Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday May 2, 2026 4:05 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Pittsburgh by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 8.0 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 8.0 Decision Tree 54% odds to go over
Over 8.0 Similar Games 57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record CIN PIT
Season 59-51-1 64-47-3
vs Division 17-18-0 24-13-0
vs Conference 40-32-0 48-35-1
Streak Ov 1 Un 1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 30-27-0 37-20-0
Away 29-24-1 27-27-3

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Cincinnati Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Home Boston 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
03/28 Home Boston 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
03/29 Home Boston 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
03/30 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
03/31 Home Pittsburgh 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
04/01 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 3-8 Over +3.5
04/03 Away Texas 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
04/04 Away Texas 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
04/05 Away Texas 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
04/06 Away Miami 8.0 2-0 Under -6.0
04/07 Away Miami 7.0 6-3 Over +2.0
04/08 Away Miami 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
04/09 Away Miami 8.0 1-8 Over +1.0
04/10 Home LA Angels 9.0 2-10 Over +3.0
04/11 Home LA Angels 9.0 7-3 Over +1.0
04/12 Home LA Angels 8.5 6-9 Over +6.5
04/14 Home SF Giants 9.0 2-1 Under -6.0
04/15 Home SF Giants 9.0 8-3 Over +2.0
04/16 Home SF Giants 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
04/17 Away Minnesota 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
04/18 Away Minnesota 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
04/19 Away Minnesota 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
04/20 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 6-1 Under -1.0
04/21 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 12-6 Over +10.5
04/22 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 1-6 Under -1.5
04/24 Home Detroit 9.0 9-8 Over +8.0
04/25 Home Detroit 9.5 9-2 Over +1.5
04/26 Home Detroit 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
04/28 Home Colorado 8.5 7-2 Over +0.5
04/29 Home Colorado 9.5 2-13 Over +5.5
04/30 Home Colorado 9.0 6-4 Over +1.0
05/01 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 1-9 Over +2.0
05/02 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 7-17 Over +16.0
05/03 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 0-1 Under -6.5
05/04 Away Chi Cubs 11.5 4-5 Under -2.5
05/05 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
05/06 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/07 Away Chi Cubs 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
05/08 Home Houston 9.0 0-10 Over +1.0
05/09 Home Houston 8.5 3-1 Under -4.5
05/10 Home Houston 9.5 5-0 Under -4.5
05/12 Home Washington 9.5 4-10 Over +4.5
05/13 Home Washington 9.5 7-8 Over +5.5
05/14 Home Washington 7.5 15-1 Over +8.5
05/15 Away Cleveland 7.5 7-6 Over +5.5
05/16 Away Cleveland 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
05/17 Away Cleveland 8.5 3-10 Over +4.5
05/18 Away Philadelphia 10.0 4-5 Under -1.0
05/19 Away Philadelphia 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
05/20 Away Philadelphia 9.5 9-4 Over +3.5
05/23 Home St. Louis 9.5 1-8 Under -0.5
05/23 Home St. Louis 10.0 7-6 Over +3.0
05/25 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/26 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/27 Away NY Mets 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
05/29 Home Atlanta 9.5 3-8 Over +1.5
05/30 Home Atlanta 9.5 2-5 Under -2.5
05/31 Home Atlanta 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
06/01 Home Kansas City 9.5 2-9 Over +1.5
06/02 Home Kansas City 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
06/03 Home Kansas City 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0
06/05 Away St. Louis 9.0 3-10 Over +4.0
06/06 Away St. Louis 9.0 5-6 Over +2.0
