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Miami at Houston: Recap

Saturday Mar 21, 2026 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 228.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston MIA 45.0%
HOU 55.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +2.5 MIA 50.6%
HOU 49.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 227.5 Over 48.1%
Under 51.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -3.8%
HOU -1.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 112.1 112.5 122
HOU 114.4 115.0 123

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA HOU
Points/Game 120.9 114.1
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +4.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 14.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 52.7
Assists/Game 29.0 25.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 57.2
Effective FG % 54.2% 53.8%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 34.4%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.262
Turnover % 11.4% 13.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA HOU
Opp Points/Game 118.6 109.4
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 53.1%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 48.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 14.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.7
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.7
Steals/Game 8.6 8.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 18.5