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Toronto at Chicago: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Feb 19, 2026 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Toronto by 5.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ CHI

More Games From Feb 19, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 234.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 234.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 234.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOR	CHI
Season	37-52-0	38-44-0
vs Division	5-12-0	6-10-0
vs Conference	24-35-0	20-31-0
Streak	Ov 3	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	20-24-0	15-26-0
Away	17-28-0	23-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Atlanta	237.0	138-118	Over	+19.0
10/24	Home	Milwaukee	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
10/26	Away	Dallas	232.0	129-139	Over	+36.0
10/27	Away	San Antonio	232.5	103-121	Under	-8.5
10/29	Home	Houston	234.5	121-139	Over	+25.5
10/31	Away	Cleveland	236.5	112-101	Under	-23.5
11/02	Home	Memphis	238.5	117-104	Under	-17.5
11/04	Home	Milwaukee	237.5	128-100	Under	-9.5
11/07	Away	Atlanta	235.5	109-97	Under	-29.5
11/08	Away	Philadelphia	236.5	120-130	Over	+13.5
11/11	Away	Brooklyn	231.5	119-109	Under	-3.5
11/13	Away	Cleveland	238.5	126-113	Over	+0.5
11/15	Away	Indiana	236.5	129-111	Over	+3.5
11/17	Home	Charlotte	240.5	110-108	Under	-22.5
11/19	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Washington	238.5	140-110	Over	+11.5
11/23	Home	Brooklyn	229.5	119-109	Under	-1.5
11/24	Home	Cleveland	232.5	110-99	Under	-23.5
11/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	97-95	Under	-41.5
11/29	Away	Charlotte	233.5	111-118	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	New York	229.5	94-116	Under	-19.5
12/02	Home	Portland	230.5	121-118	Over	+8.5
12/04	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	120-123	Over	+14.5
12/05	Home	Charlotte	230.5	86-111	Under	-33.5
12/07	Home	Boston	224.5	113-121	Over	+9.5
12/09	Home	New York	226.5	101-117	Under	-8.5
12/15	Away	Miami	234.5	106-96	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Milwaukee	218.5	111-105	Under	-2.5
12/20	Home	Boston	221.5	96-112	Under	-13.5
12/21	Away	Brooklyn	215.5	81-96	Under	-38.5
12/23	Away	Miami	227.5	112-91	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Washington	225.5	117-138	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Golden State	227.5	141-127	Over	+40.5
12/29	Home	Orlando	220.5	107-106	Under	-7.5
12/31	Home	Denver	229.5	103-106	Under	-20.5
01/03	Home	Atlanta	231.5	134-117	Over	+19.5
01/05	Home	Atlanta	236.5	118-100	Under	-18.5
01/07	Away	Charlotte	229.5	97-96	Under	-36.5
01/09	Away	Boston	224.5	117-125	Over	+17.5
01/11	Home	Philadelphia	220.5	116-115	Over	+10.5
01/12	Home	Philadelphia	221.5	102-115	Under	-4.5
01/14	Away	Indiana	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
01/16	Home	LA Clippers	212.5	117-121	Over	+25.5
01/18	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	93-110	Under	-24.5
01/20	Away	Golden State	225.5	145-127	Over	+46.5
01/21	Away	Sacramento	225.5	122-109	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Portland	224.5	110-98	Under	-16.5
01/25	Away	Okla City	224.5	103-101	Under	-20.5
01/28	Home	New York	221.5	92-119	Under	-10.5
01/30	Away	Orlando	222.5	120-130	Over	+27.5
02/01	Home	Utah	234.5	107-100	Under	-27.5
02/04	Home	Minnesota	228.5	126-128	Over	+25.5
02/05	Home	Chicago	227.5	123-107	Over	+2.5
02/08	Home	Indiana	226.5	122-104	Under	-0.5
02/11	Home	Detroit	223.5	95-113	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	Chicago	235.5	110-101	Under	-24.5
02/22	Away	Milwaukee	219.5	122-94	Under	-3.5
02/24	Home	Okla City	217.5	107-116	Over	+5.5
02/25	Home	San Antonio	230.5	107-110	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Washington	229.5	134-125	Over	+29.5
03/03	Home	New York	221.5	95-111	Under	-15.5
03/05	Away	Minnesota	226.5	107-115	Under	-4.5
03/08	Home	Dallas	233.5	122-92	Under	-19.5
03/10	Away	Houston	220.5	99-113	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	New Orleans	235.5	111-122	Under	-2.5
03/13	Home	Phoenix	221.5	122-115	Over	+15.5
03/15	Home	Detroit	224.5	119-108	Over	+2.5
03/18	Away	Chicago	237.5	139-109	Over	+10.5
03/20	Away	Denver	238.5	115-121	Under	-2.5
03/22	Away	Phoenix	219.5	98-120	Under	-1.5
03/23	Away	Utah	231.5	143-127	Over	+38.5
03/25	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	94-119	Under	-13.5
03/27	Home	New Orleans	229.5	119-106	Under	-4.5
03/29	Home	Orlando	226.5	139-87	Under	-0.5
03/31	Away	Detroit	220.5	116-127	Over	+22.5
04/01	Home	Sacramento	226.5	115-123	Over	+11.5
04/03	Away	Memphis	233.5	128-96	Under	-9.5