06/07 Away St. Louis 9.5 3-5 Under -1.5
06/08 Away San Diego 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
06/09 Away San Diego 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
06/10 Away San Diego 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
06/12 Home Arizona 10.0 2-5 Under -3.0
06/13 Home Arizona 9.5 2-1 Under -6.5
06/14 Home Arizona 10.0 3-5 Under -2.0
06/15 Home NY Mets 9.0 12-0 Over +3.0
06/16 Home NY Mets 10.0 5-3 Under -2.0
06/17 Home NY Mets 9.0 1-9 Over +1.0
06/19 Away NY Yankees 9.0 0-5 Under -4.0
06/20 Away NY Yankees 9.5 10-2 Over +2.5
06/21 Away NY Yankees 9.0 4-1 Under -4.0
06/22 Home Milwaukee 9.5 1-2 Under -6.5
06/23 Home Milwaukee 9.5 0-2 Under -7.5
06/24 Home Milwaukee 9.5 5-6 Over +1.5
06/26 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 6-4 Over +2.5
06/27 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 9-7 Over +8.0
06/28 Away Pittsburgh 9.0 4-9 Over +4.0
06/29 Away Milwaukee 9.0 3-5 Under -1.0
06/30 Away Milwaukee 9.5 2-7 Under -0.5
07/01 Away Milwaukee 9.0 2-4 Under -3.0
07/02 Away Milwaukee 7.0 7-2 Over +2.0
07/03 Home Baltimore 10.5 0-3 Under -7.5
07/04 Home Baltimore 9.0 5-8 Over +4.0
07/05 Home Baltimore 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
07/07 Home Philadelphia 9.0 1-4 Under -4.0
07/08 Home Philadelphia 9.0 11-5 Over +7.0
07/09 Home Philadelphia 9.5 0-1 Under -8.5
07/10 Home Chi Cubs 9.5 4-0 Under -5.5
07/11 Home Chi Cubs 9.5 3-5 Under -1.5
07/12 Home Chi Cubs 9.0 4-8 Over +3.0
07/17 Away Colorado 12.0 7-2 Under -3.0
07/18 Away Colorado 12.5 3-10 Over +0.5
07/19 Away Colorado 11.0 9-6 Over +4.0
07/20 Away Seattle 7.5 0-8 Over +0.5
07/21 Away Seattle 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
07/22 Away Seattle 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
07/24 Away St. Louis 8.0 4-2 Under -2.0
07/25 Away St. Louis 8.0 0-7 Under -1.0
07/26 Away St. Louis 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
07/28 Home Cleveland 9.0 5-6 Over +2.0
07/28 Home Cleveland 9.0 2-0 Under -7.0
07/29 Home Cleveland 8.5 1-6 Under -1.5
07/30 Home Pittsburgh 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
07/31 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 8-7 Over +7.0
08/01 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
08/02 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 10-2 Over +3.5

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Away NY Mets 7.0 7-11 Over +11.0
03/28 Away NY Mets 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
03/29 Away NY Mets 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
03/30 Away Cincinnati 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
03/31 Away Cincinnati 9.0 8-3 Over +2.0
04/01 Away Cincinnati 7.5 8-3 Over +3.5
04/03 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
04/04 Home Baltimore 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
04/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 8-2 Over +1.5
04/06 Home San Diego 8.5 0-5 Under -3.5
04/07 Home San Diego 6.0 7-1 Over +2.0
04/08 Home San Diego 7.0 2-8 Over +3.0
04/10 Away Chi Cubs 6.5 2-0 Under -4.5
04/11 Away Chi Cubs 6.5 4-3 Over +0.5
04/12 Away Chi Cubs 12.5 6-7 Over +0.5
04/13 Home Washington 7.5 16-5 Over +13.5
04/14 Home Washington 9.5 4-5 Under -0.5
04/15 Home Washington 9.5 2-0 Under -7.5
04/16 Home Washington 8.5 7-8 Over +6.5
04/17 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
04/18 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 7-8 Over +7.5
04/19 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
04/21 Away Texas 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
04/22 Away Texas 7.5 8-4 Over +4.5
04/23 Away Texas 7.5 1-6 Under -0.5
04/24 Away Milwaukee 7.0 6-0 Under -1.0
04/25 Away Milwaukee 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
04/26 Away Milwaukee 7.5 0-5 Under -2.5
04/27 Home St. Louis 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
04/28 Home St. Louis 8.5 7-11 Over +9.5
04/29 Home St. Louis 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/30 Home St. Louis 7.0 5-10 Over +8.0
05/01 Home Cincinnati 8.0 9-1 Over +2.0
05/02 Home Cincinnati 8.0 17-7 Over +16.0
