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Utah at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 18, 2026 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 12.5, Total Points: 231.5

Matchup Menu: UTA @ MIN

More Games From Mar 18, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 230.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 230.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 230.5	Similar Games	61% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UTA	MIN
Season	49-33-0	43-51-0
vs Division	12-4-0	10-12-0
vs Conference	32-20-0	29-35-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 5
Last 5	4-1-0	5-0-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	28-13-0	17-30-0
Away	21-20-0	26-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Utah Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	129-108	Over	+11.5
10/24	Away	Sacramento	235.0	104-105	Under	-26.0
10/27	Home	Phoenix	230.0	138-134	Over	+42.0
10/29	Home	Portland	235.5	134-136	Over	+34.5
10/31	Away	Phoenix	238.0	96-118	Under	-24.0
11/02	Away	Charlotte	232.5	103-126	Under	-3.5
11/03	Away	Boston	233.0	105-103	Under	-25.0
11/05	Away	Detroit	233.5	103-114	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Minnesota	233.5	97-137	Over	+0.5
11/10	Home	Minnesota	234.5	113-120	Under	-1.5
11/11	Home	Indiana	233.5	152-128	Over	+46.5
11/13	Home	Atlanta	234.5	122-132	Over	+19.5
11/16	Home	Chicago	244.5	150-147	Over	+52.5
11/18	Away	LA Lakers	240.5	126-140	Over	+25.5
11/21	Home	Okla City	234.5	112-144	Over	+21.5
11/23	Home	LA Lakers	245.5	106-108	Under	-31.5
11/24	Away	Golden State	239.5	117-134	Over	+11.5
11/28	Home	Sacramento	242.5	128-119	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Houston	233.5	101-129	Under	-3.5
12/01	Home	Houston	234.5	133-125	Over	+23.5
12/04	Away	Brooklyn	231.5	123-110	Over	+1.5
12/05	Away	New York	242.5	112-146	Over	+15.5
12/07	Home	Okla City	233.5	101-131	Under	-1.5
12/12	Away	Memphis	243.5	130-126	Over	+12.5
12/15	Home	Dallas	241.5	140-133	Over	+31.5
12/18	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	135-143	Over	+35.5
12/20	Home	Orlando	240.5	127-128	Over	+14.5
12/22	Away	Denver	251.5	112-135	Under	-4.5
12/23	Home	Memphis	242.5	128-137	Over	+22.5
12/26	Home	Detroit	245.5	131-129	Over	+14.5
12/27	Away	San Antonio	243.5	127-114	Under	-2.5
12/30	Home	Boston	243.5	119-129	Over	+4.5
01/01	Away	LA Clippers	230.5	101-118	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Golden State	248.5	114-123	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	Portland	242.5	117-137	Over	+11.5
01/07	Away	Okla City	242.5	125-129	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Dallas	243.5	116-114	Under	-13.5
01/10	Home	Charlotte	241.5	95-150	Over	+3.5
01/12	Away	Cleveland	249.5	123-112	Under	-14.5
01/14	Away	Chicago	241.5	126-128	Over	+12.5
01/15	Away	Dallas	237.5	122-144	Over	+28.5
01/17	Away	Dallas	240.5	120-138	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	San Antonio	238.5	110-123	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Minnesota	238.5	127-122	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	San Antonio	237.5	109-126	Under	-2.5
01/24	Home	Miami	245.5	116-147	Over	+17.5
01/27	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	103-115	Under	-17.5
01/28	Home	Golden State	241.5	124-140	Over	+22.5
01/30	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	99-109	Under	-17.5
02/01	Away	Toronto	234.5	100-107	Under	-27.5
02/03	Away	Indiana	232.5	131-122	Over	+20.5
02/05	Away	Atlanta	245.5	119-121	Under	-5.5
02/07	Away	Orlando	234.5	117-120	Over	+2.5
02/09	Away	Miami	236.5	115-111	Under	-10.5
02/11	Home	Sacramento	228.5	121-93	Under	-14.5
02/12	Home	Portland	236.5	119-135	Over	+17.5
02/20	Away	Memphis	237.5	114-123	Under	-0.5
02/23	Away	Houston	228.5	105-125	Over	+1.5
02/26	Home	New Orleans	245.5	118-129	Over	+1.5
02/28	Home	New Orleans	244.5	105-115	Under	-24.5
03/02	Home	Denver	242.5	125-128	Over	+10.5
03/04	Away	Philadelphia	238.5	102-106	Under	-30.5
03/05	Away	Washington	240.5	122-112	Under	-6.5
03/07	Away	Milwaukee	231.5	99-113	Under	-19.5
03/09	Home	Golden State	225.0	119-116	Over	+10.0
03/11	Home	New York	231.5	117-134	Over	+19.5
03/13	Away	Portland	235.5	114-124	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Sacramento	230.5	111-116	Under	-3.5
03/18	Away	Minnesota	231.5	111-147	Over	+26.5
03/19	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	128-96	Under	-3.5
03/21	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	116-126	Over	+13.5
03/23	Home	Toronto	231.5	127-143	Over	+38.5
03/25	Home	Washington	239.5	110-133	Over	+3.5
03/27	Away	Denver	247.5	129-135	Over	+16.5
03/28	Away	Phoenix	232.5	109-134	Over	+10.5
03/30	Home	Cleveland	241.5	113-122	Under	-6.5
04/01	Home	Denver	249.5	117-130	Under	-2.5
04/03	Away	Houston	233.5	106-140	Over	+12.5
04/05	Away	Okla City	239.5	111-146	Over	+17.5
04/07	Away	New Orleans	243.5	137-156	Over	+49.5
04/10	Home	Memphis	247.5	147-101	Over	+0.5
04/12	Away	LA Lakers	239.5	107-131	Under	-1.5

