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Friday Feb 27, 2026 8:30 pm -
Dallas, TX
Odds:
Dallas by 4.5,
Total Points:
241.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Dallas |
|
| MEM |
37.5% |
| DAL |
62.5% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
DAL -4.5 |
|
| MEM |
49.8% |
| DAL |
50.2% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 240.5 |
|
| Over |
46.6% |
| Under |
53.4% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MEM |
-1.9% |
| DAL |
-3.0% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MEM |
116.9 |
118.0 | 124 |
| DAL |
121.5 |
122.5 | 105 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MEM |
DAL |
| Points/Game |
114.7 |
114.1 |
| Avg Score Margin |
-6.0 |
-5.5 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
15.0 |
17.8 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
48.6 |
52.8 |
| Assists/Game |
27.8 |
25.3 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
51.2 |
54.3 |
| Effective FG % |
53.3% |
52.7% |
| Off Rebound % |
24.7% |
23.2% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.251 |
0.287 |
| Turnover % |
12.9% |
12.5% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MEM |
DAL |
| Opp Points/Game |
120.7 |
119.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
56.2% |
54.6% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
53.9 |
56.2 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.2 |
10.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
31.0 |
34.2 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.8 |
5.2 |
| Steals/Game |
8.8 |
7.5 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
20.5 |
18.4 |