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Monday Feb 23, 2026 9:30 pm -
Houston, TX
Odds:
Houston by 13.5,
Total Points:
228.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Houston |
|
| UTA |
10.3% |
| HOU |
89.7% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
HOU -13.5 |
|
| UTA |
49.5% |
| HOU |
50.5% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 228.5 |
|
| Over |
47.4% |
| Under |
52.6% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| UTA |
-4.0% |
| HOU |
-0.3% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| UTA |
106.7 |
107.5 | 105 |
| HOU |
120.4 |
121.0 | 125 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
UTA |
HOU |
| Points/Game |
117.6 |
114.1 |
| Avg Score Margin |
-8.4 |
+4.7 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
17.6 |
14.1 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.8 |
52.7 |
| Assists/Game |
29.6 |
25.1 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
52.5 |
57.2 |
| Effective FG % |
53.6% |
53.8% |
| Off Rebound % |
26.2% |
34.4% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.277 |
0.262 |
| Turnover % |
13.1% |
13.2% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
UTA |
HOU |
| Opp Points/Game |
126.0 |
109.4 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
57.8% |
53.1% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.5 |
48.9 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
12.0 |
14.9 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
31.8 |
32.7 |
| Blocks/Game |
3.8 |
5.7 |
| Steals/Game |
8.9 |
8.8 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
21.1 |
18.5 |