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Portland	222.0	118-114	Over	+10.0
10/24	Away	LA Lakers	226.0	110-128	Over	+12.0
10/26	Home	Indiana	228.5	114-110	Under	-4.5
10/27	Home	Denver	229.5	114-127	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	115-116	Over	+6.5
11/01	Away	Charlotte	235.0	122-105	Under	-8.0
11/03	Away	Brooklyn	226.0	125-109	Over	+8.0
11/05	Away	New York	228.5	114-137	Over	+22.5
11/07	Home	Utah	233.5	137-97	Over	+0.5
11/09	Away	Sacramento	238.5	144-117	Over	+22.5
11/10	Away	Utah	234.5	120-113	Under	-1.5
11/14	Home	Sacramento	240.5	124-110	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Denver	236.5	112-123	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Dallas	232.5	120-96	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Washington	239.5	120-109	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Phoenix	230.5	113-114	Under	-3.5
11/24	Away	Sacramento	238.5	112-117	Under	-9.5
11/26	Away	Okla City	226.5	105-113	Under	-8.5
11/29	Home	Boston	228.5	119-115	Over	+5.5
11/30	Home	San Antonio	233.5	125-112	Over	+3.5
12/02	Away	New Orleans	229.5	149-142	Over	+61.5
12/04	Away	New Orleans	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-106	Under	-13.5
12/08	Home	Phoenix	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
12/12	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-120	Over	+19.5
12/14	Home	Sacramento	235.5	117-103	Under	-15.5
12/17	Home	Memphis	227.5	110-116	Under	-1.5
12/19	Home	Okla City	232.5	112-107	Under	-13.5
12/21	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	103-100	Under	-23.5
12/23	Home	New York	229.5	115-104	Under	-10.5
12/25	Away	Denver	238.5	138-142	Over	+41.5
12/27	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	107-123	Over	+6.5
12/29	Away	Chicago	243.5	136-101	Under	-6.5
12/31	Away	Atlanta	239.5	102-126	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Miami	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
01/04	Away	Washington	239.5	141-115	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Miami	238.5	122-94	Under	-22.5
01/08	Home	Cleveland	239.5	131-122	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Cleveland	240.5	134-146	Over	+39.5
01/11	Home	San Antonio	232.5	104-103	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	139-106	Over	+15.5
01/16	Away	Houston	221.5	105-110	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	San Antonio	234.5	123-126	Over	+14.5
01/20	Away	Utah	238.5	122-127	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	Chicago	239.5	115-120	Under	-4.5
01/25	Home	Golden State	237.5	85-111	Under	-41.5
01/26	Home	Golden State	226.5	108-83	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Dallas	228.5	118-105	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Okla City	227.5	123-111	Over	+6.5
01/31	Away	Memphis	229.5	131-114	Over	+15.5
02/02	Away	Memphis	232.5	128-137	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	128-126	Over	+25.5
02/06	Home	New Orleans	237.5	115-119	Under	-3.5
02/08	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	96-115	Under	-11.5
02/09	Home	Atlanta	238.5	138-116	Over	+15.5
02/11	Home	Portland	234.5	133-109	Over	+7.5
02/20	Home	Dallas	239.5	122-111	Under	-6.5
02/22	Home	Philadelphia	239.5	108-135	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Portland	234.5	124-121	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	94-88	Under	-38.5
03/01	Away	Denver	241.5	117-108	Under	-16.5
03/03	Home	Memphis	237.5	117-110	Under	-10.5
03/05	Home	Toronto	226.5	115-107	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Orlando	224.5	92-119	Under	-13.5
03/10	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
03/11	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	128-153	Over	+55.5
03/13	Away	Golden State	224.5	127-117	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	Okla City	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
03/17	Home	Phoenix	220.5	116-104	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Utah	231.5	147-111	Over	+26.5
03/20	Home	Portland	231.5	104-108	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Boston	222.5	102-92	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Houston	223.5	110-108	Under	-5.5
03/28	Home	Detroit	222.5	87-109	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Dallas	236.5	124-94	Under	-18.5
04/02	Away	Detroit	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	103-115	Under	-16.5
04/05	Home	Charlotte	225.5	108-122	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Indiana	233.5	124-104	Under	-5.5
04/08	Away	Orlando	232.5	120-132	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Houston	227.5	136-132	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	New Orleans	238.5	132-126	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	Denver	233.5	105-116	Under	-12.5
04/20	Away	Denver	233.5	119-114	Under	-0.5
04/23	Home	Denver	232.5	113-96	Under	-23.5
04/25	Home	Denver	228.5	112-96	Under	-20.5
04/27	Away	Denver	225.5	113-125	Over	+12.5
04/30	Home	Denver	223.5	110-98	Under	-15.5
05/04	Away	San Antonio	218.5	104-102	Under	-12.5
05/06	Away	San Antonio	217.5	95-133	Over	+10.5
05/08	Home	San Antonio	216.5	108-115	Over	+6.5
05/10	Home	San Antonio	218.5	114-109	Over	+4.5
05/12	Away	San Antonio	218.5	97-126	Over	+4.5
05/15	Home	San Antonio	218.5	109-139	Over	+29.5