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Sacramento at Dallas: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Feb 26, 2026 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Dallas by 7.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: SAC @ DAL

More Games From Feb 26, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 234.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 234.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 234.5	Similar Games	58% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SAC	DAL
Season	43-39-0	37-45-0
vs Division	10-6-0	4-12-0
vs Conference	25-27-0	24-27-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	22-19-0	22-19-0
Away	21-20-0	15-26-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5

Dallas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	San Antonio	224.0	92-125	Under	-7.0
10/24	Home	Washington	228.5	107-117	Under	-4.5
10/26	Home	Toronto	232.0	139-129	Over	+36.0
10/27	Home	Okla City	226.0	94-101	Under	-31.0
10/29	Home	Indiana	229.5	107-105	Under	-17.5
11/01	Neutral	Detroit	227.0	110-122	Over	+5.0
11/03	Away	Houston	226.0	102-110	Under	-14.0
11/05	Home	New Orleans	225.5	99-101	Under	-25.5
11/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	104-118	Under	-10.5
11/08	Away	Washington	234.5	111-105	Under	-18.5
11/10	Home	Milwaukee	229.5	114-116	Over	+0.5
11/12	Home	Phoenix	227.5	114-123	Over	+9.5
11/14	Home	LA Clippers	221.5	127-133	Over	+38.5
11/16	Home	Portland	236.5	138-133	Over	+34.5
11/17	Away	Minnesota	232.5	96-120	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	New York	233.5	111-113	Under	-9.5
11/21	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-115	Under	-0.5
11/22	Home	Memphis	229.5	96-102	Under	-31.5
11/24	Away	Miami	240.5	102-106	Under	-32.5
11/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	119-129	Over	+15.5
11/29	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	114-110	Under	-0.5
12/01	Away	Denver	235.5	131-121	Over	+16.5
12/03	Home	Miami	238.5	118-108	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Okla City	229.5	111-132	Over	+13.5
12/06	Home	Houston	221.5	122-109	Over	+9.5
12/12	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	119-111	Over	+11.5
12/15	Away	Utah	241.5	133-140	Over	+31.5
12/18	Home	Detroit	230.5	116-114	Under	-0.5
12/20	Away	Philadelphia	226.5	114-121	Over	+8.5
12/22	Away	New Orleans	240.5	113-119	Under	-8.5
12/23	Home	Denver	236.5	131-130	Over	+24.5
12/25	Away	Golden State	229.5	116-126	Over	+12.5
12/27	Away	Sacramento	233.5	107-113	Under	-13.5
12/29	Away	Portland	232.5	122-125	Over	+14.5
01/01	Home	Philadelphia	232.5	108-123	Under	-1.5
01/03	Home	Houston	228.5	110-104	Under	-14.5
01/06	Away	Sacramento	233.5	100-98	Under	-35.5
01/08	Away	Utah	243.5	114-116	Under	-13.5
01/10	Away	Chicago	233.5	107-125	Under	-1.5
01/12	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	113-105	Under	-1.5
01/14	Home	Denver	224.5	109-118	Over	+2.5
01/15	Home	Utah	237.5	144-122	Over	+28.5
01/17	Home	Utah	240.5	138-120	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	New York	231.5	114-97	Under	-20.5
01/22	Home	Golden State	234.5	123-115	Over	+3.5
01/24	Home	LA Lakers	234.5	110-116	Under	-8.5
01/28	Home	Minnesota	228.5	105-118	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Charlotte	226.5	121-123	Over	+17.5
01/31	Away	Houston	222.5	107-111	Under	-4.5
02/03	Home	Boston	223.5	100-110	Under	-13.5
02/05	Home	San Antonio	230.5	123-135	Over	+27.5
02/07	Away	San Antonio	233.5	125-138	Over	+29.5
02/10	Away	Phoenix	229.5	111-120	Over	+1.5
02/12	Away	LA Lakers	237.5	104-124	Under	-9.5
02/20	Away	Minnesota	239.5	111-122	Under	-6.5
02/22	Away	Indiana	237.5	134-130	Over	+26.5
02/24	Away	Brooklyn	226.5	123-114	Over	+10.5
02/26	Home	Sacramento	235.5	121-130	Over	+15.5
02/27	Home	Memphis	241.5	105-124	Under	-12.5
03/01	Home	Okla City	235.5	87-100	Under	-48.5
03/03	Away	Charlotte	226.5	90-117	Under	-19.5
03/05	Away	Orlando	230.5	114-115	Under	-1.5
03/06	Away	Boston	226.5	100-120	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	Toronto	233.5	92-122	Under	-19.5
03/10	Away	Atlanta	241.5	112-124	Under	-5.5
03/12	Away	Memphis	239.5	120-112	Under	-7.5
03/13	Home	Cleveland	236.5	105-138	Over	+6.5
03/15	Away	Cleveland	234.5	130-120	Over	+15.5
03/16	Away	New Orleans	240.5	111-129	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Atlanta	239.5	120-135	Over	+15.5
03/21	Home	LA Clippers	233.5	131-138	Over	+35.5
03/23	Home	Golden State	230.5	131-137	Over	+37.5
03/25	Away	Denver	246.5	135-142	Over	+30.5
03/27	Away	Portland	239.5	100-93	Under	-46.5
03/30	Home	Minnesota	236.5	94-124	Under	-18.5
03/31	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	99-123	Under	-7.5
04/03	Home	Orlando	239.5	127-138	Over	+25.5
04/05	Home	LA Lakers	234.5	134-128	Over	+27.5
04/07	Away	LA Clippers	238.5	103-116	Under	-19.5
04/08	Away	Phoenix	233.5	107-112	Under	-14.5
04/10	Away	San Antonio	237.5	120-139	Over	+21.5
04/12	Home	Chicago	250.5	149-128	Over	+26.5