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Miami at Washington: Recap

Friday Apr 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Miami by 15.5, Total Points: 244.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 92.2%
WAS 7.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -15.5 MIA 50.1%
WAS 49.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 243.5 Over 47.9%
Under 52.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.9%
WAS -2.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 129.0 129.5 140
WAS 113.4 114.0 117

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA WAS
Points/Game 120.9 112.9
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -12.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 14.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 47.7
Assists/Game 29.0 25.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 50.2
Effective FG % 54.2% 53.5%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 24.1%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.235
Turnover % 11.4% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA WAS
Opp Points/Game 118.6 124.9
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 56.3%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 55.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 30.9
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.5
Steals/Game 8.6 8.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 21.3