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Atlanta at Houston: Recap

Friday Mar 20, 2026 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 226.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston ATL 43.6%
HOU 56.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -2.5 ATL 49.2%
HOU 50.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 226.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ATL -0.8%
HOU -3.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 111.6 112.0 95
HOU 114.4 114.5 117

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL HOU
Points/Game 117.2 114.1
Avg Score Margin +1.1 +4.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.7 14.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 51.1 52.7
Assists/Game 29.6 25.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.3 57.2
Effective FG % 55.1% 53.8%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 34.4%
FTA/FGA 0.236 0.262
Turnover % 12.2% 13.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL HOU
Opp Points/Game 116.2 109.4
Opp Effective FG % 54.7% 53.1%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.1 48.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.9 14.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.2 32.7
Blocks/Game 4.7 5.7
Steals/Game 9.2 8.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 18.5