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Miami at Boston: Recap

Friday Dec 19, 2025 7:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 7.5, Total Points: 232.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Boston MIA 26.0%
BOS 74.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BOS -7.5 MIA 49.7%
BOS 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 232.5 Over 48.9%
Under 51.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -4.3%
BOS -0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 112.1 112.5 116
BOS 119.6 120.0 129

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Points/Game 120.9 114.2
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +7.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 11.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 43.7
Assists/Game 29.0 24.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 55.1
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 29.0%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.209
Turnover % 11.4% 11.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Opp Points/Game 118.6 106.9
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 52.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 40.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 12.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 33.9
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.0
Steals/Game 8.6 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.1