04/05	Away	Boston	220.5	101-115	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Miami	240.5	121-95	Under	-24.5
04/09	Home	Miami	236.5	128-114	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	New York	219.5	95-112	Under	-12.5
04/12	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	136-101	Over	+17.5
04/18	Away	Cleveland	221.5	113-126	Over	+17.5
04/20	Away	Cleveland	221.5	105-115	Under	-1.5
04/23	Home	Cleveland	221.5	126-104	Over	+8.5
04/26	Home	Cleveland	219.5	93-89	Under	-37.5
04/29	Away	Cleveland	219.5	120-125	Over	+25.5
05/01	Home	Cleveland	219.5	112-110	Over	+2.5
05/03	Away	Cleveland	209.5	102-114	Over	+6.5

Chicago Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Detroit	236.5	115-111	Under	-10.5
10/25	Away	Orlando	233.0	110-98	Under	-25.0
10/27	Home	Atlanta	243.5	128-123	Over	+7.5
10/29	Home	Sacramento	237.5	126-113	Over	+1.5
10/31	Home	New York	233.5	135-125	Over	+26.5
11/02	Away	New York	235.0	116-128	Over	+9.0
11/04	Home	Philadelphia	240.5	113-111	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Milwaukee	240.5	110-126	Under	-4.5
11/08	Away	Cleveland	239.5	122-128	Over	+10.5
11/10	Home	San Antonio	235.5	117-121	Over	+2.5
11/12	Away	Detroit	229.5	113-124	Over	+7.5
11/16	Away	Utah	244.5	147-150	Over	+52.5
11/17	Away	Denver	240.5	130-127	Over	+16.5
11/19	Away	Portland	244.5	122-121	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Miami	250.5	107-143	Under	-0.5
11/22	Home	Washington	245.5	121-120	Under	-4.5
11/24	Away	New Orleans	243.5	130-143	Over	+29.5
11/28	Away	Charlotte	249.5	116-123	Under	-10.5
11/29	Away	Indiana	240.5	101-103	Under	-36.5
12/01	Away	Orlando	239.5	120-125	Over	+5.5
12/03	Home	Brooklyn	232.5	103-113	Under	-16.5
12/05	Home	Indiana	235.5	105-120	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Golden State	229.5	91-123	Under	-15.5
12/12	Away	Charlotte	229.5	129-126	Over	+25.5
12/14	Home	New Orleans	248.5	104-114	Under	-30.5
12/17	Home	Cleveland	242.5	127-111	Under	-4.5
12/19	Away	Cleveland	237.5	136-125	Over	+23.5
12/21	Away	Atlanta	248.5	152-150	Over	+53.5
12/23	Away	Atlanta	254.5	126-123	Under	-5.5
12/26	Home	Philadelphia	241.5	109-102	Under	-30.5
12/27	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	103-112	Under	-19.5
12/29	Home	Minnesota	243.5	101-136	Under	-6.5
12/31	Home	New Orleans	249.5	134-118	Over	+2.5
01/02	Home	Orlando	233.5	121-114	Over	+1.5
01/03	Home	Charlotte	240.5	99-112	Under	-29.5
01/05	Away	Boston	236.5	101-115	Under	-20.5
01/07	Away	Detroit	227.5	93-108	Under	-26.5
01/10	Home	Dallas	233.5	125-107	Under	-1.5
01/13	Away	Houston	224.5	113-119	Over	+7.5
01/14	Home	Utah	241.5	128-126	Over	+12.5
01/16	Away	Brooklyn	224.5	109-112	Under	-3.5
01/18	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	124-102	Over	+2.5
01/20	Home	LA Clippers	224.5	138-110	Over	+23.5
01/22	Away	Minnesota	239.5	120-115	Under	-4.5
01/24	Home	Boston	232.5	114-111	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	LA Lakers	236.5	118-129	Over	+10.5
01/28	Away	Indiana	235.5	110-113	Under	-12.5
01/29	Home	Miami	238.5	113-116	Under	-9.5
01/31	Away	Miami	231.5	125-118	Over	+11.5
02/01	Away	Miami	233.5	91-134	Under	-8.5
02/03	Away	Milwaukee	222.5	115-131	Over	+23.5
02/05	Away	Toronto	227.5	107-123	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Denver	235.5	120-136	Over	+20.5
02/09	Away	Brooklyn	218.5	115-123	Over	+19.5
02/11	Away	Boston	226.5	105-124	Over	+2.5
02/19	Home	Toronto	235.5	101-110	Under	-24.5
02/21	Home	Detroit	234.5	110-126	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	New York	233.5	99-105	Under	-29.5
02/24	Home	Charlotte	231.5	99-131	Under	-1.5
02/26	Home	Portland	234.5	112-121	Under	-1.5
03/01	Home	Milwaukee	231.5	120-97	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Okla City	231.5	108-116	Under	-7.5
03/05	Away	Phoenix	224.5	105-103	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	Sacramento	235.5	110-126	Over	+0.5
03/10	Away	Golden State	226.5	130-124	Over	+27.5
03/12	Away	LA Lakers	239.5	130-142	Over	+32.5
03/13	Away	LA Clippers	235.5	108-119	Under	-8.5
03/16	Home	Memphis	243.5	132-107	Under	-4.5
03/18	Home	Toronto	237.5	109-139	Over	+10.5
03/19	Home	Cleveland	236.5	110-115	Under	-11.5
03/23	Home	Houston	232.5	132-124	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Philadelphia	241.5	137-157	Over	+52.5
03/27	Away	Okla City	240.5	113-131	Over	+3.5
03/28	Away	Memphis	248.5	124-125	Over	+0.5
03/30	Away	San Antonio	246.5	114-129	Under	-3.5
04/01	Home	Indiana	248.5	126-145	Over	+22.5
04/03	Away	New York	237.5	96-136	Under	-5.5
04/05	Home	Phoenix	240.5	110-120	Under	-10.5
04/07	Away	Washington	250.5	129-98	Under	-23.5
04/09	Away	Washington	249.5	119-108	Under	-22.5
04/10	Home	Orlando	246.5	103-127	Under	-16.5
04/12	Away	Dallas	250.5	128-149	Over	+26.5