NY Mets at Toronto: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jul 1, 2026 3:07 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: New York by 1.5, Total Points: 8.5

Matchup Menu: NYM @ TOR

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Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 8.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go over
Over 8.5 Similar Games 56% odds to go over
Under 8.5 Decision Tree 56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record NYM TOR
Season 48-56-9 54-54-4
vs Division 15-17-4 17-15-1
vs Conference 35-43-8 35-34-2
Streak Un 6 Un 4
Last 5 0-5-0 1-4-0
Last 10 2-7-1 2-8-0
Home 28-25-6 29-28-2
Away 20-31-3 25-26-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NY Mets Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Home Pittsburgh 7.0 11-7 Over +11.0
03/28 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
03/29 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
03/30 Away St. Louis 9.0 4-2 Under -3.0
03/31 Away St. Louis 8.5 0-3 Under -5.5
04/01 Away St. Louis 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/02 Away SF Giants 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
04/03 Away SF Giants 7.5 10-3 Over +5.5
04/04 Away SF Giants 7.5 9-0 Over +1.5
04/05 Away SF Giants 7.0 5-2 Push 0.0
04/07 Home Arizona 7.0 4-3 Push 0.0
04/08 Home Arizona 7.5 2-7 Over +1.5
04/09 Home Arizona 6.5 1-7 Over +1.5
04/10 Home Sacramento 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
04/11 Home Sacramento 7.5 6-11 Over +9.5
04/12 Home Sacramento 7.0 0-1 Under -6.0
04/13 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 0-4 Under -4.5
04/14 Away LA Dodgers 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/15 Away LA Dodgers 7.5 2-8 Over +2.5
04/17 Away Chi Cubs 10.0 4-12 Over +6.0
04/18 Away Chi Cubs 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
04/19 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
04/21 Home Minnesota 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
04/22 Home Minnesota 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
04/23 Home Minnesota 7.5 10-8 Over +10.5
04/24 Home Colorado 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
04/26 Home Colorado 7.0 1-3 Under -3.0
04/26 Home Colorado 7.0 0-3 Under -4.0
04/28 Home Washington 8.0 8-0 Push 0.0
04/29 Home Washington 7.5 2-14 Over +8.5
04/30 Home Washington 8.0 4-5 Over +1.0
05/01 Away LA Angels 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
05/02 Away LA Angels 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
05/03 Away LA Angels 9.0 5-1 Under -3.0
05/04 Away Colorado 10.5 4-2 Under -4.5
05/06 Away Colorado 9.5 10-5 Over +5.5
05/07 Away Colorado 11.0 2-6 Under -3.0
05/08 Away Arizona 9.0 3-1 Under -5.0
05/09 Away Arizona 9.5 1-2 Under -6.5
05/10 Away Arizona 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
05/12 Home Detroit 7.5 10-2 Over +4.5
05/13 Home Detroit 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
05/14 Home Detroit 7.0 9-4 Over +6.0
05/15 Home NY Yankees 7.0 2-5 Push 0.0
05/16 Home NY Yankees 8.5 6-3 Over +0.5
05/17 Home NY Yankees 9.0 7-6 Over +4.0
05/18 Away Washington 10.0 16-7 Over +13.0
05/19 Away Washington 9.0 6-9 Over +6.0
05/20 Away Washington 9.5 4-8 Over +2.5
05/21 Away Washington 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/22 Away Miami 8.0 1-2 Under -5.0
05/23 Away Miami 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
05/24 Away Miami 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
05/25 Home Cincinnati 7.5 2-7 Over +1.5
05/26 Home Cincinnati 7.5 2-7 Over +1.5
05/27 Home Cincinnati 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
05/29 Home Miami 7.5 9-7 Over +8.5
05/30 Home Miami 7.0 6-1 Push 0.0
05/31 Home Miami 7.5 10-1 Over +3.5
06/01 Away Seattle 7.0 2-3 Under -2.0
06/02 Away Seattle 7.5 3-8 Over +3.5
06/03 Away Seattle 7.5 7-1 Over +0.5
06/05 Away San Diego 7.0 5-0 Under -2.0
06/06 Away San Diego 7.5 2-3 Under -2.5
06/07 Away San Diego 7.5 7-3 Over +2.5
06/09 Home St. Louis 7.5 0-7 Under -0.5
06/10 Home St. Louis 8.5 2-9 Over +2.5
06/11 Home St. Louis 9.0 5-4 Push 0.0
06/12 Home Atlanta 8.0 7-5 Over +4.0
06/13 Home Atlanta 8.5 1-3 Under -4.5
06/14 Home Atlanta 8.5 8-1 Over +0.5
