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Miami at Charlotte: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Apr 14, 2026 7:30 pm - Charlotte, NC
Odds: Charlotte by 6.5, Total Points: 228.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ CHA

More Games From Apr 14, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 228.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 228.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 228.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	CHA
Season	47-36-0	32-52-0
vs Division	12-6-0	10-8-0
vs Conference	28-25-0	21-33-0
Streak	Ov 4	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	8-2-0	4-6-0
Home	23-18-0	15-27-0
Away	24-18-0	17-25-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5

Charlotte Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Brooklyn	228.0	136-117	Over	+25.0
10/25	Away	Philadelphia	237.0	121-125	Over	+9.0
10/26	Away	Washington	240.0	139-113	Over	+12.0
10/28	Away	Miami	241.5	117-144	Over	+19.5
10/30	Home	Orlando	239.0	107-123	Under	-9.0
11/01	Home	Minnesota	235.0	105-122	Under	-8.0
11/02	Home	Utah	232.5	126-103	Under	-3.5
11/04	Away	New Orleans	229.5	112-116	Under	-1.5
11/07	Away	Miami	235.5	108-126	Under	-1.5
11/10	Home	LA Lakers	230.5	111-121	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	111-100	Under	-17.5
11/14	Away	Milwaukee	237.5	134-147	Over	+43.5
11/15	Home	Okla City	224.5	96-109	Under	-19.5
11/17	Away	Toronto	240.5	108-110	Under	-22.5
11/19	Away	Indiana	238.5	118-127	Over	+6.5
11/22	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-131	Over	+19.5
11/23	Away	Atlanta	232.5	110-113	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	New York	242.5	101-129	Under	-12.5
11/28	Home	Chicago	249.5	123-116	Under	-10.5
11/29	Home	Toronto	233.5	118-111	Under	-4.5
12/01	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
12/03	Away	New York	235.5	104-119	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Toronto	230.5	111-86	Under	-33.5
12/07	Home	Denver	235.5	106-115	Under	-14.5
12/12	Home	Chicago	229.5	126-129	Over	+25.5
12/14	Away	Cleveland	232.5	119-111	Under	-2.5
12/18	Home	Atlanta	240.5	133-126	Over	+18.5
12/20	Away	Detroit	235.5	86-112	Under	-37.5
12/22	Away	Cleveland	239.5	132-139	Over	+31.5
12/23	Home	Washington	239.5	126-109	Under	-4.5
12/26	Away	Orlando	228.5	120-105	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	113-123	Over	+8.5
12/31	Home	Golden State	235.5	125-132	Over	+21.5
01/02	Away	Milwaukee	233.5	121-122	Over	+9.5
01/03	Away	Chicago	240.5	112-99	Under	-29.5
01/05	Away	Okla City	235.5	124-97	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	Toronto	229.5	96-97	Under	-36.5
01/08	Home	Indiana	232.5	112-114	Under	-6.5
01/10	Away	Utah	241.5	150-95	Over	+3.5
01/12	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	109-117	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	LA Lakers	234.5	135-117	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Golden State	236.5	116-136	Over	+15.5
01/18	Away	Denver	226.5	110-87	Under	-29.5
01/21	Home	Cleveland	237.5	87-94	Under	-56.5
01/22	Away	Orlando	223.5	124-97	Under	-2.5
01/24	Home	Washington	232.5	119-115	Over	+1.5
01/26	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	130-93	Under	-6.5
01/28	Away	Memphis	230.5	112-97	Under	-21.5
01/29	Away	Dallas	226.5	123-121	Over	+17.5
01/31	Home	San Antonio	228.5	111-106	Under	-11.5
02/02	Home	New Orleans	230.5	102-95	Under	-33.5
02/05	Away	Houston	218.5	109-99	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Atlanta	234.5	126-119	Over	+10.5
02/09	Home	Detroit	222.5	104-110	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Atlanta	234.5	110-107	Under	-17.5
02/19	Home	Houston	218.5	101-105	Under	-12.5
02/20	Home	Cleveland	228.5	113-118	Over	+2.5
02/22	Away	Washington	224.5	129-112	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Chicago	231.5	131-99	Under	-1.5
02/26	Away	Indiana	229.5	133-109	Over	+12.5
02/28	Home	Portland	229.5	109-93	Under	-27.5
03/03	Home	Dallas	226.5	117-90	Under	-19.5
03/04	Away	Boston	215.5	118-89	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Miami	230.5	120-128	Over	+17.5
03/08	Away	Phoenix	218.5	99-111	Under	-8.5
03/10	Away	Portland	227.5	103-101	Under	-23.5
03/11	Away	Sacramento	224.5	117-109	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	San Antonio	232.5	102-115	Under	-15.5
03/17	Home	Miami	236.5	136-106	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	130-111	Over	+14.5
03/21	Home	Memphis	232.5	124-101	Under	-7.5
03/24	Home	Sacramento	233.5	134-90	Under	-9.5
03/26	Home	New York	224.5	114-103	Under	-7.5
03/28	Home	Philadelphia	232.5	114-118	Under	-0.5
03/29	Home	Boston	216.5	99-114	Under	-3.5
03/31	Away	Brooklyn	219.5	117-86	Under	-16.5
04/02	Home	Phoenix	225.5	127-107	Over	+8.5
04/03	Home	Indiana	233.5	129-108	Over	+3.5
04/05	Away	Minnesota	225.5	122-108	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Boston	221.5	102-113	Under	-6.5
04/10	Home	Detroit	225.5	100-118	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	New York	217.5	110-96	Under	-11.5
04/14	Home	Miami	228.5	127-126	Over	+24.5
04/17	Away	Orlando	218.5	90-121	Under	-7.5