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Miami at Charlotte: Recap

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Charlotte, NC
Odds: Charlotte by 7.5, Total Points: 230.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Charlotte MIA 25.8%
CHA 74.2%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
CHA -7.5 MIA 49.5%
CHA 50.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 229.5 Over 49.1%
Under 50.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -4.5%
CHA -0.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 110.7 111.0 128
CHA 118.3 118.5 120

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA CHA
Points/Game 120.9 115.8
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +4.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 13.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 45.2
Assists/Game 29.0 26.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 55.8
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.0%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 30.4%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.242
Turnover % 11.4% 13.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA CHA
Opp Points/Game 118.6 111.5
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 49.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 12.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 33.3
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.5
Steals/Game 8.6 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.3