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Atlanta at Boston: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 27, 2026 7:30 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 4.5, Total Points: 224.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ BOS

More Games From Mar 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 224.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 224.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 224.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ATL	BOS
Season	44-44-0	32-57-0
vs Division	8-8-0	9-14-0
vs Conference	30-28-0	20-39-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	19-25-0	16-29-0
Away	25-19-0	16-28-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Atlanta Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Toronto	237.0	118-138	Over	+19.0
10/24	Away	Orlando	235.0	111-107	Under	-17.0
10/25	Home	Okla City	237.0	100-117	Under	-20.0
10/27	Away	Chicago	243.5	123-128	Over	+7.5
10/29	Away	Brooklyn	239.5	117-112	Under	-10.5
10/31	Away	Indiana	233.0	128-108	Over	+3.0
11/02	Away	Cleveland	230.0	109-117	Under	-4.0
11/04	Home	Orlando	228.5	127-112	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Toronto	235.5	97-109	Under	-29.5
11/08	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	122-102	Under	-4.5
11/10	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	105-102	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	Sacramento	230.5	133-100	Over	+2.5
11/13	Away	Utah	234.5	132-122	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Phoenix	226.5	124-122	Over	+19.5
11/18	Home	Detroit	227.5	112-120	Over	+4.5
11/20	Away	San Antonio	233.5	126-135	Over	+27.5
11/22	Away	New Orleans	232.5	115-98	Under	-19.5
11/23	Home	Charlotte	232.5	113-110	Under	-9.5
11/25	Away	Washington	239.5	113-132	Over	+5.5
11/28	Home	Cleveland	236.5	130-123	Over	+16.5
11/30	Away	Philadelphia	232.5	142-134	Over	+43.5
12/01	Away	Detroit	232.5	98-99	Under	-35.5
12/03	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	92-115	Under	-18.5
12/05	Home	Denver	238.5	133-134	Over	+28.5
12/06	Away	Washington	237.5	131-116	Over	+9.5
12/12	Away	Detroit	233.5	115-142	Over	+23.5
12/14	Home	Philadelphia	225.5	120-117	Over	+11.5
12/18	Away	Charlotte	240.5	126-133	Over	+18.5
12/19	Home	San Antonio	238.5	98-126	Under	-14.5
12/21	Home	Chicago	248.5	150-152	Over	+53.5
12/23	Home	Chicago	254.5	123-126	Under	-5.5
12/26	Home	Miami	250.5	111-126	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	New York	244.5	125-128	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Okla City	232.5	129-140	Over	+36.5
12/31	Home	Minnesota	239.5	126-102	Under	-11.5
01/02	Away	New York	239.5	111-99	Under	-29.5
01/03	Away	Toronto	231.5	117-134	Over	+19.5
01/05	Away	Toronto	236.5	100-118	Under	-18.5
01/07	Home	New Orleans	246.5	117-100	Under	-29.5
01/09	Away	Denver	230.5	110-87	Under	-33.5
01/11	Away	Golden State	236.5	124-111	Under	-1.5
01/13	Away	LA Lakers	233.5	116-141	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	Portland	228.5	101-117	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	Boston	231.5	106-132	Over	+6.5
01/19	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	110-112	Under	-10.5
01/21	Away	Memphis	239.5	124-122	Over	+6.5
01/23	Home	Phoenix	233.5	110-103	Under	-20.5
01/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	132-116	Over	+14.5
01/28	Away	Boston	232.5	117-106	Under	-9.5
01/29	Home	Houston	223.5	86-104	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Indiana	235.5	124-129	Over	+17.5
02/03	Away	Miami	237.5	127-115	Over	+4.5
02/05	Home	Utah	245.5	121-119	Under	-5.5
02/07	Home	Charlotte	234.5	119-126	Over	+10.5
02/09	Away	Minnesota	238.5	116-138	Over	+15.5
02/11	Away	Charlotte	234.5	107-110	Under	-17.5
02/19	Away	Philadelphia	241.5	117-107	Under	-17.5
02/20	Home	Miami	244.5	97-128	Under	-19.5
02/22	Home	Brooklyn	227.5	115-104	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Washington	236.5	119-98	Under	-19.5
02/26	Home	Washington	235.5	126-96	Under	-13.5
03/01	Home	Portland	235.5	135-101	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	131-113	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	Philadelphia	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
03/10	Home	Dallas	241.5	124-112	Under	-5.5
03/12	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	108-97	Under	-21.5
03/14	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	122-99	Under	-7.5
03/16	Home	Orlando	232.5	124-112	Over	+3.5
03/18	Away	Dallas	239.5	135-120	Over	+15.5
03/20	Away	Houston	226.5	95-117	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Golden State	227.5	126-110	Over	+8.5
03/23	Home	Memphis	239.5	146-107	Over	+13.5
03/25	Away	Detroit	229.5	130-129	Over	+29.5
03/27	Away	Boston	224.5	102-109	Under	-13.5
03/28	Home	Sacramento	234.5	123-113	Over	+1.5
03/30	Home	Boston	226.5	112-102	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Orlando	234.5	130-101	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Brooklyn	225.5	141-107	Over	+22.5
04/06	Home	New York	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
04/08	Away	Cleveland	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
