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Sacramento at Miami: Recap

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 8.5, Total Points: 241.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami SAC 24.4%
MIA 75.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
SAC +8.5 SAC 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 242.5 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off SAC -0.6%
MIA -3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
SAC 117.6 117.0 127
MIA 125.6 125.5 111

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat SAC MIA
Points/Game 111.0 120.9
Avg Score Margin -10.0 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.7 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 50.6 54.7
Assists/Game 25.5 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.7 55.0
Effective FG % 52.5% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 25.9% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.256 0.266
Turnover % 12.5% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat SAC MIA
Opp Points/Game 121.0 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 57.2% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.5 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.5 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.8 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.5 4.3
Steals/Game 8.0 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.7 18.7