N Illinois at Mississippi St: Recap
Saturday Sep 20, 2025 4:15 pm -
Starkville, MS
Odds:
Mississippi State by 24,
Total Points:
48.5
Matchup Menu: NIU @ MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | NIU | 5.2% | ||
| MSST | 94.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST -24.0 | NIU | 48.0% | ||
| MSST | 52.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Over | 55.3% | ||
| Under | 44.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NIU | -3.2% | ||
| MSST | -0.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 13.2 | 13 | 12.2 | 10 |
| MSST | 37.7 | 37 | 36.2 | 38 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NIU | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 2.0 | 8.4 |
| Points/Play | 0.000 | 0.676 |
| Rush Play % | 50.82% | 56.08% |
| Pass Play % | 49.18% | 43.92% |
| Completion % | 54.17% | 67.19% |
| 3D Conv % | 20.00% | 52.38% |
| RZ Scoring % | -- | 90.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NIU | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.513 | 0.193 |
| Opp Completion % | 52.50% | 61.84% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 42.86% | 24.14% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 60.00% | 50.00% |