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Boston at Okla City: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 12, 2026 9:30 pm - Oklahoma City, OK
Odds: Oklahoma City by 8.5, Total Points: 217.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ OKC

More Games From Mar 12, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 217.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 217.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 217.5	Similar Games	60% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BOS	OKC
Season	32-57-0	54-43-0
vs Division	9-14-0	10-6-0
vs Conference	20-39-0	39-28-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	8-2-0
Home	16-29-0	27-22-0
Away	16-28-0	27-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Boston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	116-117	Over	+3.5
10/24	Away	New York	231.5	95-105	Under	-31.5
10/26	Away	Detroit	227.0	113-119	Over	+5.0
10/27	Away	New Orleans	231.5	122-90	Under	-19.5
10/29	Home	Cleveland	233.5	125-105	Under	-3.5
10/31	Away	Philadelphia	234.0	109-108	Under	-17.0
11/01	Home	Houston	226.0	101-128	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Utah	233.0	103-105	Under	-25.0
11/05	Home	Washington	232.5	136-107	Over	+10.5
11/07	Away	Orlando	226.5	110-123	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Orlando	227.5	111-107	Under	-9.5
11/11	Away	Philadelphia	230.5	100-102	Under	-28.5
11/12	Home	Memphis	227.5	131-95	Under	-1.5
11/16	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	121-118	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	113-99	Under	-11.5
11/21	Home	Brooklyn	222.5	105-113	Under	-4.5
11/23	Home	Orlando	220.5	138-129	Over	+46.5
11/26	Home	Detroit	232.5	117-114	Under	-1.5
11/29	Away	Minnesota	228.5	115-119	Over	+5.5
11/30	Away	Cleveland	235.5	117-115	Under	-3.5
12/02	Home	New York	230.5	123-117	Over	+9.5
12/04	Away	Washington	231.5	146-101	Over	+15.5
12/05	Home	LA Lakers	227.5	126-105	Over	+3.5
12/07	Away	Toronto	224.5	121-113	Over	+9.5
12/11	Away	Milwaukee	223.5	101-116	Under	-6.5
12/15	Home	Detroit	231.5	105-112	Under	-14.5
12/19	Home	Miami	232.5	129-116	Over	+12.5
12/20	Away	Toronto	221.5	112-96	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	Indiana	225.5	103-95	Under	-27.5
12/26	Away	Indiana	222.5	140-122	Over	+39.5
12/28	Away	Portland	231.5	108-114	Under	-9.5
12/30	Away	Utah	243.5	129-119	Over	+4.5
01/01	Away	Sacramento	229.5	120-106	Under	-3.5
01/03	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	146-115	Over	+40.5
01/05	Home	Chicago	236.5	115-101	Under	-20.5
01/07	Home	Denver	230.5	110-114	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Toronto	224.5	125-117	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	San Antonio	231.5	95-100	Under	-36.5
01/12	Away	Indiana	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
01/15	Away	Miami	235.5	119-114	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Atlanta	231.5	132-106	Over	+6.5
01/19	Away	Detroit	223.5	103-104	Under	-16.5
01/21	Home	Indiana	226.5	119-104	Under	-3.5
01/23	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	130-126	Over	+39.5
01/24	Away	Chicago	232.5	111-114	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	Portland	222.5	102-94	Under	-26.5
01/28	Home	Atlanta	232.5	106-117	Under	-9.5
01/30	Home	Sacramento	216.5	112-93	Under	-11.5
02/01	Home	Milwaukee	217.5	107-79	Under	-31.5
02/03	Away	Dallas	223.5	110-100	Under	-13.5
02/04	Away	Houston	211.5	114-93	Under	-4.5
