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Orlando at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 3:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 6.5, Total Points: 224.5

Matchup Menu: ORL @ MIN

More Games From Mar 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 224.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 224.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 224.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ORL	MIN
Season	47-44-0	43-51-0
vs Division	8-10-0	10-12-0
vs Conference	30-31-0	29-35-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 5
Last 5	3-2-0	5-0-0
Last 10	3-7-0	6-4-0
Home	23-21-0	17-30-0
Away	24-23-0	26-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Orlando Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Miami	216.0	125-121	Over	+30.0
10/24	Home	Atlanta	235.0	107-111	Under	-17.0
10/25	Home	Chicago	233.0	98-110	Under	-25.0
10/27	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	124-136	Over	+31.5
10/29	Away	Detroit	227.5	116-135	Over	+23.5
10/30	Away	Charlotte	239.0	123-107	Under	-9.0
11/01	Away	Washington	234.5	125-94	Under	-15.5
11/04	Away	Atlanta	228.5	112-127	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Boston	226.5	123-110	Over	+6.5
11/09	Home	Boston	227.5	107-111	Under	-9.5
11/10	Home	Portland	235.5	115-112	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New York	227.5	124-107	Over	+3.5
11/14	Home	Brooklyn	224.5	105-98	Under	-21.5
11/16	Away	Houston	224.5	113-117	Over	+5.5
11/18	Home	Golden State	223.5	121-113	Over	+10.5
11/20	Home	LA Clippers	218.5	129-101	Over	+11.5
11/22	Home	New York	230.5	133-121	Over	+23.5
11/23	Away	Boston	220.5	129-138	Over	+46.5
11/25	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	144-103	Over	+18.5
11/28	Away	Detroit	230.5	112-109	Under	-9.5
12/01	Home	Chicago	239.5	125-120	Over	+5.5
12/03	Home	San Antonio	235.5	112-114	Under	-9.5
12/05	Home	Miami	241.5	106-105	Under	-30.5
12/07	Away	New York	229.5	100-106	Under	-23.5
12/09	Home	Miami	235.5	117-108	Under	-10.5
12/13	Neutral	New York	224.5	120-132	Over	+27.5
12/18	Away	Denver	237.5	115-126	Over	+3.5
12/20	Away	Utah	240.5	128-127	Over	+14.5
12/22	Away	Golden State	227.5	97-120	Under	-10.5
12/23	Away	Portland	231.5	110-106	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	Charlotte	228.5	105-120	Under	-3.5
12/27	Home	Denver	235.5	127-126	Over	+17.5
12/29	Away	Toronto	220.5	106-107	Under	-7.5
12/31	Away	Indiana	230.5	112-110	Under	-8.5
01/02	Away	Chicago	233.5	114-121	Over	+1.5
01/04	Home	Indiana	228.5	135-127	Over	+33.5
01/06	Away	Washington	235.5	112-120	Under	-3.5
01/07	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	104-103	Under	-14.5
01/09	Home	Philadelphia	227.5	91-103	Under	-33.5
01/11	Home	New Orleans	236.5	128-118	Over	+9.5
01/15	Neutral	Memphis	227.5	118-111	Over	+1.5
01/18	Neutral	Memphis	229.5	109-126	Over	+5.5
01/22	Home	Charlotte	223.5	97-124	Under	-2.5
01/24	Home	Cleveland	226.0	105-119	Under	-2.0
01/26	Away	Cleveland	224.5	98-114	Under	-12.5
01/28	Away	Miami	233.5	133-124	Over	+23.5
01/30	Home	Toronto	222.5	130-120	Over	+27.5
02/01	Away	San Antonio	222.5	103-112	Under	-7.5
02/03	Away	Okla City	222.5	92-128	Under	-2.5
02/05	Home	Brooklyn	214.5	118-98	Over	+1.5
02/07	Home	Utah	234.5	120-117	Over	+2.5
02/09	Home	Milwaukee	220.5	118-99	Under	-3.5
02/11	Home	Milwaukee	220.5	108-116	Over	+3.5
02/19	Away	Sacramento	226.5	131-94	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	Phoenix	218.5	110-113	Over	+4.5
02/22	Away	LA Clippers	215.5	111-109	Over	+4.5