06/15 Away Cincinnati 9.0 0-12 Over +3.0
06/16 Away Cincinnati 10.0 3-5 Under -2.0
06/17 Away Cincinnati 9.0 9-1 Over +1.0
06/18 Away Philadelphia 10.0 6-4 Push 0.0
06/20 Away Philadelphia 7.5 3-15 Over +10.5
06/21 Away Philadelphia 8.0 2-6 Push 0.0
06/23 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 6-9 Over +6.5
06/24 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 3-10 Over +4.5
06/24 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 5-10 Over +7.0
06/25 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 3-4 Under -1.5
06/26 Home Philadelphia 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
06/27 Home Philadelphia 9.0 6-2 Under -1.0
06/28 Home Philadelphia 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
06/29 Away Toronto 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
06/30 Away Toronto 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
07/01 Away Toronto 8.5 3-9 Over +3.5
07/03 Away Atlanta 9.0 3-5 Under -1.0
07/04 Away Atlanta 8.0 3-14 Over +9.0
07/05 Away Atlanta 8.5 10-9 Over +10.5
07/06 Away Atlanta 9.0 7-6 Over +4.0
07/07 Home Kansas City 8.5 12-16 Over +19.5
07/08 Home Kansas City 9.5 6-2 Under -1.5
07/09 Home Kansas City 9.0 7-3 Over +1.0
07/10 Home Boston 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
07/11 Home Boston 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
07/12 Home Boston 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
07/16 Away Philadelphia 9.5 4-1 Under -4.5
07/18 Away Philadelphia 9.0 1-6 Under -2.0
07/19 Away Philadelphia 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
07/20 Away Milwaukee 7.5 3-8 Over +3.5
07/21 Away Milwaukee 8.5 4-0 Under -4.5
07/22 Away Milwaukee 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
07/24 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 2-4 Under -3.0
07/25 Home LA Dodgers 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
07/26 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
07/27 Home Atlanta 8.5 14-3 Over +8.5
07/29 Home Atlanta 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
07/29 Home Atlanta 7.0 0-1 Under -6.0
07/30 Home Miami 7.0 4-2 Under -1.0
07/31 Home Miami 8.5 2-5 Under -1.5
08/01 Home Miami 9.0 2-6 Under -1.0
08/02 Home Miami 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Sacramento 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
03/28 Home Sacramento 8.0 8-7 Over +7.0
03/29 Home Sacramento 9.0 5-2 Under -2.0
03/30 Home Colorado 8.0 5-14 Over +11.0
03/31 Home Colorado 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
04/01 Home Colorado 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/03 Away Chi Sox 7.5 4-5 Over +1.5
04/04 Away Chi Sox 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
04/05 Away Chi Sox 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
04/06 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 2-14 Over +7.0
04/07 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
04/08 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
04/10 Home Minnesota 9.0 10-4 Over +5.0
04/11 Home Minnesota 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
04/12 Home Minnesota 8.0 2-8 Over +2.0
04/14 Away Milwaukee 7.0 9-7 Over +9.0
04/15 Away Milwaukee 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/16 Away Milwaukee 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
04/17 Away Arizona 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
04/18 Away Arizona 9.0 2-6 Under -1.0
04/19 Away Arizona 8.0 10-4 Over +6.0
04/20 Away LA Angels 7.5 5-2 Under -0.5
04/21 Away LA Angels 9.0 4-2 Under -3.0
04/22 Away LA Angels 8.5 3-7 Over +1.5
04/24 Home Cleveland 8.0 6-8 Over +6.0
04/25 Home Cleveland 7.0 5-3 Over +1.0
04/26 Home Cleveland 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/27 Home Boston 7.0 0-5 Under -2.0
04/28 Home Boston 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
04/29 Home Boston 8.5 8-1 Over +0.5
04/30 Away Minnesota 8.0 1-7 Push 0.0
05/01 Away Minnesota 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
05/02 Away Minnesota 8.0 11-4 Over +7.0
05/03 Away Minnesota 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
05/04 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
05/05 Away Tampa Bay 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