02/06	Home	Miami	227.5	98-96	Under	-33.5
02/08	Home	New York	214.5	89-111	Under	-14.5
02/11	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-105	Over	+2.5
02/19	Away	Golden State	210.5	121-110	Over	+20.5
02/22	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	111-89	Under	-29.5
02/24	Away	Phoenix	206.5	97-81	Under	-28.5
02/25	Away	Denver	228.5	84-103	Under	-41.5
02/27	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	148-111	Over	+49.5
03/01	Home	Philadelphia	219.5	114-98	Under	-7.5
03/02	Away	Milwaukee	216.5	108-81	Under	-27.5
03/04	Home	Charlotte	215.5	89-118	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Dallas	226.5	120-100	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	Cleveland	224.5	109-98	Under	-17.5
03/10	Away	San Antonio	221.5	116-125	Over	+19.5
03/12	Away	Okla City	217.5	102-104	Under	-11.5
03/14	Home	Washington	233.5	111-100	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Phoenix	216.5	120-112	Over	+15.5
03/18	Home	Golden State	216.5	120-99	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Memphis	230.5	117-112	Under	-1.5
03/22	Home	Minnesota	222.5	92-102	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	119-109	Over	+6.5
03/27	Home	Atlanta	224.5	109-102	Under	-13.5
03/29	Away	Charlotte	216.5	114-99	Under	-3.5
03/30	Away	Atlanta	226.5	102-112	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Miami	230.5	147-129	Over	+45.5
04/03	Away	Milwaukee	217.5	133-101	Over	+16.5
04/05	Home	Toronto	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Charlotte	221.5	113-102	Under	-6.5
04/09	Away	New York	211.5	106-112	Over	+6.5
04/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	144-118	Over	+34.5
04/12	Home	Orlando	222.5	113-108	Under	-1.5
04/19	Home	Philadelphia	215.5	123-91	Under	-1.5
04/21	Home	Philadelphia	218.5	97-111	Under	-10.5
04/24	Away	Philadelphia	215.5	108-100	Under	-7.5
04/26	Away	Philadelphia	213.5	128-96	Over	+10.5
04/28	Home	Philadelphia	214.5	97-113	Under	-4.5
04/30	Away	Philadelphia	214.5	93-106	Under	-15.5
05/02	Home	Philadelphia	205.5	100-109	Over	+3.5

Okla City Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Home	Houston	226.0	125-124	Over	+23.0
10/23	Away	Indiana	231.5	141-135	Over	+44.5
10/25	Away	Atlanta	237.0	117-100	Under	-20.0
10/27	Away	Dallas	226.0	101-94	Under	-31.0
10/28	Home	Sacramento	227.5	107-101	Under	-19.5
10/30	Home	Washington	231.5	127-108	Over	+3.5
11/02	Home	New Orleans	229.0	137-106	Over	+14.0
11/04	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	126-107	Over	+13.5
11/05	Away	Portland	231.5	119-121	Over	+8.5
11/07	Away	Sacramento	234.5	132-101	Under	-1.5
11/09	Away	Memphis	231.5	114-100	Under	-17.5
11/11	Home	Golden State	227.5	126-102	Over	+0.5
11/12	Home	LA Lakers	229.5	121-92	Under	-16.5
11/15	Away	Charlotte	224.5	109-96	Under	-19.5
11/17	Away	New Orleans	223.5	126-109	Over	+11.5
11/19	Home	Sacramento	232.5	113-99	Under	-20.5
11/21	Away	Utah	234.5	144-112	Over	+21.5
11/23	Home	Portland	234.5	122-95	Under	-17.5
11/26	Home	Minnesota	226.5	113-105	Under	-8.5
11/28	Home	Phoenix	223.5	123-119	Over	+18.5
11/30	Away	Portland	233.5	123-115	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Golden State	223.5	124-112	Over	+12.5
12/05	Home	Dallas	229.5	132-111	Over	+13.5
12/07	Away	Utah	233.5	131-101	Under	-1.5
12/10	Home	Phoenix	221.5	138-89	Over	+5.5
12/13	Neutral	San Antonio	233.5	109-111	Under	-13.5
12/18	Home	LA Clippers	223.5	122-101	Under	-0.5
