Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Friday Jul 3, 2026 9:40 pm - West Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 1.5, Total Points: 11

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Sacramento MIA 43.8%
ATH 56.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 10.5 Over 50.6%
Under 49.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.9%
ATH -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 5.0 12
ATH 5.5 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Win % - All 0.497 0.401
Win % - Close 0.478 0.456
Runs/Game 4.45 4.34
At Bats/Game 33.36 33.91
Hits/Game 8.31 8.30
Home Runs/Game 1.03 1.22
Doubles/Game 1.53 1.51
Triples/Game 0.23 0.09
RBIs/Game 4.25 4.15
Walks/Game 3.42 3.23
Strikeouts/Game 8.29 8.53
Stolen Bases/Game 1.01 0.55
Total Bases/Game 13.38 13.65
Batting Avg 0.249 0.245
Slugging % 0.401 0.403
On Base % 0.327 0.317
On Base + Slugging % 0.728 0.720
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.73 0.85

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Run Differential +8.0 -205.0
Errors/Game 0.62 0.47
Opp Runs/Game 4.40 5.69
Opp At Bats/Game 33.18 34.52
Opp Hits/Game 7.82 9.33
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.05 1.49
Opp Doubles/Game 1.46 1.84
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.16
Opp RBIs/Game 4.12 5.51
Opp Walks/Game 3.48 3.90
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.09 8.35
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.83 0.66
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.71 15.94
Opp Batting Avg 0.236 0.270
Opp Slugging % 0.383 0.462
Opp On Base % 0.315 0.349
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.698 0.810
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.74