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Boston at LA Lakers: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 22, 2026 6:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Boston by 1.5, Total Points: 229.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ LAL

More Games From Feb 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 82.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 42.5 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 24.3
Free Throw % 79.9% 75.8%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 50.8 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 10.0
Turnovers 11.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.5
Steals 7.0 5.4
Fouls 18.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 31.1%
Player Fouled 15.8% 19.0%
Turnover 11.4% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 21.5%