12/19	Away	Minnesota	232.5	107-112	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	Memphis	234.5	119-103	Under	-12.5
12/23	Away	San Antonio	235.5	110-130	Over	+4.5
12/25	Home	San Antonio	234.5	102-117	Under	-15.5
12/28	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	129-104	Over	+6.5
12/29	Home	Atlanta	232.5	140-129	Over	+36.5
12/31	Home	Portland	232.5	124-95	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	Golden State	226.5	131-94	Under	-1.5
01/04	Away	Phoenix	229.5	105-108	Under	-16.5
01/05	Home	Charlotte	235.5	97-124	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	Utah	242.5	129-125	Over	+11.5
01/09	Away	Memphis	229.5	117-116	Over	+3.5
01/11	Home	Miami	234.5	124-112	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	San Antonio	230.5	119-98	Under	-13.5
01/15	Away	Houston	221.5	111-91	Under	-19.5
01/17	Away	Miami	234.5	120-122	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Cleveland	229.5	136-104	Over	+10.5
01/21	Away	Milwaukee	224.5	122-102	Under	-0.5
01/23	Home	Indiana	226.5	114-117	Over	+4.5
01/25	Home	Toronto	224.5	101-103	Under	-20.5
01/27	Home	New Orleans	233.5	104-95	Under	-34.5
01/29	Away	Minnesota	227.5	111-123	Over	+6.5
02/01	Away	Denver	225.5	121-111	Over	+6.5
02/03	Home	Orlando	222.5	128-92	Under	-2.5
02/04	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-116	Over	+0.5
02/07	Home	Houston	213.5	106-112	Over	+4.5
02/09	Away	LA Lakers	223.5	119-110	Over	+5.5
02/11	Away	Phoenix	215.5	136-109	Over	+29.5
02/12	Home	Milwaukee	214.5	93-110	Under	-11.5
02/20	Home	Brooklyn	215.5	105-86	Under	-24.5
02/22	Home	Cleveland	228.5	121-113	Over	+5.5
02/24	Away	Toronto	217.5	116-107	Over	+5.5
02/25	Away	Detroit	221.5	116-124	Over	+18.5
02/27	Home	Denver	235.5	127-121	Over	+12.5
03/01	Away	Dallas	235.5	100-87	Under	-48.5
03/03	Away	Chicago	231.5	116-108	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	New York	221.5	103-100	Under	-18.5
03/07	Home	Golden State	220.5	104-97	Under	-19.5
03/09	Home	Denver	236.5	129-126	Over	+18.5
03/12	Home	Boston	217.5	104-102	Under	-11.5
03/15	Home	Minnesota	228.5	116-103	Under	-9.5
03/17	Away	Orlando	224.5	113-108	Under	-3.5
03/18	Away	Brooklyn	215.5	121-92	Under	-2.5
03/21	Away	Washington	231.5	132-111	Over	+11.5
03/23	Away	Philadelphia	226.5	123-103	Under	-0.5
03/25	Away	Boston	221.5	109-119	Over	+6.5
03/27	Home	Chicago	240.5	131-113	Over	+3.5
03/29	Home	New York	223.5	111-100	Under	-12.5
03/30	Home	Detroit	216.5	114-110	Over	+7.5
04/02	Home	LA Lakers	232.5	139-96	Over	+2.5
04/05	Home	Utah	239.5	146-111	Over	+17.5
04/07	Away	LA Lakers	220.5	123-87	Under	-10.5
04/08	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	128-110	Over	+13.5
04/10	Away	Denver	222.5	107-127	Over	+11.5
04/12	Home	Phoenix	212.5	103-135	Over	+25.5
04/19	Home	Phoenix	215.5	119-84	Under	-12.5
04/22	Home	Phoenix	215.5	120-107	Over	+11.5
04/25	Away	Phoenix	212.5	121-109	Over	+17.5
04/27	Away	Phoenix	215.5	131-122	Over	+37.5
05/05	Home	LA Lakers	212.5	108-90	Under	-14.5
05/07	Home	LA Lakers	211.5	125-107	Over	+20.5
05/09	Away	LA Lakers	210.5	131-108	Over	+28.5
05/11	Away	LA Lakers	214.5	115-110	Over	+10.5
05/18	Home	San Antonio	219.5	115-122	Over	+17.5
05/20	Home	San Antonio	213.5	122-113	Over	+21.5
05/22	Away	San Antonio	219.5	123-108	Over	+11.5
05/24	Away	San Antonio	219.5	82-103	Under	-34.5
05/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	127-114	Over	+24.5
05/28	Away	San Antonio	219.5	91-118	Under	-10.5
05/30	Home	San Antonio	212.5	103-111	Over	+1.5