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Saturday Nov 29, 2025 3:30 pm -
Hattiesburg, MS
Odds:
Southern Miss by 6.5,
Total Points:
50.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | TROY | 30.0% | ||
| USM | 70.0% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM -6.5 | TROY | 48.7% | ||
| USM | 51.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 | Over | 46.5% | ||
| Under | 53.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TROY | -3.0% | ||
| USM | -1.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 21.0 | 21 | 22.0 | 28 |
| USM | 27.7 | 28 | 28.5 | 18 |
| Stat | TROY | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.318 | 0.384 |
| Rush Play % | 48.91% | 49.49% |
| Pass Play % | 51.09% | 50.51% |
| Completion % | 57.95% | 63.27% |
| 3D Conv % | 37.19% | 39.89% |
| RZ Scoring % | 83.78% | 80.95% |
| Stat | TROY | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.344 | 0.362 |
| Opp Completion % | 58.95% | 64.34% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.34% | 45.86% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 76.74% | 81.63% |
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