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Sacramento at Boston: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 30, 2026 7:30 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 11.5, Total Points: 216.5

Matchup Menu: SAC @ BOS

More Games From Jan 30, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 217.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 217.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 217.5	Similar Games	68% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SAC	BOS
Season	43-39-0	32-57-0
vs Division	10-6-0	9-14-0
vs Conference	25-27-0	20-39-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	4-6-0
Home	22-19-0	16-29-0
Away	21-20-0	16-28-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5

Boston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	116-117	Over	+3.5
10/24	Away	New York	231.5	95-105	Under	-31.5
10/26	Away	Detroit	227.0	113-119	Over	+5.0
10/27	Away	New Orleans	231.5	122-90	Under	-19.5
10/29	Home	Cleveland	233.5	125-105	Under	-3.5
10/31	Away	Philadelphia	234.0	109-108	Under	-17.0
11/01	Home	Houston	226.0	101-128	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Utah	233.0	103-105	Under	-25.0
11/05	Home	Washington	232.5	136-107	Over	+10.5
11/07	Away	Orlando	226.5	110-123	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Orlando	227.5	111-107	Under	-9.5
11/11	Away	Philadelphia	230.5	100-102	Under	-28.5
11/12	Home	Memphis	227.5	131-95	Under	-1.5
11/16	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	121-118	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	113-99	Under	-11.5
11/21	Home	Brooklyn	222.5	105-113	Under	-4.5
11/23	Home	Orlando	220.5	138-129	Over	+46.5
11/26	Home	Detroit	232.5	117-114	Under	-1.5
11/29	Away	Minnesota	228.5	115-119	Over	+5.5
11/30	Away	Cleveland	235.5	117-115	Under	-3.5
12/02	Home	New York	230.5	123-117	Over	+9.5
12/04	Away	Washington	231.5	146-101	Over	+15.5
12/05	Home	LA Lakers	227.5	126-105	Over	+3.5
12/07	Away	Toronto	224.5	121-113	Over	+9.5
12/11	Away	Milwaukee	223.5	101-116	Under	-6.5
12/15	Home	Detroit	231.5	105-112	Under	-14.5
12/19	Home	Miami	232.5	129-116	Over	+12.5
12/20	Away	Toronto	221.5	112-96	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	Indiana	225.5	103-95	Under	-27.5
12/26	Away	Indiana	222.5	140-122	Over	+39.5
12/28	Away	Portland	231.5	108-114	Under	-9.5
12/30	Away	Utah	243.5	129-119	Over	+4.5
01/01	Away	Sacramento	229.5	120-106	Under	-3.5
01/03	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	146-115	Over	+40.5
01/05	Home	Chicago	236.5	115-101	Under	-20.5
01/07	Home	Denver	230.5	110-114	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Toronto	224.5	125-117	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	San Antonio	231.5	95-100	Under	-36.5
01/12	Away	Indiana	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
01/15	Away	Miami	235.5	119-114	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Atlanta	231.5	132-106	Over	+6.5
01/19	Away	Detroit	223.5	103-104	Under	-16.5
01/21	Home	Indiana	226.5	119-104	Under	-3.5
01/23	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	130-126	Over	+39.5
01/24	Away	Chicago	232.5	111-114	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	Portland	222.5	102-94	Under	-26.5
01/28	Home	Atlanta	232.5	106-117	Under	-9.5
01/30	Home	Sacramento	216.5	112-93	Under	-11.5
02/01	Home	Milwaukee	217.5	107-79	Under	-31.5
02/03	Away	Dallas	223.5	110-100	Under	-13.5
02/04	Away	Houston	211.5	114-93	Under	-4.5
02/06	Home	Miami	227.5	98-96	Under	-33.5
02/08	Home	New York	214.5	89-111	Under	-14.5
02/11	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-105	Over	+2.5
02/19	Away	Golden State	210.5	121-110	Over	+20.5
02/22	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	111-89	Under	-29.5
02/24	Away	Phoenix	206.5	97-81	Under	-28.5
02/25	Away	Denver	228.5	84-103	Under	-41.5
02/27	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	148-111	Over	+49.5
03/01	Home	Philadelphia	219.5	114-98	Under	-7.5
03/02	Away	Milwaukee	216.5	108-81	Under	-27.5
03/04	Home	Charlotte	215.5	89-118	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Dallas	226.5	120-100	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	Cleveland	224.5	109-98	Under	-17.5
03/10	Away	San Antonio	221.5	116-125	Over	+19.5
03/12	Away	Okla City	217.5	102-104	Under	-11.5
03/14	Home	Washington	233.5	111-100	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Phoenix	216.5	120-112	Over	+15.5
03/18	Home	Golden State	216.5	120-99	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Memphis	230.5	117-112	Under	-1.5
03/22	Home	Minnesota	222.5	92-102	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	119-109	Over	+6.5
03/27	Home	Atlanta	224.5	109-102	Under	-13.5
03/29	Away	Charlotte	216.5	114-99	Under	-3.5
03/30	Away	Atlanta	226.5	102-112	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Miami	230.5	147-129	Over	+45.5
04/03	Away	Milwaukee	217.5	133-101	Over	+16.5
04/05	Home	Toronto	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Charlotte	221.5	113-102	Under	-6.5
04/09	Away	New York	211.5	106-112	Over	+6.5
04/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	144-118	Over	+34.5
04/12	Home	Orlando	222.5	113-108	Under	-1.5
04/19	Home	Philadelphia	215.5	123-91	Under	-1.5
04/21	Home	Philadelphia	218.5	97-111	Under	-10.5
04/24	Away	Philadelphia	215.5	108-100	Under	-7.5
04/26	Away	Philadelphia	213.5	128-96	Over	+10.5
04/28	Home	Philadelphia	214.5	97-113	Under	-4.5
04/30	Away	Philadelphia	214.5	93-106	Under	-15.5
05/02	Home	Philadelphia	205.5	100-109	Over	+3.5