Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Friday Jul 3, 2026 9:40 pm - West Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 1.5, Total Points: 11

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Sacramento MIA 43.8%
ATH 56.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 10.5 Over 50.6%
Under 49.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.9%
ATH -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 5.0 12
ATH 5.5 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Win % - All 0.505 0.409
Win % - Close 0.500 0.478
Runs/Game 4.40 4.37
At Bats/Game 33.20 33.96
Hits/Game 8.32 8.29
Home Runs/Game 1.04 1.21
Doubles/Game 1.65 1.55
Triples/Game 0.23 0.09
RBIs/Game 4.23 4.20
Walks/Game 3.33 3.42
Strikeouts/Game 8.15 8.69
Stolen Bases/Game 1.08 0.50
Total Bases/Game 13.52 13.65
Batting Avg 0.250 0.244
Slugging % 0.407 0.402
On Base % 0.326 0.320
On Base + Slugging % 0.733 0.722
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.73 0.83

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Run Differential +7.0 -141.0
Errors/Game 0.65 0.45
Opp Runs/Game 4.33 5.65
Opp At Bats/Game 32.91 34.57
Opp Hits/Game 7.60 9.25
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.00 1.56
Opp Doubles/Game 1.43 1.83
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.17
Opp RBIs/Game 4.12 5.50
Opp Walks/Game 3.38 3.98
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.38 8.50
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.92 0.65
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.34 16.11
Opp Batting Avg 0.231 0.267
Opp Slugging % 0.375 0.466
Opp On Base % 0.311 0.348
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.686 0.814
Double Plays/Game 0.76 0.70