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Toronto at Miami: Point Spread Line Movement

Monday Dec 15, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 234.5

MIA -4.5 Open -5.5 High -6.5
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 1025 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 642 times (62.6%).
  • The team like Toronto won the game 383 times (37.4%).
  • The team like Toronto did better against the spread, going 509-506-10 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NBA season there have been 795 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 393-389-13 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -4.5 --
Open -5.5 -5.5 --
History
12/15 07:45 PM -- -4.5 --
12/15 07:15 PM -- -4.5 --
12/15 07:06 PM -4.5 -- --
12/15 07:05 PM -- -4.5 --
12/15 01:14 PM -5.5 -- --
12/15 12:45 PM -- -5.5 --
12/15 11:25 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 09:05 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 08:55 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 08:54 AM -5.5 -- --
12/15 08:45 AM -- -6.5 --
12/15 08:42 AM -6.5 -- --
12/15 08:25 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 08:15 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 08:08 AM -5.5 -- --
12/15 08:05 AM -- -6.5 --
12/15 08:04 AM -6.5 -- --
12/15 04:25 AM -- -5.5 --
12/15 04:15 AM -- -5.5 --
12/14 11:55 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 11:50 PM -5.5 -- --
12/14 11:45 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 11:35 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 10:55 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 10:15 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 10:08 PM -5.5 -- --
12/14 10:05 PM -- -6.5 --
12/14 09:55 PM -- -6.5 --
12/14 09:50 PM -6.5 -- --
12/14 09:45 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 08:25 PM -- -5.5 --
12/14 06:32 PM -5.5 -- --