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Detroit at San Antonio: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 5, 2026 8:00 pm - San Antonio, TX
Odds: San Antonio by 2.5, Total Points: 228.5

Matchup Menu: DET @ SA

More Games From Mar 5, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 228.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 228.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Over 228.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DET	SA
Season	45-50-1	49-57-0
vs Division	13-10-0	9-7-0
vs Conference	32-34-0	39-31-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	6-4-0	4-6-0
Home	23-25-0	21-31-0
Away	22-25-1	28-26-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Detroit Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Chicago	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
10/24	Away	Houston	226.0	115-111	Push	0.0
10/26	Home	Boston	227.0	119-113	Over	+5.0
10/27	Home	Cleveland	231.0	95-116	Under	-20.0
10/29	Home	Orlando	227.5	135-116	Over	+23.5
11/01	Neutral	Dallas	227.0	122-110	Over	+5.0
11/03	Away	Memphis	236.0	114-106	Under	-16.0
11/05	Home	Utah	233.5	114-103	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Brooklyn	227.5	125-107	Over	+4.5
11/09	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	111-108	Under	-15.5
11/10	Home	Washington	236.5	137-135	Over	+35.5
11/12	Home	Chicago	229.5	124-113	Over	+7.5
11/14	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	114-105	Under	-9.5
11/17	Home	Indiana	230.5	127-112	Over	+8.5
11/18	Away	Atlanta	227.5	120-112	Over	+4.5
11/22	Away	Milwaukee	225.5	129-116	Over	+19.5
11/24	Away	Indiana	236.5	122-117	Over	+2.5
11/26	Away	Boston	232.5	114-117	Under	-1.5
11/28	Home	Orlando	230.5	109-112	Under	-9.5
11/29	Away	Miami	239.5	138-135	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	Atlanta	232.5	99-98	Under	-35.5
12/03	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
12/05	Home	Portland	236.5	122-116	Over	+1.5
12/06	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	124-112	Over	+12.5
12/12	Home	Atlanta	233.5	142-115	Over	+23.5
12/15	Away	Boston	231.5	112-105	Under	-14.5
12/18	Away	Dallas	230.5	114-116	Under	-0.5
12/20	Home	Charlotte	235.5	112-86	Under	-37.5
12/22	Away	Portland	234.5	110-102	Under	-22.5
12/23	Away	Sacramento	226.5	136-127	Over	+36.5
12/26	Away	Utah	245.5	129-131	Over	+14.5
12/28	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	99-112	Under	-13.5
12/30	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	128-106	Over	+1.5
01/01	Home	Miami	236.5	112-118	Under	-6.5
01/04	Away	Cleveland	239.5	114-110	Under	-15.5
01/05	Home	New York	232.5	121-90	Under	-21.5
01/07	Home	Chicago	227.5	108-93	Under	-26.5
01/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	92-98	Under	-24.5
01/15	Home	Phoenix	219.5	108-105	Under	-6.5
01/17	Home	Indiana	226.5	121-78	Under	-27.5
01/19	Home	Boston	223.5	104-103	Under	-16.5
01/21	Away	New Orleans	233.5	112-104	Under	-17.5
01/23	Home	Houston	217.5	104-111	Under	-2.5
01/25	Home	Sacramento	226.5	139-116	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	Denver	215.5	109-107	Over	+0.5
01/29	Away	Phoenix	213.5	96-114	Under	-3.5
01/30	Away	Golden State	225.5	131-124	Over	+29.5
02/01	Home	Brooklyn	213.5	130-77	Under	-6.5
02/03	Home	Denver	229.5	124-121	Over	+15.5
02/05	Home	Washington	227.5	117-126	Over	+15.5
02/06	Home	New York	218.5	118-80	Under	-20.5
02/09	Away	Charlotte	222.5	110-104	Under	-8.5
02/11	Away	Toronto	223.5	113-95	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	New York	219.5	126-111	Over	+17.5
02/21	Away	Chicago	234.5	126-110	Over	+1.5
02/23	Home	San Antonio	232.5	103-114	Under	-15.5
