Tampa Bay at Miami: Run Line Analysis

Sunday Jun 7, 2026 1:40 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Run Line Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +1.5 Official TR Pick Model shows 3% value
Miami +1.5 Decision Tree Model shows 9% value
Miami +1.5 Similar Games Model shows 8% value

Run Line Situational Trends

Record TB adv MIA
Season 63-45-0 54-55-0
vs Division 21-14-0 16-13-0
vs Conference 45-30-0 39-31-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 2-8-0
Home 37-19-0 29-28-0
Away 26-26-0 25-27-0

Tampa Bay Detailed Run Line Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
03/26 Away St. Louis -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/28 Away St. Louis -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
03/29 Away St. Louis -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
03/30 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/31 Away Milwaukee +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
04/01 Away Milwaukee +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/03 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
04/04 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
04/05 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
04/06 Home Chi Cubs -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
04/07 Home Chi Cubs +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
04/08 Home Chi Cubs +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
04/10 Home NY Yankees +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/11 Home NY Yankees +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/12 Home NY Yankees +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/14 Away Chi Sox -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
04/15 Away Chi Sox -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
04/16 Away Chi Sox -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
04/17 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
04/18 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/19 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
04/20 Home Cincinnati +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/21 Home Cincinnati +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/22 Home Cincinnati -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
04/24 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
04/25 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
04/26 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
04/27 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/28 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/29 Away Cleveland -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/01 Home SF Giants -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/02 Home SF Giants +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
05/03 Home SF Giants -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
05/04 Home Toronto -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
05/05 Home Toronto +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/06 Home Toronto -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/07 Away Boston -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
05/08 Away Boston +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
05/10 Away Boston +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/11 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/12 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
05/13 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
05/15 Home Miami -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
05/16 Home Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
05/17 Home Miami -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/18 Home Baltimore -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
05/19 Home Baltimore +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/20 Home Baltimore +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/22 Away NY Yankees +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
05/24 Away NY Yankees +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
05/25 Away Baltimore -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/26 Away Baltimore -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
05/27 Away Baltimore -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
05/29 Home LA Angels -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/30 Home LA Angels -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
05/31 Home LA Angels -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/01 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/02 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
06/03 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
06/05 Away Miami -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
06/06 Away Miami -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/07 Away Miami -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
06/08 Home Boston +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/09 Home Boston +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/10 Home Boston -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/12 Away LA Angels -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/13 Away LA Angels -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
06/14 Away LA Angels -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
06/15 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/16 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/17 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/19 Home Washington -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/20 Home Washington +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/21 Home Washington -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
06/22 Home Kansas City -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/23 Home Kansas City -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
06/24 Home Kansas City -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/25 Home Kansas City -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
06/26 Home Arizona -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
06/27 Home Arizona -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/28 Home Arizona -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
06/30 Away Kansas City -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
07/01 Away Kansas City -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
07/02 Away Kansas City -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
07/03 Away Houston -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
07/04 Away Houston -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
07/05 Away Houston -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
07/06 Home NY Yankees +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
07/07 Home NY Yankees -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
07/08 Home NY Yankees -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
07/09 Home NY Yankees -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
07/10 Home Seattle -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
07/11 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
07/12 Home Seattle -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
07/17 Away Boston -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
07/17 Away Boston +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
07/18 Away Boston -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
07/19 Away Boston +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
07/20 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
07/21 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
07/22 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
07/23 Away Toronto -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
07/24 Home Cleveland -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
07/25 Home Cleveland +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
07/26 Home Cleveland -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
07/28 Home Texas -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
07/29 Home Texas -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
07/30 Home Texas -1.5 W by 1 -0.5

Miami Detailed Run Line Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
03/27 Home Colorado -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/28 Home Colorado -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/29 Home Colorado -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/30 Home Chi Sox -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/31 Home Chi Sox -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
04/01 Home Chi Sox -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
04/03 Away NY Yankees +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/04 Away NY Yankees +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/05 Away NY Yankees +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/06 Home Cincinnati -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
04/07 Home Cincinnati -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
04/08 Home Cincinnati -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
04/09 Home Cincinnati -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
04/10 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/11 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
04/12 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
04/13 Away Atlanta +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/14 Away Atlanta +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/15 Away Atlanta +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
04/17 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/18 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
04/19 Home Milwaukee +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/20 Home St. Louis -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
04/21 Home St. Louis +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
04/22 Home St. Louis -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
04/24 Away SF Giants -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
04/25 Away SF Giants -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
04/26 Away SF Giants -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
04/27 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
04/28 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/29 Away LA Dodgers +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/01 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/02 Home Philadelphia -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
05/03 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
05/04 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/05 Home Baltimore -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/06 Home Baltimore -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
05/07 Home Baltimore -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
05/08 Home Washington -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
05/09 Home Washington -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
05/10 Home Washington -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
05/12 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
05/13 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
05/14 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
05/15 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
05/16 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
05/17 Away Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
05/18 Home Atlanta +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
05/19 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
05/20 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
05/21 Home Atlanta +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
05/22 Home NY Mets +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
05/23 Home NY Mets +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
05/24 Home NY Mets -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
05/25 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
05/26 Away Toronto -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
05/27 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
05/29 Away NY Mets -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
05/30 Away NY Mets +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
05/31 Away NY Mets +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
06/01 Away Washington +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
06/02 Away Washington -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
06/03 Away Washington -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/05 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
06/06 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/07 Home Tampa Bay +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
06/09 Home Arizona -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
06/10 Home Arizona +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
06/11 Home Arizona -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/12 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
06/13 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/14 Away Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/15 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
06/16 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
06/17 Away Philadelphia -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
06/19 Home SF Giants +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/20 Home SF Giants -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/21 Home SF Giants +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
06/22 Home Texas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
06/23 Home Texas -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
06/24 Home Texas +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
06/26 Away St. Louis -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
06/27 Away St. Louis +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
06/28 Away St. Louis +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
06/29 Away Colorado -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
06/30 Away Colorado -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
07/01 Away Colorado -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
07/02 Away Colorado -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
07/03 Away Sacramento +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
07/04 Away Sacramento -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
07/05 Away Sacramento -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
07/07 Home Seattle -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
07/08 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
07/09 Home Seattle +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
07/10 Home Cleveland -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
07/11 Home Cleveland -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
07/12 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
07/17 Away Milwaukee +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
07/18 Away Milwaukee +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
07/19 Away Milwaukee +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
07/20 Away Houston +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
07/21 Away Houston +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
07/22 Away Houston -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
07/24 Home San Diego -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
07/25 Home San Diego -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
07/26 Home San Diego +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
07/27 Home Philadelphia +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
07/28 Home Philadelphia -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
07/29 Home Philadelphia +1.5 W by 2 +3.5