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Miami at Utah: Recap

Saturday Jan 24, 2026 9:30 pm - Salt Lake City, UT
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 245.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 70.3%
UTA 29.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -6.5 MIA 50.4%
UTA 49.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 245.5 Over 48.6%
Under 51.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -3.0%
UTA -1.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 125.5 126.0 147
UTA 118.9 119.5 116

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA UTA
Points/Game 120.9 117.6
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -8.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 17.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 52.8
Assists/Game 29.0 29.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 52.5
Effective FG % 54.2% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 26.2%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.277
Turnover % 11.4% 13.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA UTA
Opp Points/Game 118.6 126.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 57.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 52.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 12.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 31.8
Blocks/Game 4.3 3.8
Steals/Game 8.6 8.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 21.1