02/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	124-116	Over	+18.5
02/27	Home	Cleveland	226.5	122-119	Over	+14.5
03/01	Away	Orlando	224.5	106-92	Under	-26.5
03/03	Away	Cleveland	227.5	109-113	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	San Antonio	228.5	106-121	Under	-1.5
03/07	Home	Brooklyn	214.5	105-107	Under	-2.5
03/08	Away	Miami	231.5	110-121	Under	-0.5
03/10	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	138-100	Over	+21.5
03/12	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	131-109	Over	+16.5
03/13	Home	Memphis	233.5	126-110	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Toronto	224.5	108-119	Over	+2.5
03/17	Away	Washington	234.5	130-117	Over	+12.5
03/19	Away	Washington	231.5	117-95	Under	-19.5
03/20	Home	Golden State	219.5	115-101	Under	-3.5
03/23	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	113-110	Under	-1.5
03/25	Home	Atlanta	229.5	129-130	Over	+29.5
03/26	Home	New Orleans	226.5	129-108	Over	+10.5
03/28	Away	Minnesota	222.5	109-87	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Okla City	216.5	110-114	Over	+7.5
03/31	Home	Toronto	220.5	127-116	Over	+22.5
04/02	Home	Minnesota	224.5	113-108	Under	-3.5
04/04	Away	Philadelphia	226.5	116-93	Under	-17.5
04/06	Away	Orlando	222.5	107-123	Over	+7.5
04/08	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	137-111	Over	+24.5
04/10	Away	Charlotte	225.5	118-100	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Indiana	231.5	133-121	Over	+22.5
04/19	Home	Orlando	221.5	101-112	Under	-8.5
04/22	Home	Orlando	218.5	98-83	Under	-37.5
04/25	Away	Orlando	215.5	105-113	Over	+2.5
04/27	Away	Orlando	214.5	88-94	Under	-32.5
04/29	Home	Orlando	210.5	116-109	Over	+14.5
05/01	Away	Orlando	210.5	93-79	Under	-38.5
05/03	Home	Orlando	201.5	116-94	Over	+8.5
05/05	Home	Cleveland	216.5	111-101	Under	-4.5
05/07	Home	Cleveland	215.5	107-97	Under	-11.5
05/09	Away	Cleveland	212.5	109-116	Over	+12.5
05/11	Away	Cleveland	212.5	103-112	Over	+2.5
05/13	Home	Cleveland	211.5	113-117	Over	+18.5
05/15	Away	Cleveland	209.5	115-94	Under	-0.5
05/17	Home	Cleveland	204.5	94-125	Over	+14.5

San Antonio Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Dallas	224.0	125-92	Under	-7.0
10/24	Away	New Orleans	233.5	120-116	Over	+2.5
10/26	Home	Brooklyn	227.5	118-107	Under	-2.5
10/27	Home	Toronto	232.5	121-103	Under	-8.5
10/30	Home	Miami	228.5	107-101	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	Phoenix	227.5	118-130	Over	+20.5
11/05	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	116-118	Over	+6.5
11/07	Home	Houston	224.5	121-110	Over	+6.5
11/08	Home	New Orleans	223.5	126-119	Over	+21.5
11/10	Away	Chicago	235.5	121-117	Over	+2.5
11/12	Home	Golden State	232.5	120-125	Over	+12.5
11/14	Home	Golden State	233.5	108-109	Under	-16.5
11/16	Home	Sacramento	242.5	123-110	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Memphis	233.5	111-101	Under	-21.5
11/20	Home	Atlanta	233.5	135-126	Over	+27.5
11/23	Away	Phoenix	234.5	102-111	Under	-21.5
11/26	Away	Portland	239.5	115-102	Under	-22.5
11/28	Away	Denver	238.5	139-136	Over	+36.5
11/30	Away	Minnesota	233.5	112-125	Over	+3.5
12/02	Home	Memphis	231.5	126-119	Over	+13.5
12/03	Away	Orlando	235.5	114-112	Under	-9.5
12/05	Away	Cleveland	239.5	117-130	Over	+7.5
12/08	Away	New Orleans	238.5	135-132	Over	+28.5
12/10	Away	LA Lakers	242.5	132-119	Over	+8.5
12/13	Neutral	Okla City	233.5	111-109	Under	-13.5
12/16	Neutral	New York	233.5	113-124	Over	+3.5
12/18	Home	Washington	241.5	119-94	Under	-28.5
12/19	Away	Atlanta	238.5	126-98	Under	-14.5
12/21	Away	Washington	237.5	124-113	Under	-0.5
12/23	Home	Okla City	235.5	130-110	Over	+4.5
12/25	Away	Okla City	234.5	117-102	Under	-15.5