02/24	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	110-109	Under	-10.5
02/26	Home	Houston	214.5	108-113	Over	+6.5
03/01	Home	Detroit	224.5	92-106	Under	-26.5
03/03	Home	Washington	227.5	126-109	Over	+7.5
03/05	Home	Dallas	230.5	115-114	Under	-1.5
03/07	Away	Minnesota	224.5	119-92	Under	-13.5
03/08	Away	Milwaukee	217.5	130-91	Over	+3.5
03/11	Home	Cleveland	226.5	128-122	Over	+23.5
03/12	Home	Washington	236.5	136-131	Over	+30.5
03/14	Away	Miami	237.0	121-117	Over	+1.0
03/16	Away	Atlanta	232.5	112-124	Over	+3.5
03/17	Home	Okla City	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
03/19	Away	Charlotte	226.5	111-130	Over	+14.5
03/21	Home	LA Lakers	232.5	104-105	Under	-23.5
03/23	Home	Indiana	233.5	126-128	Over	+20.5
03/24	Away	Cleveland	230.5	131-136	Over	+36.5
03/26	Home	Sacramento	230.5	121-117	Over	+7.5
03/29	Away	Toronto	226.5	87-139	Under	-0.5
03/31	Home	Phoenix	224.5	115-111	Over	+1.5
04/01	Home	Atlanta	234.5	101-130	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Dallas	239.5	138-127	Over	+25.5
04/05	Away	New Orleans	236.5	112-108	Under	-16.5
04/06	Home	Detroit	222.5	123-107	Over	+7.5
04/08	Home	Minnesota	232.5	132-120	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Chicago	246.5	127-103	Under	-16.5
04/12	Away	Boston	222.5	108-113	Under	-1.5
04/15	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	97-109	Under	-17.5
04/17	Home	Charlotte	218.5	121-90	Under	-7.5
04/19	Away	Detroit	221.5	112-101	Under	-8.5
04/22	Away	Detroit	218.5	83-98	Under	-37.5
04/25	Home	Detroit	215.5	113-105	Over	+2.5
04/27	Home	Detroit	214.5	94-88	Under	-32.5
04/29	Away	Detroit	210.5	109-116	Over	+14.5
05/01	Home	Detroit	210.5	79-93	Under	-38.5
05/03	Away	Detroit	201.5	94-116	Over	+8.5

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Portland	222.0	118-114	Over	+10.0
10/24	Away	LA Lakers	226.0	110-128	Over	+12.0
10/26	Home	Indiana	228.5	114-110	Under	-4.5
10/27	Home	Denver	229.5	114-127	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	115-116	Over	+6.5
11/01	Away	Charlotte	235.0	122-105	Under	-8.0
11/03	Away	Brooklyn	226.0	125-109	Over	+8.0
11/05	Away	New York	228.5	114-137	Over	+22.5
11/07	Home	Utah	233.5	137-97	Over	+0.5
11/09	Away	Sacramento	238.5	144-117	Over	+22.5
11/10	Away	Utah	234.5	120-113	Under	-1.5
11/14	Home	Sacramento	240.5	124-110	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Denver	236.5	112-123	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Dallas	232.5	120-96	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Washington	239.5	120-109	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Phoenix	230.5	113-114	Under	-3.5
11/24	Away	Sacramento	238.5	112-117	Under	-9.5
11/26	Away	Okla City	226.5	105-113	Under	-8.5
11/29	Home	Boston	228.5	119-115	Over	+5.5
11/30	Home	San Antonio	233.5	125-112	Over	+3.5
12/02	Away	New Orleans	229.5	149-142	Over	+61.5
12/04	Away	New Orleans	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-106	Under	-13.5
12/08	Home	Phoenix	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
12/12	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-120	Over	+19.5
12/14	Home	Sacramento	235.5	117-103	Under	-15.5
12/17	Home	Memphis	227.5	110-116	Under	-1.5
12/19	Home	Okla City	232.5	112-107	Under	-13.5
12/21	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	103-100	Under	-23.5
12/23	Home	New York	229.5	115-104	Under	-10.5
12/25	Away	Denver	238.5	138-142	Over	+41.5
12/27	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	107-123	Over	+6.5
12/29	Away	Chicago	243.5	136-101	Under	-6.5
