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Miami at Chicago: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 29, 2026 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Miami by 2.5, Total Points: 238.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ CHI

More Games From Jan 29, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami -2.5 Official TR Pick Miami 50% odds to cover
Miami -2.5 Decision Tree Miami 50% odds to cover
Miami -2.5 Similar Games Miami 63% odds to cover
Chicago +2.5 Power Rating Model Chicago 57% odds to cover
Chicago +2.5 Predictive Ratings Chicago 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv CHI
Season 47-36-0 39-43-0
vs Division 12-6-0 6-10-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 22-29-0
Streak W3 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 23-18-0 21-20-0
Away 24-18-0 18-23-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Chicago Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home Detroit +3.0 W by 4 +7.0
10/25 Away Orlando +6.0 W by 12 +18.0
10/27 Home Atlanta +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
10/29 Home Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
10/31 Home New York +5.0 W by 10 +15.0
11/02 Away New York +8.0 L by 12 -4.0
11/04 Home Philadelphia -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/07 Away Milwaukee +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
11/08 Away Cleveland +8.5 L by 6 +2.5
11/10 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
11/12 Away Detroit -2.5 L by 11 -13.5
11/16 Away Utah -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
11/17 Away Denver +13.5 W by 3 +16.5
11/19 Away Portland -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
11/21 Home Miami -2.5 L by 36 -38.5
11/22 Home Washington -12.5 W by 1 -11.5
11/24 Away New Orleans -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
11/28 Away Charlotte -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/29 Away Indiana -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
12/01 Away Orlando +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
12/03 Home Brooklyn -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
12/05 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/07 Home Golden State +1.5 L by 32 -30.5
12/12 Away Charlotte -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
12/14 Home New Orleans -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/17 Home Cleveland +5.5 W by 16 +21.5
12/19 Away Cleveland +4.5 W by 11 +15.5
12/21 Away Atlanta +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
12/23 Away Atlanta +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
12/26 Home Philadelphia +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
12/27 Home Milwaukee -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
12/29 Home Minnesota +6.5 L by 35 -28.5
12/31 Home New Orleans -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
01/02 Home Orlando +4.5 W by 7 +11.5
01/03 Home Charlotte -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
01/05 Away Boston +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
01/07 Away Detroit +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
01/10 Home Dallas -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
01/13 Away Houston +12.5 L by 6 +6.5
01/14 Home Utah -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
01/16 Away Brooklyn +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
01/18 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 22 +14.5
01/20 Home LA Clippers -2.5 W by 28 +25.5
01/22 Away Minnesota +9.5 W by 5 +14.5
01/24 Home Boston +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
01/26 Home LA Lakers +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
01/28 Away Indiana -2.0 L by 3 -5.0
01/29 Home Miami +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
01/31 Away Miami +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
02/01 Away Miami +5.5 L by 43 -37.5
02/03 Away Milwaukee -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
02/05 Away Toronto +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
02/07 Home Denver +9.5 L by 16 -6.5
02/09 Away Brooklyn -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/11 Away Boston +13.5 L by 19 -5.5
02/19 Home Toronto +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
02/21 Home Detroit +10.5 L by 16 -5.5
02/22 Home New York +9.5 L by 6 +3.5
02/24 Home Charlotte +8.5 L by 32 -23.5
02/26 Home Portland +4.5 L by 9 -4.5
03/01 Home Milwaukee +2.5 W by 23 +25.5
03/03 Home Okla City +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
03/05 Away Phoenix +10.5 W by 2 +12.5
03/08 Away Sacramento -4.5 L by 16 -20.5
03/10 Away Golden State +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
03/12 Away LA Lakers +11.5 L by 12 -0.5
03/13 Away LA Clippers +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
03/16 Home Memphis -7.5 W by 25 +17.5
03/18 Home Toronto +7.5 L by 30 -22.5
03/19 Home Cleveland +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
03/23 Home Houston +8.5 W by 8 +16.5
03/25 Away Philadelphia +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
03/27 Away Okla City +18.5 L by 18 +0.5
03/28 Away Memphis -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/30 Away San Antonio +17.5 L by 15 +2.5
04/01 Home Indiana -3.5 L by 19 -22.5
04/03 Away New York +14.5 L by 40 -25.5
04/05 Home Phoenix +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
04/07 Away Washington -5.5 W by 31 +25.5
04/09 Away Washington -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
04/10 Home Orlando +16.5 L by 24 -7.5
04/12 Away Dallas +5.5 L by 21 -15.5