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Boston at Miami: Recap

Thursday Jan 15, 2026 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Boston by 2.5, Total Points: 235.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Boston BOS 56.4%
MIA 43.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BOS -2.5 BOS 50.8%
MIA 49.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 235.5 Over 48.7%
Under 51.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off BOS -2.8%
MIA -1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BOS 118.7 119.0 119
MIA 116.0 116.5 114

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BOS MIA
Points/Game 114.2 120.9
Avg Score Margin +7.3 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.8 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.7 54.7
Assists/Game 24.6 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.1 55.0
Effective FG % 55.1% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 29.0% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.209 0.266
Turnover % 11.1% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BOS MIA
Opp Points/Game 106.9 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 52.2% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 40.2 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.5 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.9 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.0 4.3
Steals/Game 7.0 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.1 18.7