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Atlanta at Denver: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 9, 2026 9:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Atlanta by 3.5, Total Points: 230.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ DEN

More Games From Jan 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 230.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 230.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Under 230.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ATL	DEN
Season	44-44-0	53-35-0
vs Division	8-8-0	12-10-0
vs Conference	30-28-0	38-20-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	19-25-0	24-20-0
Away	25-19-0	29-15-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Atlanta Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Toronto	237.0	118-138	Over	+19.0
10/24	Away	Orlando	235.0	111-107	Under	-17.0
10/25	Home	Okla City	237.0	100-117	Under	-20.0
10/27	Away	Chicago	243.5	123-128	Over	+7.5
10/29	Away	Brooklyn	239.5	117-112	Under	-10.5
10/31	Away	Indiana	233.0	128-108	Over	+3.0
11/02	Away	Cleveland	230.0	109-117	Under	-4.0
11/04	Home	Orlando	228.5	127-112	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Toronto	235.5	97-109	Under	-29.5
11/08	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	122-102	Under	-4.5
11/10	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	105-102	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	Sacramento	230.5	133-100	Over	+2.5
11/13	Away	Utah	234.5	132-122	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Phoenix	226.5	124-122	Over	+19.5
11/18	Home	Detroit	227.5	112-120	Over	+4.5
11/20	Away	San Antonio	233.5	126-135	Over	+27.5
11/22	Away	New Orleans	232.5	115-98	Under	-19.5
11/23	Home	Charlotte	232.5	113-110	Under	-9.5
11/25	Away	Washington	239.5	113-132	Over	+5.5
11/28	Home	Cleveland	236.5	130-123	Over	+16.5
11/30	Away	Philadelphia	232.5	142-134	Over	+43.5
12/01	Away	Detroit	232.5	98-99	Under	-35.5
12/03	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	92-115	Under	-18.5
12/05	Home	Denver	238.5	133-134	Over	+28.5
12/06	Away	Washington	237.5	131-116	Over	+9.5
12/12	Away	Detroit	233.5	115-142	Over	+23.5
12/14	Home	Philadelphia	225.5	120-117	Over	+11.5
12/18	Away	Charlotte	240.5	126-133	Over	+18.5
12/19	Home	San Antonio	238.5	98-126	Under	-14.5
12/21	Home	Chicago	248.5	150-152	Over	+53.5
12/23	Home	Chicago	254.5	123-126	Under	-5.5
12/26	Home	Miami	250.5	111-126	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	New York	244.5	125-128	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Okla City	232.5	129-140	Over	+36.5
12/31	Home	Minnesota	239.5	126-102	Under	-11.5
01/02	Away	New York	239.5	111-99	Under	-29.5
01/03	Away	Toronto	231.5	117-134	Over	+19.5
01/05	Away	Toronto	236.5	100-118	Under	-18.5
01/07	Home	New Orleans	246.5	117-100	Under	-29.5
01/09	Away	Denver	230.5	110-87	Under	-33.5
01/11	Away	Golden State	236.5	124-111	Under	-1.5
01/13	Away	LA Lakers	233.5	116-141	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	Portland	228.5	101-117	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	Boston	231.5	106-132	Over	+6.5
01/19	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	110-112	Under	-10.5
01/21	Away	Memphis	239.5	124-122	Over	+6.5
01/23	Home	Phoenix	233.5	110-103	Under	-20.5
01/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	132-116	Over	+14.5
01/28	Away	Boston	232.5	117-106	Under	-9.5
01/29	Home	Houston	223.5	86-104	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Indiana	235.5	124-129	Over	+17.5
02/03	Away	Miami	237.5	127-115	Over	+4.5
02/05	Home	Utah	245.5	121-119	Under	-5.5
02/07	Home	Charlotte	234.5	119-126	Over	+10.5
02/09	Away	Minnesota	238.5	116-138	Over	+15.5
02/11	Away	Charlotte	234.5	107-110	Under	-17.5
02/19	Away	Philadelphia	241.5	117-107	Under	-17.5
02/20	Home	Miami	244.5	97-128	Under	-19.5
02/22	Home	Brooklyn	227.5	115-104	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Washington	236.5	119-98	Under	-19.5
02/26	Home	Washington	235.5	126-96	Under	-13.5
03/01	Home	Portland	235.5	135-101	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	131-113	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	Philadelphia	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
03/10	Home	Dallas	241.5	124-112	Under	-5.5
03/12	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	108-97	Under	-21.5
03/14	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	122-99	Under	-7.5
03/16	Home	Orlando	232.5	124-112	Over	+3.5
03/18	Away	Dallas	239.5	135-120	Over	+15.5
03/20	Away	Houston	226.5	95-117	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Golden State	227.5	126-110	Over	+8.5
03/23	Home	Memphis	239.5	146-107	Over	+13.5
03/25	Away	Detroit	229.5	130-129	Over	+29.5
03/27	Away	Boston	224.5	102-109	Under	-13.5
03/28	Home	Sacramento	234.5	123-113	Over	+1.5
03/30	Home	Boston	226.5	112-102	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Orlando	234.5	130-101	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Brooklyn	225.5	141-107	Over	+22.5
04/06	Home	New York	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
04/08	Away	Cleveland	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
