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Dallas at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Nov 24, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 7.5, Total Points: 240.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ MIA

More Games From Nov 24, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dallas +7.5 Official TR Pick Dallas 51% odds to cover
Dallas +7.5 Decision Tree Dallas 51% odds to cover
Miami -7.5 Power Rating Model Miami 64% odds to cover
Miami -7.5 Similar Games Miami 60% odds to cover
Miami -7.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DAL adv MIA
Season 36-46-0 47-36-0
vs Division 5-11-0 12-6-0
vs Conference 20-31-0 30-23-0
Streak W1 W3
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 20-21-0 23-18-0
Away 16-25-0 24-18-0

Dallas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home San Antonio -3.5 L by 33 -36.5
10/24 Home Washington -9.0 L by 10 -19.0
10/26 Home Toronto +1.0 W by 10 +11.0
10/27 Home Okla City +9.0 L by 7 +2.0
10/29 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/01 Neutral Detroit +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
11/03 Away Houston +12.0 L by 8 +4.0
11/05 Home New Orleans -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
11/07 Away Memphis +4.5 L by 14 -9.5
11/08 Away Washington -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
11/10 Home Milwaukee +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
11/12 Home Phoenix +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/14 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/16 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/17 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 24 -9.5
11/19 Home New York +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
11/21 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
11/22 Home Memphis -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
11/24 Away Miami +7.5 L by 4 +3.5
11/28 Away LA Lakers +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/29 Away LA Clippers +8.5 W by 4 +12.5
12/01 Away Denver +11.5 W by 10 +21.5
12/03 Home Miami +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/05 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 21 -5.5
12/06 Home Houston +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
12/12 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
12/15 Away Utah -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
12/18 Home Detroit +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
12/20 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
12/22 Away New Orleans -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
12/23 Home Denver +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
12/25 Away Golden State +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
12/27 Away Sacramento -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
12/29 Away Portland +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
01/01 Home Philadelphia +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/03 Home Houston +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
01/06 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
01/08 Away Utah -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/10 Away Chicago +3.5 L by 18 -14.5
01/12 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
01/14 Home Denver -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
01/15 Home Utah -2.5 W by 22 +19.5
01/17 Home Utah -2.5 W by 18 +15.5
01/19 Away New York +12.5 W by 17 +29.5
01/22 Home Golden State +5.5 W by 8 +13.5
01/24 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
01/28 Home Minnesota +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/29 Home Charlotte +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
01/31 Away Houston +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/03 Home Boston +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
02/05 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
02/07 Away San Antonio +11.5 L by 13 -1.5
02/10 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
02/12 Away LA Lakers +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
02/20 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
02/22 Away Indiana -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/24 Away Brooklyn -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
02/26 Home Sacramento -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/27 Home Memphis -4.5 L by 19 -23.5
03/01 Home Okla City +16.5 L by 13 +3.5
03/03 Away Charlotte +13.5 L by 27 -13.5
03/05 Away Orlando +8.5 L by 1 +7.5
03/06 Away Boston +15.5 L by 20 -4.5
03/08 Away Toronto +9.5 L by 30 -20.5
03/10 Away Atlanta +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
03/12 Away Memphis -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/13 Home Cleveland +13.5 L by 33 -19.5
03/15 Away Cleveland +14.5 W by 10 +24.5
03/16 Away New Orleans +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
03/18 Home Atlanta +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/21 Home LA Clippers +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/23 Home Golden State +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/25 Away Denver +10.5 L by 7 +3.5
03/27 Away Portland +10.5 W by 7 +17.5
03/30 Home Minnesota +8.5 L by 30 -21.5
03/31 Away Milwaukee -2.5 L by 24 -26.5
04/03 Home Orlando +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
04/05 Home LA Lakers +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/07 Away LA Clippers +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
04/08 Away Phoenix +12.5 L by 5 +7.5
04/10 Away San Antonio +18.5 L by 19 -0.5
04/12 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 21 +15.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5