Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Friday May 15, 2026 7:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 47.4%
TB 52.6%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.0%
Under 51.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.1%
TB -2.3%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.9 2
TB 4.1 7

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.512 0.592
Win % - Close 0.491 0.579
Runs/Game 4.37 4.52
At Bats/Game 33.15 33.60
Hits/Game 8.27 8.75
Home Runs/Game 1.02 1.04
Doubles/Game 1.57 1.41
Triples/Game 0.21 0.15
RBIs/Game 4.20 4.29
Walks/Game 3.40 3.24
Strikeouts/Game 8.15 7.05
Stolen Bases/Game 1.01 0.98
Total Bases/Game 13.31 13.58
Batting Avg 0.249 0.261
Slugging % 0.402 0.404
On Base % 0.326 0.330
On Base + Slugging % 0.728 0.734
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.88

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +21.0 +44.0
Errors/Game 0.64 0.60
Opp Runs/Game 4.21 4.18
Opp At Bats/Game 32.92 33.54
Opp Hits/Game 7.61 7.82
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.98 1.28
Opp Doubles/Game 1.42 1.54
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.10
Opp RBIs/Game 3.98 3.99
Opp Walks/Game 3.32 2.53
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.21 8.16
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.83 0.84
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.27 13.41
Opp Batting Avg 0.231 0.233
Opp Slugging % 0.373 0.400
Opp On Base % 0.309 0.292
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.682 0.691
Double Plays/Game 0.72 0.66