04/10	Home	Cleveland	233.5	124-102	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Miami	240.5	117-143	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	New York	218.5	102-113	Under	-3.5
04/20	Away	New York	218.5	107-106	Under	-5.5
04/23	Home	New York	215.5	109-108	Over	+1.5
04/25	Home	New York	215.5	98-114	Under	-3.5
04/28	Away	New York	214.5	97-126	Over	+8.5
04/30	Home	New York	214.5	89-140	Over	+14.5

Denver Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/23	Away	Golden State	233.0	131-137	Over	+35.0
10/25	Home	Phoenix	233.5	133-111	Over	+10.5
10/27	Away	Minnesota	229.5	127-114	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	New Orleans	238.0	122-88	Under	-28.0
10/31	Away	Portland	239.5	107-109	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	Sacramento	237.0	130-124	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Miami	242.5	122-112	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Golden State	230.5	129-104	Over	+2.5
11/08	Home	Indiana	234.5	117-100	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	Sacramento	243.5	122-108	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	130-116	Over	+21.5
11/15	Away	Minnesota	236.5	123-112	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Chicago	240.5	127-130	Over	+16.5
11/19	Away	New Orleans	235.5	125-118	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	Houston	234.5	112-109	Under	-13.5
11/22	Home	Sacramento	239.5	123-128	Over	+11.5
11/24	Away	Memphis	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
11/28	Home	San Antonio	238.5	136-139	Over	+36.5
11/29	Away	Phoenix	233.5	130-112	Over	+8.5
12/01	Home	Dallas	235.5	121-131	Over	+16.5
12/03	Away	Indiana	238.5	135-120	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	Atlanta	238.5	134-133	Over	+28.5
12/07	Away	Charlotte	235.5	115-106	Under	-14.5
12/11	Away	Sacramento	239.5	136-105	Over	+1.5
12/15	Home	Houston	236.5	128-125	Over	+16.5
12/18	Home	Orlando	237.5	126-115	Over	+3.5
12/20	Home	Houston	235.5	101-115	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Utah	251.5	135-112	Under	-4.5
12/23	Away	Dallas	236.5	130-131	Over	+24.5
12/25	Home	Minnesota	238.5	142-138	Over	+41.5
12/27	Away	Orlando	235.5	126-127	Over	+17.5
12/29	Away	Miami	243.5	123-147	Over	+26.5
12/31	Away	Toronto	229.5	106-103	Under	-20.5
01/02	Away	Cleveland	240.5	108-113	Under	-19.5
01/04	Away	Brooklyn	224.5	115-127	Over	+17.5
01/05	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	125-124	Over	+20.5
01/07	Away	Boston	230.5	114-110	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Atlanta	230.5	87-110	Under	-33.5
01/11	Home	Milwaukee	218.5	108-104	Under	-6.5
01/13	Away	New Orleans	235.5	122-116	Over	+2.5
01/14	Away	Dallas	224.5	118-109	Over	+2.5
01/17	Home	Washington	227.5	121-115	Over	+8.5
01/18	Home	Charlotte	226.5	87-110	Under	-29.5
01/20	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	107-115	Under	-6.5
01/22	Away	Washington	227.5	107-97	Under	-23.5
01/23	Away	Milwaukee	214.5	102-100	Under	-12.5
01/27	Home	Detroit	215.5	107-109	Over	+0.5
01/29	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	107-103	Over	+0.5
01/30	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	122-109	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Okla City	225.5	111-121	Over	+6.5
02/03	Away	Detroit	229.5	121-124	Over	+15.5
02/04	Away	New York	227.5	127-134	Over	+33.5
02/07	Away	Chicago	235.5	136-120	Over	+20.5
02/09	Home	Cleveland	242.5	117-119	Under	-6.5
02/11	Home	Memphis	238.5	122-116	Under	-0.5
02/19	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	114-115	Over	+2.5
02/20	Away	Portland	241.5	157-103	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Golden State	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/25	Home	Boston	228.5	103-84	Under	-41.5
02/27	Away	Okla City	235.5	121-127	Over	+12.5
03/01	Home	Minnesota	241.5	108-117	Under	-16.5
03/02	Away	Utah	242.5	128-125	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	LA Lakers	241.5	120-113	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	New York	229.5	103-142	Over	+15.5
03/09	Away	Okla City	236.5	126-129	Over	+18.5
03/11	Home	Houston	231.5	129-93	Under	-9.5
03/12	Away	San Antonio	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
03/14	Away	LA Lakers	244.5	125-127	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Philadelphia	236.5	124-96	Under	-16.5
03/18	Away	Memphis	247.5	118-125	Under	-4.5
03/20	Home	Toronto	238.5	121-115	Under	-2.5
03/22	Home	Portland	237.5	128-112	Over	+2.5
03/24	Away	Phoenix	233.5	125-123	Over	+14.5
03/25	Home	Dallas	246.5	142-135	Over	+30.5
03/27	Home	Utah	247.5	135-129	Over	+16.5
03/29	Home	Golden State	237.5	116-93	Under	-28.5
04/01	Away	Utah	249.5	130-117	Under	-2.5
04/04	Home	San Antonio	242.5	136-134	Over	+27.5
04/06	Home	Portland	236.5	137-132	Over	+32.5
04/08	Home	Memphis	247.5	136-119	Over	+7.5
04/10	Home	Okla City	222.5	127-107	Over	+11.5
04/12	Away	San Antonio	234.5	128-118	Over	+11.5
04/18	Home	Minnesota	233.5	116-105	Under	-12.5
04/20	Home	Minnesota	233.5	114-119	Under	-0.5
04/23	Away	Minnesota	232.5	96-113	Under	-23.5
04/25	Away	Minnesota	228.5	96-112	Under	-20.5
04/27	Home	Minnesota	225.5	125-113	Over	+12.5
04/30	Away	Minnesota	223.5	98-110	Under	-15.5