12/31	Away	Atlanta	239.5	102-126	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Miami	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
01/04	Away	Washington	239.5	141-115	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Miami	238.5	122-94	Under	-22.5
01/08	Home	Cleveland	239.5	131-122	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Cleveland	240.5	134-146	Over	+39.5
01/11	Home	San Antonio	232.5	104-103	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	139-106	Over	+15.5
01/16	Away	Houston	221.5	105-110	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	San Antonio	234.5	123-126	Over	+14.5
01/20	Away	Utah	238.5	122-127	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	Chicago	239.5	115-120	Under	-4.5
01/25	Home	Golden State	237.5	85-111	Under	-41.5
01/26	Home	Golden State	226.5	108-83	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Dallas	228.5	118-105	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Okla City	227.5	123-111	Over	+6.5
01/31	Away	Memphis	229.5	131-114	Over	+15.5
02/02	Away	Memphis	232.5	128-137	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	128-126	Over	+25.5
02/06	Home	New Orleans	237.5	115-119	Under	-3.5
02/08	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	96-115	Under	-11.5
02/09	Home	Atlanta	238.5	138-116	Over	+15.5
02/11	Home	Portland	234.5	133-109	Over	+7.5
02/20	Home	Dallas	239.5	122-111	Under	-6.5
02/22	Home	Philadelphia	239.5	108-135	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Portland	234.5	124-121	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	94-88	Under	-38.5
03/01	Away	Denver	241.5	117-108	Under	-16.5
03/03	Home	Memphis	237.5	117-110	Under	-10.5
03/05	Home	Toronto	226.5	115-107	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Orlando	224.5	92-119	Under	-13.5
03/10	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
03/11	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	128-153	Over	+55.5
03/13	Away	Golden State	224.5	127-117	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	Okla City	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
03/17	Home	Phoenix	220.5	116-104	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Utah	231.5	147-111	Over	+26.5
03/20	Home	Portland	231.5	104-108	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Boston	222.5	102-92	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Houston	223.5	110-108	Under	-5.5
03/28	Home	Detroit	222.5	87-109	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Dallas	236.5	124-94	Under	-18.5
04/02	Away	Detroit	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	103-115	Under	-16.5
04/05	Home	Charlotte	225.5	108-122	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Indiana	233.5	124-104	Under	-5.5
04/08	Away	Orlando	232.5	120-132	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Houston	227.5	136-132	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	New Orleans	238.5	132-126	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	Denver	233.5	105-116	Under	-12.5
04/20	Away	Denver	233.5	119-114	Under	-0.5
04/23	Home	Denver	232.5	113-96	Under	-23.5
04/25	Home	Denver	228.5	112-96	Under	-20.5
04/27	Away	Denver	225.5	113-125	Over	+12.5
04/30	Home	Denver	223.5	110-98	Under	-15.5
05/04	Away	San Antonio	218.5	104-102	Under	-12.5
05/06	Away	San Antonio	217.5	95-133	Over	+10.5
05/08	Home	San Antonio	216.5	108-115	Over	+6.5
05/10	Home	San Antonio	218.5	114-109	Over	+4.5
05/12	Away	San Antonio	218.5	97-126	Over	+4.5
05/15	Home	San Antonio	218.5	109-139	Over	+29.5