15.5
01/16 Home Minnesota -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/18 Home New Orleans -13.5 W by 9 -4.5
01/20 Home San Antonio -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/22 Away Philadelphia -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
01/23 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 7 +11.5
01/26 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
01/28 Home San Antonio -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
01/29 Away Atlanta -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
01/31 Home Dallas -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
02/02 Away Indiana -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
02/04 Home Boston -8.5 L by 21 -29.5
02/05 Home Charlotte -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
02/07 Away Okla City +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
02/10 Home LA Clippers -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
02/11 Home LA Clippers -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/19 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/21 Away New York +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/23 Home Utah -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
02/25 Home Sacramento -13.5 W by 31 +17.5
02/26 Away Orlando -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/28 Away Miami -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
03/02 Away Washington -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/05 Home Golden State -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
03/06 Home Portland -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/08 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
03/10 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
03/11 Away Denver +6.5 L by 36 -29.5
03/13 Home New Orleans -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
03/16 Home LA Lakers +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/18 Home LA Lakers -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/20 Home Atlanta -2.5 W by 22 +19.5
03/21 Home Miami -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/23 Away Chicago -8.5 L by 8 -16.5
03/25 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/27 Away Memphis -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
03/29 Away New Orleans -5.5 W by 32 +26.5
03/31 Home New York +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
04/01 Home Milwaukee -18.5 W by 6 -12.5
04/03 Home Utah -17.5 W by 34 +16.5
04/05 Away Golden State -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
04/07 Away Phoenix -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
04/09 Home Philadelphia -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
04/10 Home Minnesota -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
04/12 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
04/18 Away LA Lakers -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
04/21 Away LA Lakers -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
04/24 Home LA Lakers -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
04/26 Home LA Lakers -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
04/29 Away LA Lakers +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
05/01 Home LA Lakers -4.5 L by 20 -24.5