12/27	Home	Utah	243.5	114-127	Under	-2.5
12/29	Home	Cleveland	243.5	101-113	Under	-29.5
12/31	Home	New York	234.5	134-132	Over	+31.5
01/02	Away	Indiana	239.5	123-113	Under	-3.5
01/03	Home	Portland	235.5	110-115	Under	-10.5
01/06	Away	Memphis	237.5	105-106	Under	-26.5
01/07	Home	LA Lakers	233.5	107-91	Under	-35.5
01/10	Away	Boston	231.5	100-95	Under	-36.5
01/11	Away	Minnesota	232.5	103-104	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Okla City	230.5	98-119	Under	-13.5
01/15	Home	Milwaukee	225.5	119-101	Under	-5.5
01/17	Home	Minnesota	234.5	126-123	Over	+14.5
01/19	Home	Utah	238.5	123-110	Under	-5.5
01/20	Away	Houston	220.5	106-111	Under	-3.5
01/22	Away	Utah	237.5	126-109	Under	-2.5
01/25	Home	New Orleans	240.5	95-104	Under	-41.5
01/28	Away	Houston	219.5	111-99	Under	-9.5
01/31	Away	Charlotte	228.5	106-111	Under	-11.5
02/01	Home	Orlando	222.5	112-103	Under	-7.5
02/04	Home	Okla City	221.5	116-106	Over	+0.5
02/05	Away	Dallas	230.5	135-123	Over	+27.5
02/07	Home	Dallas	233.5	138-125	Over	+29.5
02/10	Away	LA Lakers	225.5	136-108	Over	+18.5
02/11	Away	Golden State	220.5	126-113	Over	+18.5
02/19	Home	Phoenix	229.5	121-94	Under	-14.5
02/21	Home	Sacramento	230.5	139-122	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Detroit	232.5	114-103	Under	-15.5
02/25	Away	Toronto	230.5	110-107	Under	-13.5
02/26	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	126-110	Over	+12.5
03/01	Away	New York	227.5	89-114	Under	-24.5
03/03	Away	Philadelphia	231.5	131-91	Under	-9.5
03/05	Home	Detroit	228.5	121-106	Under	-1.5
03/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	116-112	Over	+5.5
03/08	Home	Houston	222.5	145-120	Over	+42.5
03/10	Home	Boston	221.5	125-116	Over	+19.5
03/12	Home	Denver	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
03/14	Home	Charlotte	232.5	115-102	Under	-15.5
03/16	Away	LA Clippers	233.5	119-115	Over	+0.5
03/17	Away	Sacramento	233.5	132-104	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Phoenix	228.5	101-100	Under	-27.5
03/21	Home	Indiana	235.5	134-119	Over	+17.5
03/23	Away	Miami	244.5	136-111	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Memphis	234.5	123-98	Under	-13.5
03/28	Away	Milwaukee	226.5	127-95	Under	-4.5
03/30	Home	Chicago	246.5	129-114	Under	-3.5
04/01	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-113	Over	+12.5
04/02	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-99	Under	-14.5
04/04	Away	Denver	242.5	134-136	Over	+27.5
04/06	Home	Philadelphia	237.5	115-102	Under	-20.5
04/08	Home	Portland	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	Dallas	237.5	139-120	Over	+21.5
04/12	Home	Denver	234.5	118-128	Over	+11.5
04/19	Home	Portland	222.5	111-98	Under	-13.5
04/21	Home	Portland	221.5	103-106	Under	-12.5
04/24	Away	Portland	220.5	120-108	Over	+7.5
04/26	Away	Portland	216.5	114-93	Under	-9.5
04/28	Home	Portland	218.5	114-95	Under	-9.5
05/04	Home	Minnesota	218.5	102-104	Under	-12.5
05/06	Home	Minnesota	217.5	133-95	Over	+10.5
05/08	Away	Minnesota	216.5	115-108	Over	+6.5
05/10	Away	Minnesota	218.5	109-114	Over	+4.5
05/12	Home	Minnesota	218.5	126-97	Over	+4.5
05/15	Away	Minnesota	218.5	139-109	Over	+29.5
05/18	Away	Okla City	219.5	122-115	Over	+17.5
05/20	Away	Okla City	213.5	113-122	Over	+21.5
05/22	Home	Okla City	219.5	108-123	Over	+11.5
05/24	Home	Okla City	219.5	103-82	Under	-34.5
05/26	Away	Okla City	216.5	114-127	Over	+24.5
05/28	Home	Okla City	219.5	118-91	Under	-10.5
05/30	Away	Okla City	212.5	111-103	Over	+1.5
06/03	Home	New York	217.5	95-105	Under	-17.5
06/05	Home	New York	217.5	104-105	Under	-8.5
06/08	Away	New York	215.5	115-111	Over	+10.5
06/10	Away	New York	216.5	106-107	Under	-3.5
06/13	Home	New York	215.5	90-94	Under	-31.5