05/06 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 0-3 Under -4.5
05/08 Home LA Angels 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
05/09 Home LA Angels 8.5 14-1 Over +6.5
05/10 Home LA Angels 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
05/11 Home Tampa Bay 7.0 5-8 Over +6.0
05/12 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/13 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
05/15 Away Detroit 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
05/16 Away Detroit 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/17 Away Detroit 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/18 Away NY Yankees 9.0 6-7 Over +4.0
05/19 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
05/20 Away NY Yankees 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/21 Away NY Yankees 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
05/22 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
05/23 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 5-2 Under -0.5
05/24 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
05/25 Home Miami 7.5 2-8 Over +2.5
05/26 Home Miami 7.5 8-1 Over +1.5
05/27 Home Miami 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/28 Away Baltimore 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
05/29 Away Baltimore 9.5 6-5 Over +1.5
05/30 Away Baltimore 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
05/31 Away Baltimore 8.0 5-9 Over +6.0
06/02 Away Atlanta 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
06/03 Away Atlanta 8.0 3-7 Over +2.0
06/04 Away Atlanta 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
06/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 3-13 Over +7.5
06/06 Home Baltimore 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
06/07 Home Baltimore 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
06/08 Home Philadelphia 7.0 2-5 Push 0.0
06/09 Home Philadelphia 7.0 3-2 Under -2.0
06/10 Home Philadelphia 9.0 4-7 Over +2.0
06/12 Home NY Yankees 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
06/13 Home NY Yankees 7.5 1-3 Under -3.5
06/14 Home NY Yankees 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
06/16 Away Boston 7.5 6-1 Under -0.5
06/17 Away Boston 10.0 3-0 Under -7.0
06/18 Away Boston 9.5 4-3 Under -2.5
06/19 Away Chi Cubs 7.0 2-16 Over +11.0
06/20 Away Chi Cubs 9.0 8-6 Over +5.0
06/22 Home Houston 7.0 4-2 Under -1.0
06/23 Home Houston 8.5 7-9 Over +7.5
06/24 Home Houston 8.5 1-3 Under -4.5
06/25 Home Texas 8.0 5-6 Over +3.0
06/26 Home Texas 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
06/27 Home Texas 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
06/28 Home Texas 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
06/29 Home NY Mets 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
06/30 Home NY Mets 7.5 0-3 Under -4.5
07/01 Home NY Mets 8.5 9-3 Over +3.5
07/03 Away Seattle 7.0 2-0 Under -5.0
07/04 Away Seattle 7.5 0-11 Over +3.5
07/05 Away Seattle 7.5 0-4 Under -3.5
07/06 Away SF Giants 7.5 1-10 Over +3.5
07/07 Away SF Giants 8.0 9-3 Over +4.0
07/08 Away SF Giants 7.0 10-0 Over +3.0
07/10 Away San Diego 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
07/11 Away San Diego 8.0 7-8 Over +7.0
07/12 Away San Diego 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
07/17 Home Chi Sox 8.5 4-12 Over +7.5
07/18 Home Chi Sox 9.5 1-0 Under -8.5
07/19 Home Chi Sox 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
07/20 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 1-7 Over +0.5
07/21 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 2-12 Over +6.5
07/22 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
07/23 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 3-1 Under -4.5
07/24 Away Boston 8.5 4-6 Over +1.5
07/25 Away Boston 7.0 6-0 Under -1.0
07/26 Away Boston 7.5 1-6 Under -0.5
07/27 Away Washington 10.0 3-2 Under -5.0
07/28 Away Washington 9.0 6-8 Over +5.0
07/29 Away Washington 9.5 5-2 Under -2.5
07/31 Home St. Louis 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
08/01 Home St. Louis 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
08/02 Home St. Louis 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5