04/10	Home	Cleveland	233.5	124-102	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Miami	240.5	117-143	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	New York	218.5	102-113	Under	-3.5
04/20	Away	New York	218.5	107-106	Under	-5.5
04/23	Home	New York	215.5	109-108	Over	+1.5
04/25	Home	New York	215.5	98-114	Under	-3.5
04/28	Away	New York	214.5	97-126	Over	+8.5
04/30	Home	New York	214.5	89-140	Over	+14.5

Boston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	116-117	Over	+3.5
10/24	Away	New York	231.5	95-105	Under	-31.5
10/26	Away	Detroit	227.0	113-119	Over	+5.0
10/27	Away	New Orleans	231.5	122-90	Under	-19.5
10/29	Home	Cleveland	233.5	125-105	Under	-3.5
10/31	Away	Philadelphia	234.0	109-108	Under	-17.0
11/01	Home	Houston	226.0	101-128	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Utah	233.0	103-105	Under	-25.0
11/05	Home	Washington	232.5	136-107	Over	+10.5
11/07	Away	Orlando	226.5	110-123	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Orlando	227.5	111-107	Under	-9.5
11/11	Away	Philadelphia	230.5	100-102	Under	-28.5
11/12	Home	Memphis	227.5	131-95	Under	-1.5
11/16	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	121-118	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	113-99	Under	-11.5
11/21	Home	Brooklyn	222.5	105-113	Under	-4.5
11/23	Home	Orlando	220.5	138-129	Over	+46.5
11/26	Home	Detroit	232.5	117-114	Under	-1.5
11/29	Away	Minnesota	228.5	115-119	Over	+5.5
11/30	Away	Cleveland	235.5	117-115	Under	-3.5
12/02	Home	New York	230.5	123-117	Over	+9.5
12/04	Away	Washington	231.5	146-101	Over	+15.5
12/05	Home	LA Lakers	227.5	126-105	Over	+3.5
12/07	Away	Toronto	224.5	121-113	Over	+9.5
12/11	Away	Milwaukee	223.5	101-116	Under	-6.5
12/15	Home	Detroit	231.5	105-112	Under	-14.5
12/19	Home	Miami	232.5	129-116	Over	+12.5
12/20	Away	Toronto	221.5	112-96	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	Indiana	225.5	103-95	Under	-27.5
12/26	Away	Indiana	222.5	140-122	Over	+39.5
12/28	Away	Portland	231.5	108-114	Under	-9.5
12/30	Away	Utah	243.5	129-119	Over	+4.5
01/01	Away	Sacramento	229.5	120-106	Under	-3.5
01/03	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	146-115	Over	+40.5
01/05	Home	Chicago	236.5	115-101	Under	-20.5
01/07	Home	Denver	230.5	110-114	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Toronto	224.5	125-117	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	San Antonio	231.5	95-100	Under	-36.5
01/12	Away	Indiana	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
01/15	Away	Miami	235.5	119-114	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Atlanta	231.5	132-106	Over	+6.5
01/19	Away	Detroit	223.5	103-104	Under	-16.5
01/21	Home	Indiana	226.5	119-104	Under	-3.5
01/23	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	130-126	Over	+39.5
01/24	Away	Chicago	232.5	111-114	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	Portland	222.5	102-94	Under	-26.5
01/28	Home	Atlanta	232.5	106-117	Under	-9.5
01/30	Home	Sacramento	216.5	112-93	Under	-11.5
02/01	Home	Milwaukee	217.5	107-79	Under	-31.5
02/03	Away	Dallas	223.5	110-100	Under	-13.5
02/04	Away	Houston	211.5	114-93	Under	-4.5
02/06	Home	Miami	227.5	98-96	Under	-33.5
02/08	Home	New York	214.5	89-111	Under	-14.5
02/11	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-105	Over	+2.5
02/19	Away	Golden State	210.5	121-110	Over	+20.5
02/22	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	111-89	Under	-29.5
02/24	Away	Phoenix	206.5	97-81	Under	-28.5
02/25	Away	Denver	228.5	84-103	Under	-41.5
02/27	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	148-111	Over	+49.5
03/01	Home	Philadelphia	219.5	114-98	Under	-7.5
03/02	Away	Milwaukee	216.5	108-81	Under	-27.5
03/04	Home	Charlotte	215.5	89-118	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Dallas	226.5	120-100	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	Cleveland	224.5	109-98	Under	-17.5
03/10	Away	San Antonio	221.5	116-125	Over	+19.5
03/12	Away	Okla City	217.5	102-104	Under	-11.5
03/14	Home	Washington	233.5	111-100	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Phoenix	216.5	120-112	Over	+15.5
03/18	Home	Golden State	216.5	120-99	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Memphis	230.5	117-112	Under	-1.5
03/22	Home	Minnesota	222.5	92-102	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	119-109	Over	+6.5
03/27	Home	Atlanta	224.5	109-102	Under	-13.5
03/29	Away	Charlotte	216.5	114-99	Under	-3.5
03/30	Away	Atlanta	226.5	102-112	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Miami	230.5	147-129	Over	+45.5
04/03	Away	Milwaukee	217.5	133-101	Over	+16.5
04/05	Home	Toronto	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Charlotte	221.5	113-102	Under	-6.5
04/09	Away	New York	211.5	106-112	Over	+6.5
04/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	144-118	Over	+34.5
04/12	Home	Orlando	222.5	113-108	Under	-1.5
04/19	Home	Philadelphia	215.5	123-91	Under	-1.5
04/21	Home	Philadelphia	218.5	97-111	Under	-10.5
04/24	Away	Philadelphia	215.5	108-100	Under	-7.5
04/26	Away	Philadelphia	213.5	128-96	Over	+10.5
04/28	Home	Philadelphia	214.5	97-113	Under	-4.5
04/30	Away	Philadelphia	214.5	93-106	Under	-15.5
05/02	Home	Philadelphia	205.5	100-109	Over	+3.5