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Denver at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Dec 29, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Denver by 1.5, Total Points: 243.5

Matchup Menu: DEN @ MIA

More Games From Dec 29, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 243.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 243.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Under 243.5	Similar Games	64% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DEN	MIA
Season	53-35-0	47-36-0
vs Division	12-10-0	12-6-0
vs Conference	38-20-0	28-25-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 4
Last 5	1-4-0	4-1-0
Last 10	5-5-0	8-2-0
Home	24-20-0	23-18-0
Away	29-15-0	24-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Denver Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/23	Away	Golden State	233.0	131-137	Over	+35.0
10/25	Home	Phoenix	233.5	133-111	Over	+10.5
10/27	Away	Minnesota	229.5	127-114	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	New Orleans	238.0	122-88	Under	-28.0
10/31	Away	Portland	239.5	107-109	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	Sacramento	237.0	130-124	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Miami	242.5	122-112	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Golden State	230.5	129-104	Over	+2.5
11/08	Home	Indiana	234.5	117-100	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	Sacramento	243.5	122-108	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	130-116	Over	+21.5
11/15	Away	Minnesota	236.5	123-112	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Chicago	240.5	127-130	Over	+16.5
11/19	Away	New Orleans	235.5	125-118	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	Houston	234.5	112-109	Under	-13.5
11/22	Home	Sacramento	239.5	123-128	Over	+11.5
11/24	Away	Memphis	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
11/28	Home	San Antonio	238.5	136-139	Over	+36.5
11/29	Away	Phoenix	233.5	130-112	Over	+8.5
12/01	Home	Dallas	235.5	121-131	Over	+16.5
12/03	Away	Indiana	238.5	135-120	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	Atlanta	238.5	134-133	Over	+28.5
12/07	Away	Charlotte	235.5	115-106	Under	-14.5
12/11	Away	Sacramento	239.5	136-105	Over	+1.5
12/15	Home	Houston	236.5	128-125	Over	+16.5
12/18	Home	Orlando	237.5	126-115	Over	+3.5
12/20	Home	Houston	235.5	101-115	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Utah	251.5	135-112	Under	-4.5
12/23	Away	Dallas	236.5	130-131	Over	+24.5
12/25	Home	Minnesota	238.5	142-138	Over	+41.5
12/27	Away	Orlando	235.5	126-127	Over	+17.5
12/29	Away	Miami	243.5	123-147	Over	+26.5
12/31	Away	Toronto	229.5	106-103	Under	-20.5
01/02	Away	Cleveland	240.5	108-113	Under	-19.5
01/04	Away	Brooklyn	224.5	115-127	Over	+17.5
01/05	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	125-124	Over	+20.5
01/07	Away	Boston	230.5	114-110	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Atlanta	230.5	87-110	Under	-33.5
01/11	Home	Milwaukee	218.5	108-104	Under	-6.5
01/13	Away	New Orleans	235.5	122-116	Over	+2.5
01/14	Away	Dallas	224.5	118-109	Over	+2.5
01/17	Home	Washington	227.5	121-115	Over	+8.5
01/18	Home	Charlotte	226.5	87-110	Under	-29.5
01/20	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	107-115	Under	-6.5
01/22	Away	Washington	227.5	107-97	Under	-23.5
01/23	Away	Milwaukee	214.5	102-100	Under	-12.5
01/27	Home	Detroit	215.5	107-109	Over	+0.5
01/29	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	107-103	Over	+0.5
01/30	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	122-109	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Okla City	225.5	111-121	Over	+6.5
02/03	Away	Detroit	229.5	121-124	Over	+15.5
02/04	Away	New York	227.5	127-134	Over	+33.5
02/07	Away	Chicago	235.5	136-120	Over	+20.5
02/09	Home	Cleveland	242.5	117-119	Under	-6.5
02/11	Home	Memphis	238.5	122-116	Under	-0.5
02/19	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	114-115	Over	+2.5
02/20	Away	Portland	241.5	157-103	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Golden State	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/25	Home	Boston	228.5	103-84	Under	-41.5
02/27	Away	Okla City	235.5	121-127	Over	+12.5
03/01	Home	Minnesota	241.5	108-117	Under	-16.5
03/02	Away	Utah	242.5	128-125	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	LA Lakers	241.5	120-113	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	New York	229.5	103-142	Over	+15.5
03/09	Away	Okla City	236.5	126-129	Over	+18.5
03/11	Home	Houston	231.5	129-93	Under	-9.5
03/12	Away	San Antonio	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
03/14	Away	LA Lakers	244.5	125-127	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Philadelphia	236.5	124-96	Under	-16.5
03/18	Away	Memphis	247.5	118-125	Under	-4.5
03/20	Home	Toronto	238.5	121-115	Under	-2.5
03/22	Home	Portland	237.5	128-112	Over	+2.5
03/24	Away	Phoenix	233.5	125-123	Over	+14.5
03/25	Home	Dallas	246.5	142-135	Over	+30.5
03/27	Home	Utah	247.5	135-129	Over	+16.5
03/29	Home	Golden State	237.5	116-93	Under	-28.5
04/01	Away	Utah	249.5	130-117	Under	-2.5
04/04	Home	San Antonio	242.5	136-134	Over	+27.5
04/06	Home	Portland	236.5	137-132	Over	+32.5
04/08	Home	Memphis	247.5	136-119	Over	+7.5
04/10	Home	Okla City	222.5	127-107	Over	+11.5
04/12	Away	San Antonio	234.5	128-118	Over	+11.5
04/18	Home	Minnesota	233.5	116-105	Under	-12.5
04/20	Home	Minnesota	233.5	114-119	Under	-0.5
04/23	Away	Minnesota	232.5	96-113	Under	-23.5
04/25	Away	Minnesota	228.5	96-112	Under	-20.5
04/27	Home	Minnesota	225.5	125-113	Over	+12.5
04/30	Away	Minnesota	223.5	98-110	Under	-15.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5