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Atlanta at Miami: Recap

Sunday Apr 12, 2026 6:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 10.5, Total Points: 240.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 17.6%
MIA 82.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +10.5 ATL 51.4%
MIA 48.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 240.5 Over 48.1%
Under 51.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ATL -4.6%
MIA -0.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 114.6 115.0 117
MIA 124.7 125.5 143

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 117.2 120.9
Avg Score Margin +1.1 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.7 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 51.1 54.7
Assists/Game 29.6 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.3 55.0
Effective FG % 55.1% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.236 0.266
Turnover % 12.2% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 116.2 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.7% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.1 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.9 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.2 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.7 4.3
Steals/Game 9.2 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 18.7