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Miami at Indiana: Recap

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 235.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 70.4%
IND 29.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -6.5 MIA 50.5%
IND 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 235.5 Over 46.4%
Under 53.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.0%
IND -3.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 120.0 121.0 99
IND 113.4 114.5 123

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Points/Game 120.9 112.4
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -8.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 14.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 46.1
Assists/Game 29.0 27.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 50.4
Effective FG % 54.2% 53.3%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 21.7%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.252
Turnover % 11.4% 12.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Opp Points/Game 118.6 120.4
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 55.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 55.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 9.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.1
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.6
Steals/Game 8.6 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 20.9