05/03 Home Cincinnati 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
05/05 Away Arizona 9.0 0-9 Push 0.0
05/06 Away Arizona 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
05/07 Away Arizona 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
05/08 Away SF Giants 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0
05/09 Away SF Giants 7.0 13-3 Over +9.0
05/10 Away SF Giants 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/12 Home Colorado 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
05/13 Home Colorado 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
05/14 Home Colorado 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/15 Home Philadelphia 8.0 9-11 Over +12.0
05/16 Home Philadelphia 8.5 0-6 Under -2.5
05/17 Home Philadelphia 7.5 0-6 Under -1.5
05/19 Away St. Louis 8.0 6-9 Over +7.0
05/20 Away St. Louis 7.5 7-0 Under -0.5
05/21 Away St. Louis 7.0 6-2 Over +1.0
05/22 Away Toronto 8.0 2-6 Push 0.0
05/23 Away Toronto 7.5 2-5 Under -0.5
05/24 Away Toronto 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/25 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
05/26 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 12-1 Over +5.0
05/27 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
05/28 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 2-7 Over +1.5
05/29 Home Minnesota 8.5 6-5 Over +2.5
05/30 Home Minnesota 8.5 10-9 Over +10.5
05/31 Home Minnesota 7.5 9-3 Over +4.5
06/02 Away Houston 9.0 10-6 Over +7.0
06/03 Away Houston 8.0 9-11 Over +12.0
06/04 Away Houston 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
06/05 Away Atlanta 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
06/06 Away Atlanta 8.0 3-6 Over +1.0
06/07 Away Atlanta 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
06/09 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 3-12 Over +6.5
06/10 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 9-8 Over +8.5
06/11 Home LA Dodgers 9.5 6-8 Over +4.5
06/12 Home Miami 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
06/13 Home Miami 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
06/14 Home Miami 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
06/15 Away Sacramento 10.0 2-11 Over +3.0
06/16 Away Sacramento 11.0 6-5 Push 0.0
06/17 Away Sacramento 10.5 12-4 Over +5.5
06/19 Away Colorado 11.5 3-4 Under -4.5
06/20 Away Colorado 10.5 1-2 Under -7.5
06/21 Away Colorado 11.5 8-6 Over +2.5
06/23 Home Seattle 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
06/24 Home Seattle 8.0 11-1 Over +4.0
06/25 Home Seattle 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
06/26 Home Cincinnati 7.5 4-6 Over +2.5
06/27 Home Cincinnati 8.0 7-9 Over +8.0
06/28 Home Cincinnati 9.0 9-4 Over +4.0
06/29 Away Philadelphia 9.0 11-7 Over +9.0
06/30 Away Philadelphia 8.5 0-8 Under -0.5
07/01 Away Philadelphia 8.0 6-10 Over +8.0
07/02 Away Philadelphia 10.5 6-1 Under -3.5
07/03 Away Washington 9.5 5-9 Over +4.5
07/04 Away Washington 10.5 7-1 Under -2.5
07/05 Away Washington 10.0 11-5 Over +6.0
07/07 Home Atlanta 8.5 12-4 Over +7.5
07/08 Home Atlanta 9.5 0-3 Under -6.5
07/09 Home Atlanta 10.0 5-10 Over +5.0
07/11 Home Milwaukee 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
07/11 Home Milwaukee 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
07/12 Home Milwaukee 8.5 14-5 Over +10.5
07/18 Away Cleveland 7.5 7-1 Over +0.5
07/18 Away Cleveland 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
07/19 Away Cleveland 6.5 7-1 Over +1.5
07/20 Away NY Yankees 8.0 5-8 Over +5.0
07/22 Away NY Yankees 9.5 5-3 Under -1.5
07/22 Away NY Yankees 9.0 0-2 Under -7.0
07/24 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
07/25 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 0-11 Over +3.5
07/26 Home Chi Cubs 9.0 8-7 Over +6.0
07/27 Home Arizona 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
07/28 Home Arizona 9.0 7-8 Over +6.0
07/29 Home Arizona 8.5 0-3 Under -5.5
07/30 Away Cincinnati 9.5 2-3 Under -4.5
07/31 Away Cincinnati 8.0 7-8 Over +7.0
08/01 Away Cincinnati 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
08/02 Away Cincinnati 8.5 2-10 Over +3.5
08/03 Away Milwaukee 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5